Impact on International Trade 29th November 2009 European Economic Integration, Institute of economic studies T HE C OMMON A GRICULTURAL P OLICY
E XPORT SUBSIDIES
I MPACT ON INTERNATIONAL TRADE Lower export subsidies Higher direct payments
I MPACT ON INTERNATIONAL TRADE EU prices closer to world prices International agricultural trade liberalization Fall in cereal prices by 50% Fall in income of African countries, which were making profits on selling goods to Europe (under Lomé convention) An increase in the export price competitiveness of basic EU food and agricultural exports for African countries
F URTHER REFORMS The Agenda 2000 “multi-functionality” of farming activities The reform in 2003 A reduction in direct payments for bigger farms to finance the new rural development policy CAP “Health Check“ 2008 Increase of milk quotas,...
„CAP VS. A FRICA “ CASE African exporters seem to be sensitive to EU reforms Pros and cons of CAP reforms (from African point of view) Future prospects
P ROS AND C ONS + Large food surpluses exported to Africa as a food aid (before Mac Sharry) Certain African (sugar) exporters profited from Lomé convention (€500 mil. in 99/2000) — 2001: free access to the market granted to the least developed countries under „Everything Buts Arms“ initiative. Problem? – sugar, rice and bananas excluded After Mac Sharry reform, EU price reductions drove some African exporters out of the EU market Undermining of African markets by price-competitive EU goods (wheat) – „markets of last resort“ EU policy emphasis shift – „from quantity to quality“
lower value food higher value food QlQl QhQh PPF S ITUATION WHEN A FRICA REJECTS TO TRADE WITH EU Africa
T RADING SITUATION R ICARDIAN MODEL Africa has comparative advantage in producing lower value food lower value food higher value food AfricaEU higher value food lower value food PPF IAIA I FT TT QlQl QHQH QHQH QHQH I FT IAIA P A = C A P FT C FT P A = C A P FT C FT
F UTURE PROSPECT African exporters: lower value food and agricultural products distributors European exporters: higher value food and agricultural products
C ONCLUSION Trend in reforms of CAP – lower direct payments Decoupling: ↑ economic prosperity ↓ negative impacts on the environment From import levy to direct subsidies – before and after Mac Sharry reform Africa has to trade with lower value food
Petra Andrlíková Radovan Parrák
REFERENCES Institure for Agriculture and Trade Policy: The Common Agricultural Policy: A Brief Introduction, Prepared for the Global Dialogue Meeting (May 14 and 15, 2007, Washington, D.C.) European Economic Policies: Common Agricultural Policy; Laurent Weill: Université de Strasbourg, Charles University - Prague, April 2009 Policy Notes 2009/7: The Impact of Common Agricultural Policy (CAP): Reformon Africa-EU Trade in Food and Agricultural Products