UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Socio-economic Benefits of GEO and GEOSS: Geobene and Geo-wiki Steffen Fritz International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria – UIC meeting Washington 16th of Nov 2009

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009

Public GEOSS benefit assessment

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 The benefit chain concept

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Levels of EO data and associated benefits differentiated towards GEOSS which can be modeled with a global land use model such as GLOBIOM

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Land Constraint World Scenarios GLC-2000 agricultural land: M ha

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 MODIS-2000 agricultural land: M ha

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009

Scenario to compute value of land availability uncertainty GLOBIOM calculations 2030 estimated food and wood demand + Substitution of up to 10% of transport oil energy consumption according to IPCC/GGI A2r baseline scenario 2030 in each of the 11 regions by ethanol. Variants a) WITH additional land (explicit supply function) b) WITOUT additional land + avoided deforestation

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Ethanol Consumption

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 AgLand Use Scenario

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Water Use

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 GHG Balance

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Crop Prices

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 III. Illustrative application

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Land availability uncertainty is a USD 350 billion Gas bill Question in the scenario

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Before

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 After

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Specific Example: Field survey vs. aerial survey Terrestrial MappingAerial Photogrammetry (Digital) Cost100 USD/ha12-14 USD/ha Manpower5 ha/day/team50,000 ha/yr/company Damaged Area300,000 ha Time1 team = 164 years1 company = 6 years 1000 teams = 2 months 10 companies = 6 months Total Cost26.3 million USD3.6 million USD Source: K. Wikantika

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 A spatially explicit assessment of current and future hotspots of hunger in Sub-Saharan Africa in the context of global change Projected Until 2030

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Things to conserve & how much of them to conserve + Things to avoid = Where to conserve Benefit chain & conservation planning An introduction to conservation planning

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Case study 3:The benefit chain & conservation planning Ecosystems Landcover Species No GEOSS GEOSS

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Finer resolution species, ecosystem & land cover data 10% less land required 1.2 bill 57 mill pa. 200 mill YES!

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009

WP6 misssion

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Geo-wiki.org

UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009