MACATAWA AREA COORDINATING COUNCIL. November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session MACC Scenarios Goals Data & Funds Defining Future Scenarios Integration.

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Presentation transcript:

MACATAWA AREA COORDINATING COUNCIL

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session MACC Scenarios Goals Data & Funds Defining Future Scenarios Integration with Travel Demand Model Considerations

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session MACC Scenarios In support of the Long Range Transportation Plan update 3 future scenarios for growth Creation of tools to help regional process: – Generalized Regional Future Land Use – Regional Capacity Analysis – Future Scenario Priorities and Indicators – Growth Allocation – Transportation Analysis Variables Aggregation Works across scales from parcels to TAZes

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session, Tool Process Paint Local Zoning Generalized Regional Zones Immediately Update Parcel Level Capacity & Future Development Dynamically Determined Future Development Automatically Aggregated to TAZ Level

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session, Land Use Generalization Local ZoningRegional Generalized Zoning Rural Estate Rural Residential

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session, Generalized Zoning for Region Regional ZoningLaketown Township Zoning Regional Zoning Density Laketown Density Regional Zoning FAR Laketown FAR Agriculture - Protection0.050 AgricultureAgricultural District Rural ResidentialRural Estate District Low Density ResidentialLow Density Residential District Medium Density Residential Medium Density Residential District Multi-family Residential 9 0 High Density Residential 10 0 Urban Residential 12 0 Apartment Residential Mobile Home Neighborhood CommercialNeighborhood Commercial District General CommercialGeneral Business District Highway Commercial 0 1 Central Business District 0 3 Regional Shopping Center Office Public 0 2 Light IndustrialIndustrial District Heavy Industrial 0 2 Medium Density Residential Medium Density Residential District Crosswalk Table Look-up Automatically Converts Local Zoning to Regional Generalized Zones based on Density and FAR

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session, Local ZoningRegional Generalized Zoning Land Use Generalization

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session Capacity Analysis Generalized zoning densities Subtract existing development

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session, Growth Order Priorities

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session, Scenario: Current Trends

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session, Scenario: Conservation Priorities

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session, Scenario: Alternative Transportation

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session, Projected New Growth 12345etc. Existing Buildings New Buildings Desirability most desirableless desirable Overflow Probability that a parcel receives an increment of new growth is proportional to its desirability. Parcels can “fill up.” Probability that a parcel receives an increment of new growth is proportional to its desirability. Parcels can “fill up.” Allocation of New Growth Total Build-out Capacity

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session, Aggregating Data to TAZes

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session Status MACC has the tools Staff has conducted in-house capacity training 3 scenarios being prepared for transportation modeling Planned to inform 2040 LRTP update

November 18, 2013 Scenario Planning Session Questions: Elisa Hoekwater Transportation Program Manager Macatawa Area Coordinating Council 301 Douglas Avenue, Holland, MI