National Flood Conference April 22, 2009 Victor Hom Hydrologic Services Division Office of Climate, Water and Weather NOAA’s National Weather Service National.

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Presentation transcript:

National Flood Conference April 22, 2009 Victor Hom Hydrologic Services Division Office of Climate, Water and Weather NOAA’s National Weather Service National Weather Service and Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Flood Insurance Program Related Activities

2 National Flood Conference 2009 NWS and FEMA NFIP Related Activities Objectives: 1. Review the inter-relationship and inter- dependencies of the FEMA’s NFIP, USGS NSIP, and NOAA’s mission. 2. Discuss NOAA NWS efforts in Decision Support, Risk Communications, and Forecast Uncertainty and FEMA’s RISK MAP Strategy. 3. Provide update on NOAA NWS AHPS Flood Mapping Efforts.

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 3 NWS Mission NOAA's National Weather Service provides weather, hydrologic, and climate forecasts and warnings for the United States, its territories, adjacent waters and ocean areas, for the protection of life and property and the enhancement of the national economy. NOAA's National Weather Service provides weather, hydrologic, and climate forecasts and warnings for the United States, its territories, adjacent waters and ocean areas, for the protection of life and property and the enhancement of the national economy.

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 4 NOAA NWS Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) For more info, go to the AHPS Web Page:

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 5 Flood Forecasting and Flood Mapping Dependencies Precipitation Analyses Streamgage Analyses Geodetics Engineering/Sciences Communications

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 6 Precipitation For more info, go to the Hydrometeorological Design Studies Center’s Web Page: go to NSSL’s Web Page: Precipitation Analysis (historical, real-time) Precipitation Data used to derive rain-runoff, Runoff is used to compute discharge, and Discharge is used in the models to produce flood forecasts and/or flood maps. FEMA Guidelines and Specifications for Flood Hazard Mapping Partners Volume 1 – Design Storm Data Dual Pol

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 7 Streamgage For more info, go to the USGS NWIS Web Page: or NOAA NWS AHPS Web Page: Streamflow Analysis (historical, real-time) Historical Streamgage Data used in NWS Model Calibration Real time adjustment to NWS River Forecast System. FEMA Guidelines and Specifications for Flood Hazard Mapping Partners Volume 1 – Reference to Bulletin 17B, Guidelines for Determining Flood Flow Frequency.

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 8 Geodetics and Topographic For more info on Geodetics, go to the NOAA NGS Web Pages: For more info on Hi-ResTopo, go to the NOAA CSC Web Pages: The handling of the geodetics is managed through the National Spatial Reference System (NSRS) and the Height Modernization Program by NOAA’s National Geodetic Survey. NOAA ‘s Coastal Survey Center maintains Digital Coast which houses Coastal Lidar Data.

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 9 Engineering/Sciences Summit to Sea Approach to Forecasting and Mapping - Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) and Flood Mapping - Coastal Estuary River Information System (CERIS) - Coastal and Inland Flood Observation and Warning (CI-FLOW) - NOAA in the Carolina’s

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page Map the Risk 2. Measure the Risk 3. Monitor the Risk 4. Manage the Risk * Provide Decision Support Assistance to our key partners and the EM community * Better quantify uncertainty and assessment of the risk. Flood Risk Communications … NWS Flood warnings for Areas Prone to the 50% to 10% Annual Chance Floods.

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 11 Planning Mapping Assessment Potential Future NOAA NWS and FEMA Collaboration … moving from Static to Dynamic Assessment in Near Real-time.

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 12 Assessment

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 13 Assessment

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 14 Mapping

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 15 Planning

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 16 NOAA NWS AHPS Flood Mapping The development of NOAA’s NWS AHPS Flood Mapping started with: USGS North Carolina Water Science Center NOAA Coastal Services Center North Carolina Flood Mapping Program Inland Flood Forecasting and Warning System Act of 2002, Pub. Law No For more info, see USGS Scientific Investigations Report :

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 17 NWS North Carolina and Gulf Coast Area Libraries For access to the current flood map libraries, go to the NOAA NWS AHPS Web Link: From NC Projects: Established Flood Mapping Technique in cooperation with USGS Water Science Center/NC Flood Mapping Program, Flood Categories, Flood Depths, AHPS Flood Mapping Interface.Established Flood Mapping Technique in cooperation with USGS Water Science Center/NC Flood Mapping Program, Flood Categories, Flood Depths, AHPS Flood Mapping Interface. From Gulf Coast Projects: Quality Assurance, Quality Checks, Additional Modeling Techniques, Field Review Process, In-house and Contract LaborQuality Assurance, Quality Checks, Additional Modeling Techniques, Field Review Process, In-house and Contract Labor

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 18 NWS Eastern Regional 2009 AHPS Inundation Mapping Activities Example of Partnership with USGS and Local City Officials NOAA NWS Newest AHPS Flood Map Library

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 19 NWS Southern Regional 2009 AHPS Inundation Mapping Activities Example of Partnership with Region Basin Commissions Lower Colorado River Authority, San Antonio River Authority Partnership among NWS and Regional Basin Commission to develop flood inundation maps at NWS AHPS Forecast locations by end of Partner will provide stream data, cross sections, and rating curves needed to calibrate models.Partner will provide stream data, cross sections, and rating curves needed to calibrate models. Partner and WGRFC will provide technical guidance and local hydrologic expertise to help set-up, run, and validate the models.Partner and WGRFC will provide technical guidance and local hydrologic expertise to help set-up, run, and validate the models. Added Benefits: QAQC Templates, CRS CreditsAdded Benefits: QAQC Templates, CRS Credits

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 20 NWS Eastern Regional AHPS Inundation Mapping Activities Example of Partnership with USACE, Basin Commissions Delaware River Partnership among NWS, USACE, and Regional Basin Commission to develop flood inundation maps at NWS AHPS Forecast locations by end of Partner will provide stream data, cross sections, and rating curves needed to calibrate models.Partner will provide stream data, cross sections, and rating curves needed to calibrate models. USACE will provide technical guidance and local hydrologic expertise to help set-up, run, and validate the models.USACE will provide technical guidance and local hydrologic expertise to help set-up, run, and validate the models. Added Benefits: SOW Templates, Checklists, Improved GuidelinesAdded Benefits: SOW Templates, Checklists, Improved Guidelines US Army Corps of Engineers ®

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 21 NWS Eastern Regional AHPS Inundation Mapping Activities Example of Partnership with River Basin Commission Susquehanna River Partnership among NWS and Regional Basin Commission to develop flood inundation maps at NWS AHPS Forecast locations by end of Partner and contractor will provide stream data, cross sections, and rating curves needed to calibrate models.Partner and contractor will provide stream data, cross sections, and rating curves needed to calibrate models. Partner and Contractor will provide technical guidance and local hydrologic expertise to help set-up, run, and validate the models.Partner and Contractor will provide technical guidance and local hydrologic expertise to help set-up, run, and validate the models. Added Benefits: Depth Raster Improvements, Metadata ConsistenciesAdded Benefits: Depth Raster Improvements, Metadata Consistencies

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 22 NWS Central Regional FY09-FY10 AHPS Inundation Mapping Activities Example of Partnerships with USGS and State Central Indiana Partnership among NOAA, USGS, Polis Center, and Indiana to develop near real-time inundation maps based on NWS Forecasts and show the infrastructure at risks for 20 forecast points by end of USGS will provide stream gage data, cross sections, and rating curves needed to calibrate models.USGS will provide stream gage data, cross sections, and rating curves needed to calibrate models. The USGS Water Science Centers provided technical guidance and local hydrologic expertise to help validate the models.The USGS Water Science Centers provided technical guidance and local hydrologic expertise to help validate the models. Added Benefits: 1D/2D Hydraulic Modeling, HAZUS, CRS CreditsAdded Benefits: 1D/2D Hydraulic Modeling, HAZUS, CRS Credits

“Water Predictions for Life Decisions” Page 23 NWS National/Regional 2010 AHPS Inundation Mapping Activities. Example of Partnership with Academia and State Kansas, Wisconsin, Iowa, North Carolina Partnership among NWS, State, and Academia to develop flood inundation maps at NWS AHPS Forecast locations by end of Partner will provide stream data, cross sections, and rating curves needed to calibrate models.Partner will provide stream data, cross sections, and rating curves needed to calibrate models. Academia will provide technical guidance and local hydrologic expertise to help set-up, run, and validate the models.Academia will provide technical guidance and local hydrologic expertise to help set-up, run, and validate the models. Added Benefits: Evaluation of Map Maintenance.Added Benefits: Evaluation of Map Maintenance.

24 NOAA National Weather Service NOAA NWS AHPS Flood Mapping depends on partnerships, diligence, dedication, and commitment.NOAA NWS AHPS Flood Mapping depends on partnerships, diligence, dedication, and commitment. NOAA NWS AHPS Flood Maps help better convey the flood risk in association with the flood forecast and warnings.NOAA NWS AHPS Flood Maps help better convey the flood risk in association with the flood forecast and warnings. NOAA is working collectively on a summit to the sea approach in saving life and property.NOAA is working collectively on a summit to the sea approach in saving life and property.