Federal R&D: Overview, Update and Outlook Matt Hourihan September 15, 2013 for the National Association of Graduate-Professional Students AAAS R&D Budget.

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Presentation transcript:

Federal R&D: Overview, Update and Outlook Matt Hourihan September 15, 2013 for the National Association of Graduate-Professional Students AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

Why (Public) R&D? Technology and innovation account for >50% of postwar growth in most developed countries Productivity growth Decentralized nature of modern innovation Public-Private STEM capacity Radical innovations (ideas, technologies, tools, methods) Its all about risk, uncertainty, and time Govt as de-risker, expander of knowledge stock

Admin FY 2014 R&D Priorities Clear shift from D to R And from Defense to Nondefense Science NSF, Dept. of Energy SC Agriculture, neuroscience, big data, defense science Webb Telescope Innovation Advanced manufacturing initiatives across the board Translational Medicine (NIH) Space Technology (NASA)

Admin FY 2014 R&D Priorities (Cont) Clean Energy Renewable/efficiency technology offices, ARPA-E But not so much for nuclear Homeland Security Biodefense facility National Nuclear Security Administration (New START) STEM Education Reorganization

Admin FY 2014 R&D Priorities (Cont) The biggie for R&D: Returning discretionary spending to pre- sequester levels Every agency would receive major increases above FY13

Congress: Where Are We? Of 12 appropriations bills: Four through House, none through Senate Fiscal year + debt ceiling Two discretionary budget caps: President and Senate: $1.06 trillion… House (and current law): $967 billion R&D appropriations decisions so far (mostly) reflect these differences But does any of it matter?

Congress So Far Areas of (rough) agreement: Defense (including DOE), Homeland Security, Veterans- related R&D STEM reorganization: no thanks, for now Planetary science USDA

Congress So Far (Cont) Rough agreement in priorities but divergent funding anyway NSF Social sciences…? NASA exploration and technology: asteroids?? DOE Office of Science Fusion? BER? NIST

Congress So Far (Cont) Areas of complete divergence in priorities Clean energy R&D Natural resources and environmental science EPA, USGS Unknown: NIH, but House Labor-HHS bill will be much smaller

Big Picture / Looking Ahead The clock is ticking Analysts: a mix of taxes and spending cuts But hardline politics has led to complete and utter fiscal failure Almost certainly heading for a continuing resolution FY13 funding minus ~2%? The debt ceiling situation is scary FY 2015 planning also murky

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