Euro in the world and in Russia Olga Butorina Institute of Europe Russian Academy of Sciences Russian Academy of Sciences.

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Presentation transcript:

Euro in the world and in Russia Olga Butorina Institute of Europe Russian Academy of Sciences Russian Academy of Sciences

Functions of international currency Money function Private useOfficial use Medium of exchange Invoice & vehicle currency Intervention currency Unit of accountQuotation currency Pegging currency Store of valueInvestment currency Reserve currency

Euro and Dollar in the world

Russia’s aims decrease dollarization $60 bln cash diversify currency structure of foreign trade & trans-border settlements decrease Forex risks

European Union’s aims euro - international currency invoice currency in energy trade euro - regional foreign currency (Europe, Mediterranean, French Africa, Russia, CIS countries)

Opportunities alternative to the dollar deals with the rest of Europe and Mediterranean better access to EU financial markets

Challenges rooted dollarisation small depth of euro-ruble market higher volatility of exchange rate (managing float – USD) wider spreads exports of raw materials

Daily sport forex trading in Russia, 2003 (bn USD)

Cash transactions in euro, monthly volumes bn EUR

USD and EUR cash spreads (%)

Daily official rates in Oct-Nov 2003 (rubles per 1 USD and EUR)

Possible structure of world Forex market

Conclusions Euro is good for external operations, no internal euroisation No reasons to join EU and Eurozone Ruble in Russia and CIS Euro in gas trade, than – in oil High XR volatility in future, new risk management is needed