Monetary policy 1www.ecb.europa.eu © Price stability – Objective of the Eurosystem Article 127 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union:

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Presentation transcript:

Monetary policy 1www.ecb.europa.eu © Price stability – Objective of the Eurosystem Article 127 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union: “1. The primary objective of the ESCB [Eurosystem] shall be to maintain price stability. Without prejudice to the objective of price stability, the ESCB [Eurosystem] shall support the general economic policies in the Union with a view to contributing to the achievement of the objectives of the Union as laid down in Article 3 of the Treaty on European Union.”

Monetary policy 2www.ecb.europa.eu © Price stability – Definition “Price stability shall be defined as a year-on-year increase in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for the euro area of below 2%. Price stability is to be maintained over the medium term.” The Governing Council aims to maintain inflation rates at levels below, but close to, 2% over the medium term. Governing Council in October 1998:

Monetary policy 3www.ecb.europa.eu © Benefits of price stability Price stability contributes to Recognising changes in relative prices Avoiding “inflation risk premium” The productive use of resources Reducing the distortionary impact of tax and social security systems Maintaining social cohesion and stability Financial stability

Monetary policy 4www.ecb.europa.eu © cross-checking The ECB’s monetary policy strategy Primary objective: price stability Economic analysis Analysis of economic dynamics and shocks Monetary analysis Analysis of monetary trends Full set of information Governing Council takes monetary policy decisions based on an overall assessment of the risks to price stability

Monetary policy 5www.ecb.europa.eu © Monetary policy strategy – Economic analysis Analysis of a broad range of economic/financial developments Goods, services, factor markets to assess DynamicsEconomic shocksPerspectives SupplyDemand

Monetary policy 6www.ecb.europa.eu © Monetary policy strategy – Monetary analysis Analysis of monetary and credit developments Long-run link between money and prices in the euro area Identification of financial imbalances and/or asset price bubbles Money as medium to long-term benchmark

Monetary policy 7www.ecb.europa.eu © Transmission mechanism – How interest rates affect prices Official interest rates Price developments Supply and demand in goods and labour markets ExpectationsMoney market rates Exchange ratesBank ratesAsset pricesMoney, credit Wage and price-setting Import prices Domestic prices

Monetary policy 8www.ecb.europa.eu © Key characteristics of a successful monetary policy When it takes its monetary policy decisions, the Governing Council seeks to influence conditions in the money market.* Monetary policy aims to preserve the functioning of the transmission mechanism be forward-looking and pre-emptive focus on the medium term firmly anchor inflation expectations be broadly based. * In normal times the level of short-term interest rates can be set so as to ensure that price stability is maintained over the medium term.

Monetary policy 9www.ecb.europa.eu © The monetary policy instruments Standing facilities Open market operations Reserve requirements Deposit facility Marginal lending facility (Rates generally lower than market rates) (Rates generally higher than market rates) Main refinancing operations (Maturity: one week) Longer-term refinancing operations Fine-tuning operations Structural operations Reserve base Deposits, debt securities and money market paper Reserve ratio For the majority of the items to which the reserve base applies Remuneration Reserve holdings will be remunerated at the Eurosystem’s rate on its main refinancing operations