FROM UTILITIES TO CANADIAN TRUSTS: INVESTING SAFELY FOR HIGH YIELD AND GROWTH ROGER S. CONRAD.

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Presentation transcript:

FROM UTILITIES TO CANADIAN TRUSTS: INVESTING SAFELY FOR HIGH YIELD AND GROWTH ROGER S. CONRAD

BAD NEWS CREDIT CRUNCH WORSENS ZERO RISK TOLERANCE FINANCIAL SYSTEM WEAKENED DOLLAR DECLINES AND INFLATION POLITICAL RISKS NEED VISIBLE BOTTOM

GOOD NEWS FEDS TO THE RESCUE 10 YEAR TREASURY YIELD DROPS VALUATIONS HAVE TUMBLED TAX ADVANTAGES THROUGH 2010 MANY DIVIDENDS SAFE RETURN OF THE YIELD SEEKER

STRATEGY BUY AND HOLD IS THE ONLY WAY BUY THE BUSINESS GROWTH AND INCOME: INSEPARABLE DIVERSIFY SECURITIES, SECTORS CONTROL DURATION HOLD CASH BUY ONLY VALUE

CANADIAN TRUSTS STRESS TESTED 2011 NO DAY OF RECKONING: THE TRINIDAD STORY GOOD BUSINESSES SELLING CHEAP CANADIAN DOLLAR/ECON STRONG PREMIUM TAKEOVERS

CONSERVATIVE PORTFOLIO HIGH YIELDS NO MATTER HOW TAXED GOOD BUSINESSES KEY ALTAGAS INCOME (ALA.UN, ATGFF) NORTHERN PROP (NPR.UN, NPRUF) ALGONQUIN PWR (APT.UN, AGQNF)

GETTING AGGRESSIVE ENERGY TRUSTS: GAS VS OIL BUSINESS SUSTAINABILITY KEY ENERPLUS RES (ERF.UN, NYSE: ERF) PENNWEST (PWT.UN, NYSE: PWE) TRINIDAD DRILL (TDG.UN, TDGNF)

UTILITIES: BE SELECTIVE BULL MARKET MEETS THE CAPITAL CHALLENGE REGULATION KEY TO GROWTH RISING VALUATION RISK DUK, UTL, AES PREF C VZ, WIN, CCT WTR, CWCO

LP’S: STICK TO PIPES TAX-ADVANTAGED MARKET POPULAR AGAIN INFRASTRUCTURE PROVEN STEADY BIG DIVIDEND GROWTH SET EPD, NS, APU

RESOURCES FOR BALANCE COUNTER-CYCLICAL DRIVEN BY GLOBAL GROWTH RESOURCE NATIONALISM MERGER MANIA GG, RTP, FCX

WHAT TO AVOID LONG-TERM BONDS—NO YIELD ADVANTAGE, MORE RISK MOST FINANCIALS MOST US REITS FAILING NUMBERS INSURED BONDS THE HIGHEST YIELD

FOR MORE UTILITY FORECASTER CANADIAN EDGE