Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH.

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Presentation transcript:

Health Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH

Pathways by Which Climate Change May Affect Human Health McMichael et al. 2003

Health Impacts Depend on Multiple Factors Geographic factors: Baseline climate Abundance of natural resources (i.e. soil, fresh water supplies) Elevation Biological sensitivity: Developmental stage Pre-existing medical conditions and/or acquired factors (i.e. immunity) Genetic factors Socioeconomic factors: May increase likelihood of exposure to harmful agents/high risk residences Associated with underlying diseases that mediate risk Affect ability to adapt or respond

Direction and Magnitude of Climate Change Health Impacts IPCC 2007

McGheehin

Extreme Weather

Projected Ozone-Related Deaths, NY Metro Area, 2050s vs 1990s Kinney et al. 2006

Distribution of Lyme Disease, and Tick abundance at model equilibrium Ogden et al. Int. J. Parasitol. 2005, 2006

RR of Salmonella increased by 1.2% per degree above - 10˚C RR of Campylobacter increased by 2.2% (4.5% in Newfoundland) per degree above - 10˚C RR of E. coli increased by 6.0% per degree above - 10˚C Fleury et al Temperature and Enteric Disease

EDF/George Mason/NACCHO Survey of Public Health Directors Department Has Expertise to Assess Health Risks?

Climate Change Impacts in 2030 under 750 ppm CO 2 Scenario (thousands of cases) Diarrheal Diseases MalnutritionMalaria Total4,513,98146,352408,227 Climate change impacts 131,9804,67321,787 % Increase3105 Ebi 2008

Thank-you