Some New Accomplishments O O New Nodes in Helsinki, Paris, Sao Paulo, and soon Caracas, Silicon Valley, Canada, and maybe Stockholm O New Sponsor: Applied Materials World Federation of UN Associations O UNEP Global Scenarios O Jose’s Club of Rome Presentation O Futures Matrix "nearly always used before staring a subject or project” -- Z_punkt
Uses in China as reference for L Policy makers in long term thinking and global perspectives especially in their planning of model provinces and cities for sustainable development. L Researchers especially the methods of scenarios, questionnaires and interviews and future studies. L University teachers' lecture and training courses. L Graduate students in preparing their theses especially the methodological reviews. L NGO newsletter and capacity building activities (the Ecological Society of China, Chinese Association for sustainable Development and SCOPE/China).
State of the Future acknowledged Future Survey’s best books for 2001 900 sales to Applied Materials Translations: China (3 years), Iran (3 years), Czech (in process). Italy (15 challenges for primary and secondary schools, and explorations for French and Arabic Spanish version of the Methods C-ROM near completion
Other accomplishments N UN policy update on Millennium Deceleration (transnational crime, others) N Technology Benefiting Humanity Awards in second year N UNDP-UNV tele-volunteers and cyber volunteers N SD Summit prep briefings N Senate Foreign Relations Committee (briefing given follows)
Post-Bipolar World: Two Themes for Diplomacy O O What is the next organizing principle for world affairs ? Human Security O O How should diplomatic readiness be judged ? Ability to address the threats to human security
Human Security is the combination of... O O Military security O O Financial and Economic Security O O Environmental Security O O Freedom with responsibility
Human Security is for... O O the individual O O groups O O nations O O humanity as-a-whole.
Human security has to be provided by... O O Nation-States O O Corporations O O International Organizations O O NGOs
The Challenges to Human Security are Sustainable Development 2. Water 3. Population and Resources 4. Democratization 5. Global, Long-Term Policymaking 6. Globalization of Information Technology 7. Rich-Poor Gap
Global Challenges (cont.) 8. Changing disease threats 9. Decision-Making Capacities 10. Peace & Conflict 11. Improving Women’s Status 12. Transnational Crime 13. Energy Demands 14. Science & Technology Development 15. Global Ethics
Diplomatic Readiness O O Basic knowledge of the situation in each challenge O O Understanding of the range of potential solutions O O Sensitivity to regional human security perspectives O O On-going awareness of progress on the challenges O O Ability to connect the resources of governments, corporations, international organizations, and NGOs to human security strategy in area of assignment
How to Measure Progress on Human Security ? O O Just as GDP is used to measure economic growth, a State of the Future Index (SOFI) has been created to measure progress on the 15 Global Challenges O O Indicators for each of the Global Challenges have been aggregated into a single index O O A global assessment was used to identify and weight the indicators O O Policy could be judged on its ability to improve the index
State of the Future Index
UN Organizations NGOs Universities Governments Corporations Millennium Project …. May become a “TransInstitution”