Causes of the Great Depression
The Great Depression Defined Total collapse of the US economic system of Capitalism, laissez faire and everything we believed in as a country. Our democracy and way of life was threatened. Worse economic calamity in the US Part of a world-wide economic depression
THE BUSINESS CYCLE: The UP’s & DOWN’s of the Economy
The Business Cycle—Peak HIGH DEMAND= Desire For More Profits = Greater Investment = More Production = Higher Employment = More Demand = Higher Prices (INFLATION)
The Business Cycle—Contraction INFLATION/OVERPRODUCTION = LESS PRODUCTION = LAY OFFS = LESS SPENDING = LOWER CONFIDENCE = LESS INVESTMENT = HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT UNTIL SURPLUSES ARE USED UP
The Business Cycle—Recovery HIGHER DEMAND Surplus Reduction = More Production = Recall of Workers = More Purchasing = Increased Investments = Economic Growth
Business Cycle Troughs RECESSION 2 successive quarters (6 months) of declining GDP ($ of gov’t, consumer, and business spending) DEPRESSION Unemployment greater than 12%
Document A According to this document, between what years did the US economy experience its longest and deepest fall? What event marks the fall? Where there any fluctuations in the business cycle within the depression? What event seems to have pulled the economy out of this depression?
Laissez Faire Economic Policy Prior to the Great Depression the US. Government ignored the business cycles of the US economy. The Government until FDR believed that the American Economy could fix itself. Laissez-Faire… “Hands Off” The Great Depression is a turning Point in US History!
Most scholars would include: High Tariff & War Debt Historians disagree as to the causes of the Great Depression. Most scholars would include: Causes of the Great Depression High Tariff & War Debt Stock Market Crash & Financial Panic Overproduction Industry Agricultural Monetary Policy Unequal Distribution of Wealth
1920s—An Age of Prosperity? Installment buying allowed people to buy cars, radios and other new products of the 1920s. Farmers, however, were in a depression throughout the whole decade.
RURAL POVERTY IN THE 1920’S
Unequal Distribution of Wealth Top 1% received a 75% increase in their disposable income while the Other 99% saw an average 9% increase in their disposable income. 80% of Americans had no savings at all Disposable income is money remaining after the necessities of life have been paid for.
The chart shows that 99% of the population received a 9% increase in their income, while the top 1% saw their income rise by 75%.
Wages of Unskilled Workers WHY DO THINK WAGES STARTED GOING UP BEGINNING IN 1938? (WAR SPENDING AROUND THE WORLD)
Document B According to the note in this document, what was the poverty line for the average American family? What percentage of the American families lived at or below that line in 1929? How might uneven distribution of income helped to cause the depression?
Overproduction in Industry Factories were producing products Wages for workers were not rising enough for them to buy them. The surplus products could not be sold overseas due to high tariffs and lack of money in Europe.
Document C What does Elmer Davis mean by the phrase “quantity prosperity”? Why does Davis say that quantity prosperity will defeat its own purpose?
Farm Overproduction Farm incomes dropped throughout the 1920’s. Price of farm land fell from $69/acre in 1920 to $31 in 1930. In 1929 the average annual income for farm families it = $273. For an American family was $750 Agriculture was in a depression which began in 1920, lasting until the outbreak of World War II in 1939. Surplus ears of corn
Document D What does the cartoon say was a big problem for the farm industry? What happens to prices when surpluses are high? Why do falling prices hurt the economy and help cause a depression?
Decline in Farm Prices Agricultural product 1912-1913 1932-1933 Corn (per bushel) 0.56 0.20 Wheat (per bushel) 0.88 0.41 Oats (per bushel) 0.34 0.17 Butter (per lb) 0.21 0.13 Butterfat (per lb) 0.25 0.16 Wool (per lb) 0.24 0.10 Hogs (per cwt) 7.50 3.80 Milk (per cwt) 1.79 0.90
Farmers, who had been suffering during the 1920s, suffered further declines during the Great Depression. Wholesale food prices collapsed, which led to a lack of money to purchase new equipment and many could not pay for their mortgages and lost their farms.
U.S. Department of Agriculture’s yearbook from 1934 shows the unstable prices of foodstuff WHEAT CORN OATS POTATOES PEANUTS 1919 216.3 150.7 76.7 191.1 9.33 1920 182.6 61.0 53.8 133.2 5.26 1921 103.0 52.7 32.2 113.5 3.99 1922 96.6 75.2 37.4 68.6 4.68 1923 92.6 83.5 40.7 91.5 6.78 1924 124.7 105.3 47.8 71.5 5.68 1925 143.7 69.9 38.8 166.3 4.56 1926 121.7 75.3 40.1 136.3 4.97 1927 119.0 84.9 47.1 108.9 5.04 1928 99.8 84.3 57.2 4.90 1929 103.4 79.8 41.9 131.5 3.83 1930 67.0 59.4 3.54 1931 39.0 32.1 21.3 46.4 2.09 1932 37.9 31.8 15.7 1.53
Average gross receipts Per Capita Farm Income 1910 1918 1932 Average gross receipts 2177 3837 1512 Average expenditures 770 1655 1019 Balance 1407 2182 493 Unable to afford new equipment, and their mortgages, led to the hundreds of thousands of foreclosures on farms.
High Tariffs & War Debts At the end of World War I, European nations owed over $10 billion ($115 billion in 2002 dollars) to the United States. Their economies had been devastated by war and they had no way of paying the money back. The U.S. insisted their former allies pay the money. This forced the allies to demand Germany pay the reparations imposed on her as a result of the Treaty of Versailles. Later led to a financial crisis when Europe could not purchase goods from the U.S. This debt contributed to the Great Depression. In 1922, the U.S. passed the Fordney-McCumber Act Instituted high tariffs on industrial products. Other nations soon retaliated = world trade declined helping bring on the great depression.
Document E What is a tariff? Who is the tariff wall protecting? Whose boats are being blocked? Is there anyway a tariff wall might hurt American business?
Document F What does Leuchtenburg mean when he says the US was a creditor nation? How could a protective tariff hurt a creditor nation? Did the protective tariffs help cause or at least deepen the depression?
Stock Market Crash & Financial Panic The trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange just after the crash of 1929. On Black Tuesday, October twenty-ninth, the market collapsed. In a single day, sixteen million shares were traded--a record--and thirty billion dollars vanished into thin air. Westinghouse lost two thirds of its September value. DuPont dropped seventy points. The "Era of Get Rich Quick" was over. Jack Dempsey, America's first millionaire athlete, lost $3 million. Cynical New York hotel clerks asked incoming guests, "You want a room for sleeping or jumping?" WALL STREET ON THE DAY OF THE CRASH, OCTOBER 1929
Document G What does it mean to buy stock on margin? How could an investor who bought stock on margin go broke in a stock market crash?
Document H What happened to the value of American Telephone & Telegraph stock? If the stock market falls what happens to: Spending by rich people? Why? Spending by poor people? Why?
Reasons for the Crash Stocks were overpriced due to speculation = not worth their sale price Massive fraud and illegal activity occurred due to a lack of regulation and rules Margin buying, or buying using credit
Effects of the Crash Businesses lose profits Consumer spending drops Businesses cut investments & production Workers are laid off Business cannot repay bank loans Banks run out of money Savings accounts are wiped out Investors lose millions Effects of the Crash
Document I What was the unemployment rate for all civilian American workers in 1929? In what year were more than one-quarter of American workers without jobs? For how many years did America experience double-digit unemployment? Were high unemployment figures simply an effect of the depression or were they also a cause?
Document J What does the author mean when he says the structure of American banks in 1929 was weak? What happens if a bank makes lots of loans to stock buyers buying on margin? If many banks fails… What happens to consumer consumption? What happens to investment?
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Created in 1913 to help stabilize the economy by establishing a central banking system for the U.S. Goal to deal with bank panics. Manipulates the money supply to help strengthen the economy At the beginning of the Great Depression… Did not address failing banks Many scholars argue their idleness worsened the situation.
Poor Monetary Policy Should Have: Changes in interest rates and money supply to expand or contract aggregate demand. In a recession, the Fed will lower interest rates and increase the money supply. In an overheated expansion, the Fed will raise interest rates and decrease the money supply. Fed. Reserve INCREASED interest rates Money/Borrowing MORE EXPENSIVE & Saving MORE ATTRACTIVE Should Have: LOWERED interest rates to give the economy a “JUMP START”
Poor Fiscal Policy Should Have: Changes in the taxing and spending of the federal government for purposes of expanding or contracting the level of aggregate demand. In a recession, an expansionary fiscal policy involves lowering taxes and increasing government spending. In an overheated expansion, a contractionary fiscal policy requires higher taxes and reduced spending. Hoover Admin. & Congress CUT SPENDING & RAISED TAXES to balance the budget Should Have: INCREASE SPENDING & CUT TAXES to “JUMP START” the economy EX: Temporary Deficit Spending