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Presentation transcript:

Behavioral Finance

Finance - Behavioral finance 1 Behavioral Finance studies how the psychology of investors or managers affects financial decisions and markets. Behavioral finance has grown over the last few decades to become central to finance.

Finance - Behavioral finance 1 Behavioral finance includes such topics as:

Finance - Behavioral finance 1 Among other topics, quantitative behavioral finance studies behavioral effects together with the non-classical assumption of the finiteness of assets.

Efficient-market hypothesis - Criticism and behavioral finance 1 Behavioral finance|Behavioral economists attribute the imperfections in financial markets to a combination of cognitive biases such as overconfidence, overreaction, representative bias, Information bias (psychology)|information bias, and various other predictable human errors in reasoning and information processing

Efficient-market hypothesis - Criticism and behavioral finance 1 By contrast, the price signals in markets are far less subject to individual biases highlighted by the Behavioral Finance programme

Quantitative behavioral finance 1 Some of this endeavor has been led by Gunduz Caginalp (Professor of Mathematics and Editor of Journal of Behavioral Finance during ) and collaborators including Vernon L

Quantitative behavioral finance - History 1 Behavioral finance researchers generally do not subscribe to EMH as a consequence of these biases

Quantitative behavioral finance - History 1 'Research in Quantitative Behavioral Finance'

Quantitative behavioral finance - History 1 The attempt to quantify basic biases and to use them in mathematical models is the subject of Quantitative Behavioral Finance

Quantitative behavioral finance - History 1 The subject of overreactions has also been important in behavioral finance

Behavioral economics - Behavioral finance 1 The central issue in behavioral finance is explaining why market participants make systematic errors contrary to assumption of rational market participants. Such errors affect prices and returns, creating market inefficiencies. It also investigates how other participants take advantage (arbitrage) of such market inefficiencies.

Behavioral economics - Behavioral finance 1 Behavioral finance highlights inefficiencies such as under- or over-reactions to information as causes of market trends (and in extreme cases of Economic bubble|bubbles and Stock market crash|crashes). Such reactions have been attributed to limited investor attention, overconfidence, overoptimism, mimicry (herding instinct) and noise trader|noise trading. Technical analysts consider behavioral finance, behavioral economics' academic cousin, to be the theoretical basis for technical analysis.

Behavioral economics - Quantitative behavioral finance 1 Quantitative behavioral finance uses mathematical and statistical methodology to understand behavioral biases. In marketing research, a study shows little evidence that escalating biases impact marketing decisions. Leading contributors include Gunduz Caginalp (Editor of the Journal of Behavioral Finance from 2001–2004) and collaborators including 2002 Nobelist Vernon L. Smith|Vernon Smith, David Porter, Don Balenovich, Vladimira Ilieva and Ahmet Duran, and Ray Sturm.

Behavioral finance 1 'Behavioral economics' and the related field, 'behavioral finance', study the effects of social, cognitive bias|cognitive, and emotional factors on the economic decision making|decisions of individuals and institutions and the consequences for market prices, profit (economics)|returns, and the allocation of resources|resource allocation.Lin, Tom C

Behavioral finance - Criticisms 1 They contend that behavioral finance is more a collection of anomalies than a true branch of finance and that these anomalies are either quickly priced out of the market or explained by appealing to market microstructure arguments

Journal of Behavioral Finance 1 The 'Journal of Behavioral Finance' is a quarterly Peer review|peer-reviewed academic journal that covers research related to the field of behavioral finance. It was established in 2000 as The Journal of Psychology and Financial Markets. The founding editor-in-chief was Gunduz Caginalp ( ), Brian Bruce (PanAgora Asset Management) is the current editor.

Gunduz Caginalp - Research in behavioral finance and experimental economics 1 Prof. Caginalp has been a leader in the newly developing field of Quantitative Behavioral Finance. The work has three main facets: (1) statistical time series modeling, (2) mathematical modeling using differential equations, and (3) laboratory experiments; comparison with models and world markets. His research is influenced by decades of experience as an individual investor and trader.

Contrarian investing - Relationship to behavioral finance 1 For example, studies in behavioral finance have demonstrated that investors as a group tend to overweight recent trends when predicting the future; a poorly- performing stock will remain bad, and a strong performer will remain strong

Behavioural game theory - Behavioral finance 1 Technical analysts consider behavioral finance, to be behavioral economics' academic cousin and to be the theoretical basis for technical analysis.

Market efficiency - Criticism and behavioral finance 1 By contrast, the price signals in markets are far less subject to individual biases highlighted by the Behavioral Finance programme

Finance & Commerce - Behavioral finance 1 Behavioral finance studies how the psychology of investors or managers affects financial decisions and markets when making a decision that can impact either negatively or positive one of there areas. Behavioral finance has grown over the last few decades to become central and very important to finance.

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