Research and analysis by Avalere Health Impact of the Economic Downturn on Hospitals FINAL January 14, 2009.

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Research and analysis by Avalere Health Impact of the Economic Downturn on Hospitals FINAL January 14, 2009

Research and analysis by Avalere Health Chart 1: Unemployment Rate (Non-farm), Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Force Statistics. (2008). Access at: Unemployment has grown markedly over the past year. 44% increase

Research and analysis by Avalere Health As individuals lose employer-sponsored insurance, pressures on Medicaid increase. Source: Current Population Survey, U.S. Census Bureau. (2008). Access at: and Fronstin, P. (November 2005). Sources of Health Insurance Characteristics of the Uninsured: Analysis of the March 2005 Current Population Survey. EBRI Issue Brief, No Chart 2: Percent of Population with Employer-sponsored Insurance (ESI) and Medicaid

Research and analysis by Avalere Health Many states face budget shortfalls… No Budget Gap FY09 and/or FY10 Budget Gap Chart 3: States with Budget Gaps in FY 2009 or Projected for FY 2010, as of December 23, 2008 Source: McNichol, E., and Lav, I.J. (23 December 2008). State Budget Troubles Worsen. Washington, DC: Center on Budget Policy and Priorities.

Research and analysis by Avalere Health …and Medicaid – comprising nearly a quarter of state spending – is a target for budget cuts. Chart 4: Percent of State Spending by Function, FY 2007 Source: National Governors Association and National Association of State Budget Officers. (June 2008). The Fiscal Survey of States. Washington, DC. Total Spending: $1.46 Trillion

Research and analysis by Avalere Health The credit crunch is affecting hospitals in multiple ways. Chart 5: Percent of Hospitals Reporting Various Effects of Credit Crisis, November 2008 Source: AHA. (November 2008). Rapid Response Survey, The Economic Crisis: Impact on Hospitals.

Research and analysis by Avalere Health More than half of hospitals are reconsidering or postponing investments in facilities and equipment. Chart 6: Percent of Hospitals Reconsidering or Postponing Capital Expenditures, November 2008 Source: AHA. (November 2008). Rapid Response Survey, The Economic Crisis: Impact on Hospitals.

Research and analysis by Avalere Health More than half of hospitals revenue comes from Medicare and Medicaid… Chart 7: Percent of Gross Revenue by Payer, 2007 Source: Avalere Health analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 2007, for community hospitals.

Research and analysis by Avalere Health …yet Medicaid and Medicare payments to hospitals already fail to cover costs. Chart 8: Hospital Payment Shortfall Relative to Costs for Medicare and Medicaid, 1997 – 2007 Source: Avalere Health analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 2007, for community hospitals.

Research and analysis by Avalere Health During economic downturns, the need for financial assistance and subsidized services swells. Chart 9: Percent of Hospitals Reporting a Moderate to Significant Increase in Uncompensated Care and Need for Subsidized Services in Past Three Months, November 2008 Source: AHA. (November 2008). Rapid Response Survey, The Economic Crisis: Impact on Hospitals.

Research and analysis by Avalere Health The downturn is beginning to impact the financial health of hospitals. Chart 10: Total, Operating and Patient Margins*, 3rd Quarter 2007 vs. 3rd Quarter 2008 Source: DATABANK, 557 hospitals reporting data for both 3rd Quarter 2007 and 3rd Quarter 2008 as of November 11, * Total Hospital Margin is calculated as the difference between total net revenue and total expenses divided by total net revenue. Operating Margin is calculated as the difference between operating revenue and total expenses divided by operating revenue. Patient Margin is calculated as the difference between net patient revenue and total expenses divided by net patient revenue. Patient Margin Operating Margin Total Margin

Research and analysis by Avalere Health Chart 11: Percent Change in Employment, Seasonally Adjusted: Hospital vs. All Industries (Total Non-farm), 2006 – 2008 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. (2008). Link: *2008 Qtr 4 data are preliminary Nationwide, hospital jobs are still growing even as employment in other industries declines.

Research and analysis by Avalere Health Even so, many hospitals are making or considering cutbacks as economic concerns mount. Chart 12: Percent of Hospitals Making or Considering Changes in Response to Economic Concerns, November 2008 Source: AHA. (November 2008). Rapid Response Survey, The Economic Crisis: Impact on Hospitals.