Environmental Scan SEM Data Team August 22, 2012.

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Presentation transcript:

Environmental Scan SEM Data Team August 22, 2012

 Moving from college access to degree success  Preparing K-12 teachers, school leaders and students for college success  Ensuring that college is affordable  Focusing the role of the community colleges  Strengthening Indiana’s major research universities  Embracing accountability Source: ICHE

Students and the state are not well served by an empty promise of college access without completion. Degree Completion Remediation Success Student Persistence A more productive higher education system will increase student success and safeguard college affordability. On-Time Completion Cost Per Degree Student Debt Increasing college completion and productivity need not come at the expense of academic quality Learning Outcomes Transfer Return on Investment Source: ICHE

Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce (2012).

Affordability DemographicsPreparationEnrollment

AffordabilityDemographics Preparation Enrollment a) Decrease by 5% b) Remain stable c) Increase by 5% d) Increase by 15%

Projected Population Change by County, 2010 to 2050 Indiana’s population will increase 15% Source: Indiana Business Research Center (IBRC)

Projected Shared of Total Population by Age Group, 2010 to 2050 (per IBRC) Projected Population Change by Age Group, 2010 to 2050 (per IBRC)

Source: Western Intestate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE)

Source: Indiana Department of Education

Source: Going the Distance, Online Education in the United States, 2011 Babson Survey Research Group

ICN’s mission is to be a learner-centered electronic-learning collaboration that provides partner institutions with innovative means to meet lifelong learning needs of Indiana citizens. The ICN online catalog includes more than 200 complete certificate and degree programs available at a distance. Approximately 3,000 college credit classes are offered Roughly 200 distance classes are available to high-school students every semester. Over 500 online continuing education classes are regularly available. Annual college credit enrollments in technology-delivered classes have long since passed the 100,000 mark Source: Indiana College Network

National Overall graduate enrollment has increased on average 3.3% each year ( ) Women and minorities, especially Hispanic students, drive most enrollment gains. Six out of ten were enrolled in public institutions More than half were enrolled in Education, Business or Health Sciences 75% were enrolled in Master ’ s programs Indiana State University ISU graduate enrollment is stable and represents 18% of total ISU enrollment 61% are women and 15% are minorities Nearly 1 in 4 have ISU Bachelors degrees 75% are enrolled in 13 departments Doctoral students represent 22% of total Source: Council of Graduate Schools

Source: Lumina Foundation

Indiana ranks 40 th nationally in higher education attainment and 41st in personal per capita income. Source: US Census Bureau

AffordabilityDemographics Preparation Enrollment a) 8% b) 18% c) 28% d) 38%

Source: College Board

 Increase in Core 40 and honors diplomas: ◦ 70.4 percent to 80.9 percent  Increase in graduates passing AP exams: ◦ 7.5 percent to 14.0 percent  Increase in Dual Credit Course-Taking ◦ 10,000 to over 43,000 students (317 percent increase) Source: ICHE

 General Diploma Graduates – 66%  Core40 Graduates - 38%  Core40 with Honors Graduates – 7% One in four Indiana college students enrolled in remediation will earn a degree within 6 years Source: Complete College America, 2011

Affordability Demographics Preparation Enrollment a) 33% b) 50% c) 66% d) 75%

29 Compound Annual Growth Rate: 4.7% Source: Higher Education Funding in Indiana: The Role of the Indiana Commission for Higher Education, Trustees Academy, Aug

Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO) State Higher Education Finance FY 2011

Source: ICHE

Evolution of CHE Funding Recommendations Enrollment Change (credit hours enrolled) Enrollment Change (successfully completed credit hours) Inflation Adjustments Equity Adjustment Research Support Incentive Remediation Success (VU & ITCC only) Change in number of degrees Change in On-Time graduation Rate Two Year Transfer Incentive Dual creditStudent Persistence Low Income Degree Completion Incentive Workforce Development Incentive (funding non-credit coursework) High Impact Degree Completion (IUB, PUWL, BSU only) Institutional Defined Metric 32 Source: ICHE

ISU Contribution to Performance Funding Pool ISU Funds Recommended by ICHE ISU Funds Approved in Final Budget Successful Completion of Credit Hours$733,248$8,024$0 Dual Credit Successful Completion of Credit Hours$89,420$4,875$5,025 Early College Successful Completion of Credit Hours$28,615$0 Low Income Degree Attainment$143,073$751,456$228,375 On-Time Degree Change$71,536$1,681,129$221,404 Change in Degrees Attained$1,788,409$0 Research Incentive$722,517$0 Total$3,576,818$2,445,484$454,804 Source: ISU VP Business Affairs

FY12 CHE Recommendation for allocation of performance funding dollars: 55% through increases in overall degree completion and on-time degrees 30% rewards progress in persistence and low income degrees 15% improvement in institution-defined metric

Source: College Board – Trends in College Pricing 2011

The College Board: Trends in College Pricing 2010

Fall 2001Fall 2011 Course Level Distinct Courses Course Enrollments Total Fees Distinct Courses Course Enrollments Total Fees Undergraduate $76, $558,099 Graduate3582$3, $161,958 Total $79, $720,057 Average per course enrollment $30 $117

70% of families are eliminating college choices based on cost More students are now choosing to enroll in community colleges Source: How America Pays for College, Ipsos/Sallie Mae

$ 2,716 $ 3,993 $ 3,083 $ 6,143 $ 4,646 $ 4,115 $ 2,500 $ 6,619 $ 4,559 $ 4,481 $ 2,835 $ 6,171 Financial Aid to ISU Full-time First-time Freshman % of cohort receiving aid by type Source: ISU IPEDS Financial Aid Survey

Affordability Demographics Preparation Enrollment a) 60% b) 56% c) 51% d) 45%

Institution Average (last 4) FR retention rate Actual graduation rate Percent of classes with less than 20 students Percent of classes with 50 or more students Percent FTE faculty that are full-time SAT V+M/ACT 25th-75th percentile Percent of freshmen in top 10% of high school class Average alumni giving rate Indiana University-- Bloomington90%71%34%18%95% %16% Purdue Univ.--West Lafayette87%69%37%17%96% %19% Ball State University78%57%34%12%92% %11% Indiana U.-Purdue U.-- Indianapolis70%34%35%9%86% %11% Indiana State University66%44%30%9%89% %10% University of Southern Indiana67%32%34%7%77% %4% Source US News 2011

Source: IPEDS (2010).

ISU largest 1yr change (9.4%) USI largest 5yr change (13.2%) Source: ICHE

FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10FY11 1yr change 5yr change Ivy Tech Community College Total104,808111,205120,447135,699166,555174,7624.9%66.7% Vincennes University Total16,23516,33317,11020,42923,11123, %41.9% FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10FY11 1yr change 5yr change Indiana University-East3,3693,2533,2603,5524,1104, %37.8% Indiana University-Kokomo4,1313,9223,8483,6954,1194,2252.6%2.3% Indiana University-Northwest6,8906,8716,5766,6697,4757,9476.3%15.3% Indiana University-South Bend10,26310,08610,06910,39111,19411, %7.3% Indiana University-Southeast8,3388,4168,3788,7969,1129,3873.0%12.6% Indiana University-Purdue University-Fort Wayne14,83914,79915,05715,94517,24017, %15.9% Purdue University-Calumet Campus11,95511,92012,14811,71212,51012, %3.5% Purdue University-North Central Campus4,4804,6624,7975,1175,7126,0125.3%34.2% Source: ICHE

Source: Independent Colleges of Indiana

Source: National Student Clearinghouse

Source: Chronicle (per IPEDS)

 Based on our environment, what are the areas of opportunity for ISU’s enrollment?  How can we best prepare students for academic success, knowing that preparation is a significant issue for our students?