Thoughts about Population Projections Applied Demography Conference January 9, 2014 Qian Cai, University of Virginia Rebecca Tippett, University of North.

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Presentation transcript:

Thoughts about Population Projections Applied Demography Conference January 9, 2014 Qian Cai, University of Virginia Rebecca Tippett, University of North Carolina

Projection Methodologies “Looking Into the Past: Thomas Circle, Washington, DC” by Jason E. Powell

Purposes & Use of Projections

Accuracy & Plausibility

{ Total Population Sex * Age * { Race Hispanic Origin P r i o r i t y # 1 P r i o r i t y # 2 P r i o r i t y # 3 P r i o r i t y # 4 Population Pro j ections

Our Approach 1. is guided by statistical and demographic theories 2. is straightforward, practical, and easy to implement 3. produces reasonable results

Contact Qian Cai Director, Demographics Research Group Weldon Cooper Center, University of Virginia | (434) Rebecca Tippett Director, Carolina Demography Carolina Population Center, UNC-Chapel Hill | (919)