Probabilistic and Statistical Techniques

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Presentation transcript:

Probabilistic and Statistical Techniques Lecture 5 Dr. Nader Okasha

Descriptive measures of data: Measure of Center Measure of Variation Measure of Position

Range = (maximum value) – (minimum value) The range of a set of data is the difference between the maximum value and the minimum value. Range = (maximum value) – (minimum value) The range is very easy to compute but because it depends on only the highest and the lowest values, it isn't as useful as the other measures of variation that use every value.

Sample Standard Deviation The standard deviation of a set of sample values is a measure of variation of values about the mean. Sample Standard Deviation Formula

Sample Standard Deviation (Shortcut Formula)

Example For the data set determine: Standard deviation Solution x x2 41 1681 44 1936 45 2025 47 2209 48 2304 51 2601 53 2809 58 3364 66 4356 Sum 500 25494 Solution

Standard Deviation - Important Properties The standard deviation is a measure of variation of all values from the mean. The value of the standard deviation s is usually positive. The value of the standard deviation s can increase dramatically with the inclusion of one or more outliers (data values far away from all others). The units of the standard deviation s are the same as the units of the original data values.

Population Standard Deviation This formula is similar to the previous formula, but instead, the population mean and population size are used.

Standard deviation from a Histogram Use interval midpoint for variable x Number of counts Interval Mid point

Example Class limits Class Mid point x No. counts f f.x (x - x')2 . f 21 - 30 25.5 28 714 2947.5 31 - 40 35.5 30 1065 2.0 41 - 50 45.5 12 546 1138.4 51 - 60 55.5 2 111 779.3 61 - 70 65.5 131 1768.9 71 - 80 75.5 151 3158.5 Sum 76 2718 9795

Variance The variance of a set of values is a measure of variation equal to the square of the standard deviation. Sample variance s2: Square of the sample standard deviation Population variance : Square of the population standard deviation

Range Rule of Thumb If the standard deviation is known, we can use it to find rough estimates of the minimum and maximum ‘usual’ sample values as follows: minimum usual value (mean) - 2 * (standard deviation) maximum usual value (mean) + 2 * (standard deviation)

Example Results from the National Health survey show that the heights of men have a mean of 69 in and a standard deviation of 2.8 in. use the range rule of thumb to find the minimum and maximum usual heights. minimum usual value = (mean) - 2 * (standard deviation) = 69 -2*2.8 = 63.4 in maximum usual value = (mean) + 2 * (standard deviation) = 69+2*2.8 = 74.6 in

Empirical Rule For data sets having a distribution that is approximately bell shaped, the following properties apply: About 68% of all values fall within 1 standard deviation of the mean. About 95% of all values fall within 2 standard deviations of the mean. About 99.7% of all values fall within 3 standard deviations of the mean.

The Empirical Rule

The Empirical Rule

The Empirical Rule Lecture 5

At least 3/4 of the values lie within 2 s.d. of the mean Chebyshev Theorem The proportion (fraction) of any set of data lying within K standard deviations of the mean is always at least 1-1/K2 , where K is any positive number greater than 1. For K= 2 and K= 3, we get the following results. At least 3/4 of the values lie within 2 s.d. of the mean At least 8/9 of the values lie within 3 s.d. of the mean

Coefficient of variation The coefficient of variation (or CV) for a set of sample or population data, expressed as a percent, describes the standard deviation relative to the mean. Sample Population