Scenario Planning for Albuquerque Metropolitan Planning Area – Integrating Land Use and Travel Demand Model and the Application of Policy Levers 15 th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Tuesday, May 19 th 2015

Mid-Region Council of Governments Key Contributors  Chowdhury Siddiqui – Land Use/Travel Demand Modeler, MRCOG  Eddie Janowicz – Synthicity

Mid-Region Council of Governments Albuquerque Metropolitan Planning Area 3 Counties 2 Urbanized Areas 19 Incorporated Places 13 Pueblos/Tribal Lands 900,000 People 400,000 Jobs

Mid-Region Council of Governments Scenario Planning Process Futures 2040

Mid-Region Council of Governments Conceptual Scenarios

Mid-Region Council of Governments Trend  Existing plans and policies  Existing zoning  Fiscally constrained roadway and transit networks Mid-Region Council of Governments of New Mexico

Mid-Region Council of Governments Modeling Environments

Mid-Region Council of Governments Integrated Model Flow UrbanSim Cube 2025 UrbanSim Cube 2040 Performance Measures

Mid-Region Council of Governments Policy Levers ZONING

Mid-Region Council of Governments Scenario Evaluation Mid-Region Council of Governments of New Mexico

Mid-Region Council of Governments Network Performance

Mid-Region Council of Governments Sustainability Measures

Mid-Region Council of Governments Commuting Measures

Mid-Region Council of Governments Scenario Refinement 1.Pursue a Hybrid Approach 2.Make a Bigger Impact

Mid-Region Council of Governments Policy Levers ZONING INCENTIVES PREFERRED SCENARIO

Mid-Region Council of Governments Preferred – Zoning

Mid-Region Council of Governments Preferred – Incentives  Key Transit Nodes  Attraction of 87 points  Key Activity Centers  Attraction in 21 zones Centers enhanced with Tiered Approach

Mid-Region Council of Governments Reasonableness and Sensitivity Testing TestEmploymentResidential Test 1 (base case)0.0 Test 21.0 Test 31.5 Test 42.0 Test 53.0

Mid-Region Council of Governments Model Results

Mid-Region Council of Governments

Roadway Performance Systemwide Speed Hours Traveled Miles Traveled

Mid-Region Council of Governments Commuting Measures Mid-Region Council of Governments of New Mexico Average Commute Time River Crossing Trips

Mid-Region Council of Governments Sustainability Measures Mid-Region Council of Governments of New Mexico

Mid-Region Council of Governments Board Approved Trend & Preferred Continued desire to make a larger impact

Mid-Region Council of Governments Questions How much is enough? *** A predictive land use model may temper stakeholder aspirations, but it provides important information for decision-makers regarding the relative magnitude of investment that may be required in targeted locations…