The NOAA Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) Program: Status and Activities Gary Wick Robbie Hood, Program Director Sensing Hazards with Operational Unmanned Technology (SHOUT)

Begun in 2007 Goal to evaluate utility of UAS for NOAA operations and research Three focus areas High-impact weather Marine monitoring Arctic research Wide range of platforms evaluated 2

3 Demonstrate and test prototype UAS concept of operations that could be used to mitigate the risk of diminished high impact weather forecasts and warnings in the case of polar-orbiting satellite observing gaps Overall Goal Conduct data impact studies Observing System Experiments (OSE) using data from UAS field missions Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSE) using simulated UAS data Objective 1 Evaluate cost and operational benefit through detailed analysis of life-cycle operational costs and constraints Objective 2

NASA / NOAA Global Hawk Pacific (2010) First Global Hawk science mission Long duration and range; latitudes from 12 to 85 deg N NASA Genesis and Rapid Intensification Processes (2010) First Global Hawk flights over tropical cyclones Coordination of the Global Hawk with other aircraft NOAA Winter Storm Pacific and Atmospheric Rivers (2011) First operational dropsonde deployment, 177 sondes total First dropsonde in the Arctic since 1950s Real time changes of drop locations NASA Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (2011 – 2014) Remote deployment of 2 Global Hawks Dropsonde data delivered in real-time to NHC Increased flight planning/modification flexibility 4

NOAA funded 5 th week of science flights Dedicated NOAA missions and flight plans Second G-IV dropsonde intercomparison Data use for forecast guidance and evaluation 5 Hurricane Main Development Region (MDR) Flight, September 22-3 Hurricane Edouard, 16 September

Submitted to NOAA management December 2014 Based primarily on observations prior to HS Wide range of studies demonstrate potential for positive impact of observations Results help motivate SHOUT continuation 6

External investigations OSSE studies Global Regional Regional OSE studies Dropsonde assimilation in HWRF 7 Authors of cited analyses Altug Aksoy, Robert Atlas, James Doyle, Nikki Privé, Jason Sippel, Vijay Tallapragada, Zoltan Toth, Hongli Wang, Yuanfu Xie Track error OSSE results; Atlas et al., 2014

Desire multiple campaigns with different foci Forecast impact is primary objective Hurricanes and tropical cyclones High-impact Pacific weather Payloads evaluated based on potential forecast improvement, satellite-like capabilities, and maturity level Final selection by advisory group OSSE guidance desired, but timing not perfect 8

Scientific objective: Atlantic tropical cyclones Evaluate potential improvement of forecasts of track and intensity Flight plans to optimize forecast impact Flights from WFF, August-September weeks of science flights Payloads to include AVAPS, HAMSR, HIWRAP, LIP ~900 dropsondes Potential to shift to west coast if no activity? Tempo to support 2-3 flights per week ~10 total flights Collaboration with ONR TCI and NOAA IFEX 9

Flight plans to optimize forecast impact Tropical cyclones SUNY group leading Collaboration with NOAA/NCEP using HWRF ensembles High-impact weather events Toth (ESRL) proposed to explore methodologies Identification of threat cases Fully automated Ensemble Transform sensitivity algorithm to identify sensitive areas Produce “optimized” flight track to sample sensitive region for selected threat 10

11 Dropsonde Observation Impact percentage reduction in forecast metric variance (max tangential wind) due to assimilating a dropsonde profile at that location

12 NOAA IFEX Operations: 01 June – 30 Nov Aircraft: 1 P-3 Orion; G-IV jet Goals: multi-faceted (TC track, intensity, structure) ONR TCI Operations: 01 July – 31 Oct Aircraft: NASA WB-57 Goals: TC outflow layer & intensity change

Observing System Experiments Data denial studies in multiple model frameworks Regional hurricane modeling at HRD Global modeling at ESRL Ability to mitigate gap in satellite observations a priority Observing System Simulation Experiments Global and regional studies Initial studies with idealized profiles of temperature, moisture, and wind Addition of realistic instrument characteristics Operational utilization NHC forecasters NCEP assimilation 13

Desire at least one more field campaign Proposed deployments: Pacific Winter Storms Mar 2016 Arctic/Alaska High Impact Weather Sep 2016 Objectives: Forecast improvement for threats such as extreme precipitation and damaging winds Targeted lead times of 3-7 days One month deployment/10 flights Potential for changing instruments Decision required soon 14 Remnants of Typhoon Nuri, 8 Nov 2014

Initial UAS capabilities demonstrated through multiple missions Preliminary impact assessment extremely positive Potential benefits to NOAA include: Extended targeted observations in harsh, remote regions Better warning capabilities of high impact weather systems as they travel across both ocean and land Satellite gap mitigation Results enabling NOAA forecast and operational assessment 15

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Begun in 2007 Vision UAS observations will become an essential component of the NOAA observing system Key Roles Serve as the NOAA subject matter experts for UAS technology and observations Assist with the research, development, demonstration and transition to application of select UAS observing strategies 17

18 First systematic sampling of MDR since dropsondes deployed and data transmitted to NWS gateway during two 24+ hour missions Hurricane Main Development Region (MDR) sampled by NASA Global Hawk on September 22-3 and 28-9 during 2014 HS3/SHOUT campaign

Airborne Vertical Atmospheric Profiling System (AVAPS) High Altitude Monolithic Microwave Integrated Circuit (MMIC) Sounding Radiometer (HAMSR) PI: Dr. Bjorn Lambrigtsen, Jet Propulsion Laboratory Measurements: Microwave radiometer sounder operating at 25 spectral channels in 3 bands (50-60 GHz, 118 GHz, and 183 GHz): 3-D distribution of temperature, water vapor, and cloud liquid water; Resolution: 2 km vertical, 2 km horizontal (nadir), 40 km wide swath High-Altitude Imaging Wind and Rain Airborne Profiler (HIWRAP) PI: Dr. Gerald Heymsfield, NASA GSFC Measurements: Dual-frequency (Ka- and Ku-band), dual beam, conical scanning Doppler radar: 3-D winds, ocean vector winds, and precipitation; Resolution: 60 m vertical, 1 km horizontal; ~ hPa PI: Terry Hock, NCAR Measurements: Temperature, Pressure, wind, humidity vertical profiles; 88 sondes per flight