Characterization and causes of variability of sea level and thermocline depth in the tropical South Indian Ocean Laurie Trenary University of Colorado.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Upper Ocean Processes in the Indian Ocean associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation Toshiaki Shinoda (Texas A&M Univ., Corpus Christi), Weiqing Han.
Advertisements

Understanding Potential Factors Influencing the ITF in the 21 st Century Tony Lee NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory California Institute of Technology.
Evolution of the El Niño : The Role of Intraseasonal to Interannual Time Scale Dynamics Michael J. McPhaden NOAA/PMEL Seattle, Washington CLIVAR.
Analysis of Eastern Indian Ocean Cold and Warm Events: The air-sea interaction under the Indian monsoon background Qin Zhang RSIS, Climate Prediction Center,
Essentials of Oceanography
Hurricanes and climate ATOC 4720 class22. Hurricanes Hurricanes intense rotational storm that develop in regions of very warm SST (typhoons in western.
Chapter 7 Ocean Circulation
Indian Ocean circulation and climate variability
El Niño, La Niña and the Southern Oscillation
Teleconnection of Tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean Oscillation with Monsoon Rainfall Variability over Nepal 8/8/20141 Lochan P. Devkota & Ujjwal Tiwari.
The ENSO : El Niño and the Southern Oscillation J.P. Céron (Météo-France) and R. Washington (Oxford University)
Ocean Stratification and Circulation Martin Visbeck DEES, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
The 1997/98 ENSO event. Multivariate ENSO Index Index is based on 6 parameters relevant to phase.
SSH anomalies from satellite. Observed annual mean state Circulation creates equatorial cold tongues eastern Pacific Trades -> Ocean upwelling along Equator.
Chap. 3 Regional climates in tropics 3.1 Regional climates 3.2 Ocean circulations 3.3 Structure of the InterTropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) 3.4 Monsoon.
Thermohaline Circulation
The 1997/98 ENSO event. Multivariate ENSO Index Index is based on 6 parameters relevant to phase.
Yukio Masumoto (RIGC, JAMSTEC). Outline  Indian Ocean Observing System - Background and present status  Examples of key phenomena observed by IndOOS.
El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) 20 April 06 Byoung-Cheol Kim METEO 6030 Earth Climate System.
MODULATING FACTORS OF THE CLIMATOLOGICAL VARIABILITY OF THE MEXICAN PACIFIC; MODEL AND DATA. ABSTRACT. Sea Surface Temperature and wind from the Comprehensive.
Modes of Pacific Climate Variability: ENSO and the PDO Michael Alexander Earth System Research Lab michael.alexander/publications/
Estimation of the Barrier Layer Thickness in the Indian Ocean using satellite derived salinity Subrahmanyam Bulusu Satellite Oceanography Laboratory Department.
Potential temperature ( o C, Levitus 1994) Surface Global zonal mean.
Climate Change Projections of the Tasman Sea from an Ocean Eddy- resolving Model – the importance of eddies Richard Matear, Matt Chamberlain, Chaojiao.
Triggering of the Madden-Julian Oscillation by equatorial ocean dynamics. Benjamin G. M. Webber IAPSO-IAMAS JM10: Monsoons, Tropical Cyclones and Tropical.
Modulation of eastern North Pacific hurricanes by the Madden-Julian oscillation. (Maloney, E. D., and D. L. Hartmann, 2000: J. Climate, 13, )
Rossby Wave Two-layer model with rigid lid η=0, p s ≠0 The pressures for the upper and lower layers are The perturbations are 
Changes in the Seasonal Cycle of Sea Surface Salinity from Jim Reagan 1,2, Tim Boyer 2, John Antonov 2,3, Melissa Zweng 2 1 University of Maryland.
Sara Vieira Committee members: Dr. Peter Webster
The Influence of Tropical-Extratropical Interactions on ENSO Variability Michael Alexander NOAA/Earth System Research Lab.
The role of the basic state in the ENSO-monsoon relationship and implications for predictability Andrew Turner, Pete Inness, Julia Slingo.
Ocean Circulation.
Regional Air-Sea Interactions in Eastern Pacific 6th International RSM Workshop Palisades, New York July 11-15, th International RSM Workshop Palisades,
Regional Scale Variability in Eastern Pacific: Relevance to SPURS-2 Campaign Janet Sprintall, Scripps Institution of Oceanography MoorSPICE Cruise, Solomon.
Eastern WP Gap winds April 2013 Dec 2013 SST warmest coldest Local gap wind effect Regional conditions, comments by Gordon and Sprintall SST 6 April 2014.
Current Weather Introduction to Air-Sea interactions Ekman Transport Sub-tropical and sub-polar gyres Upwelling and downwelling Return Exam I For Next.
Bifurcation Dynamics L. Gourdeau (1), B. Kessler (2) 1), LEGOS/IRD Nouméa, New Caledonia, 2) NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, USA Why is it important to study the bifurcation.
1 Using Satellite Data for Climate Modeling Studies: Representing Ocean Biology-induced Feedback Effect in the Tropical Pacific Rong-Hua Zhang CICS-ESSIC,
1 Daily modes of the South Asian monsoon variability and their relation with SST Deepthi Achuthavarier Work done with V. Krishnamurthy Acknowledgments.
Variations in the Activity of the Madden-Julian Oscillation:
Role of the Gulf Stream and Kuroshio-Oyashio Systems in Large- Scale Atmosphere-Ocean Interaction: A Review Young-oh Kwon et al.
1 Opposite phases of the Antarctic Oscillation and Relationships with Intraseasonal to Interannual Activity in the Tropics during the Austral Summer (submitted.
A Synthetic Drifter Analysis of Upper-Limb Meridional Overturning Circulation Interior Ocean Pathways in the Tropical/Subtropical Atlantic George Halliwell,
Contrasting Summer Monsoon Cold Pools South of Indian Peninsula Presented at ROMS/TOMS Asia-Pacific Workshop-2009, Sydney Institute of Marine Sciences,
1 Development of a Regional Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model Hyodae Seo, Arthur J. Miller, John O. Roads, and Masao Kanamitsu Scripps Institution of Oceanography.
Lesson 8: Currents Physical Oceanography
Indian Ocean modeling: successes, problems and prospects IO Modeling Workshop November 29 – December 3, 2004.
By S.-K. Lee (CIMAS/UM), D. Enfield (AOML/NOAA), C. Wang (AOML/NOAA), and G. Halliwell Jr. (RSMAS/UM) Objectives: (1)To assess the appropriateness of commonly.
Interannual Variability (Indian Ocean Dipole) P. N. Vinayachandran Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (CAOS) Indian Institute of Science (IISc)
Southern California Coast Observed Temperature Anomalies Observed Salinity Anomalies Geostrophic Along-shore Currents Warming Trend Low Frequency Salinity.
Interannual to decadal variability of circulation in the northern Japan/East Sea, Dmitry Stepanov 1, Victoriia Stepanova 1 and Anatoly Gusev.
Matthew J. Hoffman CEAFM/Burgers Symposium May 8, 2009 Johns Hopkins University Courtesy NOAA/AVHRR Courtesy NASA Earth Observatory.
Michael J. McPhaden, NOAA/PMEL Dongxiao Zhang, University of Washington and NOAA/PMEL Circulation Changes Linked to ENSO- like Pacific Decadal Variability.
ESSL Holland, CCSM Workshop 0606 Predicting the Earth System Across Scales: Both Ways Summary:Rationale Approach and Current Focus Improved Simulation.
M. Roberts, P. L. Vidale, D. Stevens, Ian Stevens, Len Shaffrey, UJCC team with help from many others at Met Office and NCAS-Climate and CCSR/NIES/FRCGC.
Our water planet and our water hemisphere
Climate and the Global Water Cycle Using Satellite Data
Wind-driven halocline variability in the western Arctic Ocean
Complication in Climate Change
Ocean State Estimation by 4D-VAR Data Assimilation using ARGO Data S
Connecting observations with theoretical models
Andrew Turner, Pete Inness, Julia Slingo
A Comparison of Profiling Float and XBT Representations of Upper Layer Temperature Structure of the Northwestern Subtropical North Atlantic Robert L.
Roles of Banda Sea to air-sea interaction over Indonesia, the existing oceanographic measurements and future plans of oceanographic observatories in the.
The 1997/98 ENSO event.
Prospects for Wintertime European Seasonal Prediction
The 1997/98 ENSO event.
The 1997/98 ENSO event.
Joint Proposal to WGOMD for a community ocean model experiment
Ocean/atmosphere variability related to the development of tropical Pacific sea-surface temperature anomalies in the CCSM2.0 and CCSM3.0 Bruce T. Anderson,
Presentation transcript:

Characterization and causes of variability of sea level and thermocline depth in the tropical South Indian Ocean Laurie Trenary University of Colorado

Seasonal cycle: winds and thermocline depth Schott et al. 2009

Open Ocean Upwelling and Weather/Climate Tropical Cyclone NASA-Earth Observatory Saji et al SST Xie et al Tropical Cyclones Formation Strong intraseaonal SST variability Interactions with the MJO? Interannually: Intrinsic part of the IOD with significant climatic consequences

What are the possible mechanisms? Rossby waves? Local Ekman Pumping? Time

Remote Influence from the Pacific Wijffels and Meyers (2004) Interannual: 5-10% Energy flux from the Pacific (Clarke 1991; Spall and Pedlosky 2005) Annual: 80% energy flux from the Pacific-- -only 10% is found off shore (Potemra 2001)

Present Study What drives sea level/thermocline depth variability on multiple timescales and what is the relative importance of ? 1.Local: Direct Ekman pumping 2.Regionally Remote: Regionally forced large scale Ekman pumping and Rossby wave propagation 3.Remote: Transmission from the Pacific

2. Models and Experiments Models HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM):  Domain: Indian-Pacific basin 55 o S-55 o N; 30 °E to 290 °E  Resolution: 0.33 o x0.33 o resolution; 20 vertical layers  Forcing: ERA40: 3-day-mean winds, specific humidity, air temperature, precipitation, net shortwave and longwave radiation ( ) Linear Ocean Model (LOM)  Domain: Indian-Pacific basin 45 o S-45 o N; 30 °E to 290 °E. Damping is applied in a 5 o band extending from the boundaries  Resolution: 0.33 o x0.33 o resolution; 15 vertical mode  Continuously stratified using Levitus temperature and salinity (Levitus and Boyer 1994; Levitus et al. 1994) Reanalysis and Observations SODA-POP: D20A Aviso: SSHA INSTANT : ITF Transport and Water Mass Properties

2. Methods: Experiment Design INDOPAC = Pacific +Indian Ocean forcing IND= Indian Ocean forcing Experiment DesignModel bathometry

3. Results: Model/Data Comparison Standard Deviation of Seasonal to Interannual SSHA and D20 MODELOBSERVATIONS REANALYSIS SSHA D20A

3. Results: Model/Data Comparison Seasonal to Interannual SSHA and D20A Good agreement with observations!!! SSHA D20A-SSHA highly correlated

3. Results: Model/Data Comparison Standard Deviation of Intraseasonal SSHA MODELOBSERVATIONS

3. Results: Model/Data Comparison Observed and modeled ITF Decent agreement of ITF transport Model captures variability of hydrodynamic properties

Interannual Variability

SSHA SSHA: INDIAN D20A D20A: INDIAN 3. Interannual: Standard Deviation Maps INDOPAC INDDIFF LOM:SSHA

Interpreting our results

3. Interannual Region 1 INDOPAC (total) Local Forcing : IND (Indian Ocean) INDOPAC-IND (Pacific forcing) Remote Forcing IO : upwelling downwelling

3. Interannual Region 2 upwelling downwelling

D20A: IO

3. Interannual: Positive Composite INDOPACINDDIFF

Seasonal Variability

3. Seasonal Region 1 Region 2 Region 1

D20A: IO 3. Seasonal Evolution: Hovmöller INDOPACIND DIFF

D20A: PACIFIC+IOD20A: IOD20A: PACIFIC

Intraseasonal Variability

3. Intraseasonal : Standard Deviation Maps INDOPACINDDIFF

Controls of ITF

Conclusions On seasonal-to-interannual timescales sea level/thermocline depth variability is driven by winds acting on Indian Ocean Interannual – SSHA/D20A is associated with Rossby wave propagation forced by windstress curl in the eastern IO – Pacific influence is greatest south of 10 o S and transmission strongly modifies ITF Seasonal: – SSHA/D20A forcing varies based on location: combination of local Ekman pumping and Rossby wave propagation – Indian Ocean determines phase of the ITF, the Pacific damps the transport Intraseasonal: – In the ridge region, sea level variability is relatively weak, and it results from IO wind forcing – Forcing over the IO is the major cause for intraseasonal variability of the ITF Decadal: – Pacific appears to contribute to the subsurface temperature variability of the SIO

Thank You!

Decadal Variability

3. Long term trend

3. Subsurface temperature variability

INDOPACINDDIFF INDOPACIND DIFF

INDOPACIND DIFF

INDOPACIND DIFF

3. Pacific Tropical winds warm cold

c = phase speed  = frequency R Earth = Earth radius Turning latitude

3. Interannual: Negative Composite D20A: HYCOM-MRD20A: HYCOM-EXPD20A: MR-EXP Composite events: 73-74;74-75;75-76;80-81;81-82;84-85;92-93;98-99

Thermocline Ridge of the Indian Ocean Vialard et al. 2009

3. Transmission and the ITF