The Parties at Parity The Elusive Majority in Presidential Politics.

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Presentation transcript:

The Parties at Parity The Elusive Majority in Presidential Politics

The Parties at Parity The Tie in the House

Direction of the Country Penn, Schoen and Berland Do you generally think that things in the country are headed in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track? In general, do you think our country is on the right track or off on the wrong track? In general, do you think our country is on the right track or off on the wrong track?

Direction of the Economy Penn, Schoen and Berland Associates In general, do you think our economy is on the right track or off on the wrong track? In general, do you think our economy is on the right track or off on the wrong track?

5 Most Important ProblemAllIndy Economy and Jobs27%28% Terrorism/War/Security25%22% Education5%3% Taxes5%2% Social Security/Medicare4% Healthcare3%2% Most Important Problem Most Important Problem What do you think is the most important problem facing the country? CBS/NY Times 1/25

What do you think is a bigger problem facing the nation right now: terrorism or the economy? Economy or Terrorism? ABC News/Washington Post –1/28

Do you want your representative in Congress to be someone who will be a check on George W. Bush or someone who will vote down the line with George W. Bush? Check on Bush Swing Voters: 59/25%; Independents: 63/26%

Budget Deficit Politics Now that we have a budget deficit, do you think that if Democrats control Congress they would try to raise taxes, or not? Now that we have a budget deficit, do you think that if Republicans control Congress they could try to cut Medicare, education and the environment, or not?

Bush Coattails Bush and Congressional GOP Versus Congressional Dems IssueBushC RepBush+ Preparing Americans for the New Economy Getting the Economy Growing Again Improving Education Asking People to Give Something Back National Security Fighting Terrorism

Clinton/Congressional Dems Why Clinton Won Re-Election in 1996 and Republicans Held Congress IssueClinton+ Balance Budget 10 Welfare 9 Crime 9 Education 5

Preference for Party Control Penn PollGallup