Data SnapShot Series 1.0 February 2015 DATA SNAPSHOT Harrison County
2 Hometown Collaboration Initiative This report is a product of the Purdue Center for Regional Development and is intended to support the Indiana Hometown Collaboration Initiative (HCI). HCI is funded, in part, by the Indiana Office of Community and Rural Affairs.
Table of contents Introduction 01 Demography 02 Economy 03 Labor Market 04
Purpose About Harrison County 01 introduction
5 Purpose This document provides information and data about Harrison County that can be used to guide local decision- making activities. The Data SnapShot showcases a variety of demographic, economic and labor market information that local leaders, community organizations and others can use to gain a better perspective on current conditions and opportunities in their county. To strengthen the value and usability of the information, we showcase the data using a variety of visual tools such as charts, graphs and tables. In addition, we offer key points about the data as a way of assisting the user with the interpretation of the information presented. Finally, short takeaway messages are offered at the end of each section in order to highlight some of the more salient findings. Introduction section 01
6 About Harrison County Introduction section 01 County Background Established1808 County Seat Corydon Area487 sq. mi. Neighboring Counties Crawford, IN Floyd, IN Hardin, KY Jefferson, KY Meade, KY Washington, IN
Population change Population pyramids Race Ethnicity Educational attainment Takeaways 02 demography
8 Population change Components of Population Change, Total Change3,292* Natural Increase1,678 International Migration283 Domestic Migration1,526 The total population is projected to increase by 10 percent between 2013 and Demography Sources: STATSIndiana, U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census, 2010 Decennial Census, 2013 Estimates, Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change section 02 The total population in Harrison County increased by 14 percent between 2000 and Natural increase (births minus deaths over that span of time) and domestic migration (the difference between the number of people moving into the county versus moving out) were both major contributors to that expansion. Natural increase showed a net growth of almost 1,700 people, while domestic in-migration outpaced out-migration by more than 1,500 people. International migration also had a net increase of almost 300, indicating that the county experienced an influx of new people from outside the U.S. Total population projections *Estimation residuals are leading to a total change in population that differs from the sum of the components.
9 Population pyramids Population pyramids are visual representations of the age distribution of the population by gender. Approximately 50.2% of the population was female in 2000 (17,226) and that percent remained about the same in What did change is the distribution of people across the various age categories. A larger share of people shifted into the higher age groupings over the 2000 to 2013 time period. Demography Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2013 Annual Population Estimates section 02 In particular, people 60 and over swelled from 6.8% to 10.3% for males, and from 8.5% to 11.8% for females between 2000 and Individuals of prime working age (20-49 years old) took a dip from 21.9% to 18.7% for males, and from 21.7% to 18.5% for females. Also dropping in percentage points were people under 19 years old. Male Female Male Female
10 Race The number of non-White residents in Harrison County increased by one percentage point between 2000 and Every race experienced a numerical increase, with Whites gaining the most people. Of the non-White population, Black and Mixed Descent races gained the most people, resulting in the expansion of the population of Other Races from one percent to two percent of the total population between 2000 and Demography Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2013 Annual Population Estimates section
11 Ethnicity Hispanics are individuals of any race whose ancestry is from Mexico, Puerto Rico, Cuba, Spain, the Dominican Republic or any other Spanish- speaking Central or South American country. There were 336 Hispanics residing in Harrison County in This figure expanded to 672 by 2013—a 100 percent increase. As a result, Hispanics now make up two percent of the overall population (versus one percent in 2000). Demography Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2013 Annual Population Estimates section 02 2%2% 1%1% Hispanics Hispanics
12 Educational attainment Harrison County witnessed a 3% increase in the proportion of adults (25 and older) with an associates, bachelors, or graduate degree from 2000 to The proportion of adults 25 years of age and older with a high school education or more improved from 80 percent in 2000 to 88 percent in Residents with less than a high school education fell by eight percentage points, and those with some college education rose by one percentage point from The number of adults with a college degree or more increased from 19 percent in 2000 to 22 percent in This was due to a small increase in the percent with Associate’s Degrees and persons with a Bachelor's degree and above. Demography Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2013 ACS section
13 Takeaways The population of Harrison County is expected to grow over the next few years, and if past trends hold, that increase will be largely due to both natural increase (more births than deaths) and domestic migration (more people moving into than out of the county). While Harrison County’s population has been growing over the period, it has also been aging. Despite positive growth in its population resulting from domestic migration, the population pyramids show that the county has lost several people in the and age categories, and those in the under 20 age grouping. While the population remains largely white and non-Hispanic, the racial and ethnic diversity has been slowly increasing in Harrison County. As such, finding ways to address the needs and opportunities of a diversifying population will be important. The chances are quite strong that the diversity of the county is likely to continue. The educational attainment of adults 25 and over has improved since 2000, but the number with a only a high school education continues to be high (at 44%). Determining if this could be a barrier to economic growth is a topic worthy of examination. Harrison County may want to explore the mix of services and amenities that will be vital to retaining and attracting educated young adults, including the availability of good quality jobs. Demography section 02
Establishments Industries Occupations Income and poverty Takeaways 03 economy
15 Establishments Components of Change for Establishments Total Change ( ) 1,337 Natural Change (births minus deaths) 1,269 Net Migration 68 The number of establishments in Harrison County doubled between 2000 and The rapid growth of establishments was largely due to natural change. Only a handful were due to gains from net migration. As such, 3,016 establishments were launched in the county between while 1,679 closed, resulting in a gain of 1,337 establishments. Economy Source: National Establishment Time Series (NETS) – 2012 Database section 03 An establishment is a physical business location. Branches, standalones and headquarters are all considered types of establishments. Definition of Company Stages Self- employed 2-9 employees employees employees 500+ employees Note: The 2011 figures use 2012 data to include all gains and losses over the entire year. Establishment information was calculated in-house and may differ slightly from publicly available data.
16 Number of establishments by stage/employment category Economy Source: National Establishment Time Series (NETS) – 2012 Database section StageEstablishmentsProportionEstablishmentsProportion Stage %1,01736% Stage %1,61057% Stage %1937% Stage 3 111%90% Stage 4 30%2 Total 1,494100%2,831100% Note: The 2011 figures use 2012 data to include all gains and losses over the entire year.
17 Number of jobs by stage/employment category Economy Source: National Establishment Time Series (NETS) – 2012 Database section StageJobsProportionJobsProportion Stage %1,0177% Stage 1 3,02122%4,73431% Stage 2 4,22331%4,90432% Stage 3 2,52018%1,90612% Stage 4 3,60926%2,80018% Total 13,843100%15,361100% Note: The 2011 figures use 2012 data to include all gains and losses over the entire year.
18 Amount of sales (2011 dollars) by stage/employment category Economy Source: National Establishment Time Series (NETS) – 2012 Database section StageSalesProportionSalesProportion Stage 0 $53,746,1993%$67,343,7764% Stage 1 $354,621,28420%$358,383,72324% Stage 2 $491,690,56228%$469,845,69531% Stage 3 $356,392,40021%$211,304,64914% Stage 4 $478,120,69528%$398,942,30026% Total $1,734,571,141100%$1,505,820,143100% Note: The 2011 figures use 2012 data to include all gains and losses over the entire year.
19 Top five industries in percent of jobs are tied to one of the top five industries in Harrison County. Government is the largest industry sector (2,187 jobs). Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, and Hunting is the smallest of the top industry sectors with 1,071 jobs. All of the top five industries in Harrison County, except Government, lost jobs between 2002 and Of these, Manufacturing lost the most (-42.5%), followed by Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation (-30.5%). Government experienced a 11.5% gained in jobs over the time period. Economy Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors section 03
20 Industry distribution and change NAICS Code Description Jobs 2002 Jobs 2013 Change ( ) % Change ( ) Ave. Earnings Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting 1,2461, %$32,558 21Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction %$53,503 22Utilities %$90,731 23Construction %$25, Manufacturing 2,8761,654-1,222-42%$46,154 42Wholesale Trade %$42, Retail Trade 2,1091, %$23, Transportation & Warehousing %$45,365 51Information %$44,519 52Finance & Insurance %$51,511 53Real Estate & Rental & Leasing %$23,516 54Professional, Scientific & Technical Services %$30,239 55Management of Companies and Enterprises %$48,925 56Administrative & Waste Management %$19,325 61Educational Services (Private) %$25,885 62Health Care & Social Assistance %$32,696 71Arts, Entertainment & Recreation 2,4621, %$36,601 72Accommodation and Food Services %$16,983 81Other Services (except Public Administration) 8311, %$15,711 90Government 1,9622, %$44,841 99Unclassified Industry 0000%$0 AllTotal 17,01114,939-2,072-12%$34,202 Economy Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors section 03
21 Industry distribution and change The largest employment gains in Harrison County occurred in: Real Estate and Rental and Leasing (+38.2 percent) Other Services (+20.6 percent) The largest employment losses occurred in: Educational Services, private (-58.8 percent) Management of Companies and Enterprises (-50.0 percent) Economy Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors section 03 Employment Increase Employment Decrease Industries with the largest gains and losses in employment numbers between 2002 & 2013: Government (+225) Other Services (+171) Manufacturing (-1,222) Arts & Recreation (-750) Retail Trade (-446)
22 Top five occupations in 2013 The top five occupations in Harrison County represent 49.8 percent of all jobs. Sales & Related (1,846 jobs) and Management (1,584 jobs) are the top two occupations in Harrison County. Food Preparation & Serving Related occupations is the smallest of the top five occupations with 1,295 jobs. All five top occupations in Harrison County had a decrease in jobs between 2002 and However, Office & Administrative Support lost the most (-19%), followed by Personal Care (-12.5%). Economy Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors section 03
23 SOCDescription Jobs 2002 Jobs 2013 Change ( ) % Change ( ) Hourly Earnings Management 1,7521, %$ Business & Financial Operations %$ Computer & Mathematical %$ Architecture & Engineering %$ Life, Physical & Social Science %$ Community & Social Service %$ Legal %$ Education, Training & Library %$ Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports & Media %$ Health Care Practitioners & Technical %$ Health Care Support %$ Protective Service %$ Food Preparation & Serving Related 1,3711, %$ Building & Grounds Cleaning Maintenance %$ Personal Care & Service 1,4891, %$ Sales & Related 2,0351, %$ Office & Administrative Support 1,7401, %$ Farming, Fishing & Forestry %$ Construction & Extraction %$ Installation, Maintenance & Repair %$ Production 2,0531, %$ Transportation & Material Moving 1,1711, %$ Military %$ Unclassified %$12.01 AllTotal 17,01114,939-2,072-12%$16.14 Occupation distribution and change Economy Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors section 03
24 Occupation distribution and change Economy Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors section 03 The largest percentage gains in jobs in Harrison County occurred in: Healthcare Support (+44.5 percent) Unclassified (+27.5 percent) The largest percentage loss in employment occurred in: Architecture and Engineering (-48.8 percent) Production (-42.1 percent) Occupations with the largest gains and losses in employment between 2002 & 2013: Healthcare Practitioners (+110) Healthcare Support (+106) Production (-864) Office & Administrative Support (-331) Employment Increase Employment Decrease
25 Income and poverty Total Population in Poverty 7.2%8.7%13.0% Minors (up to age 17) in Poverty 9.5%13.0%17.3% Real Median Income (2013) $58,432 $56,182 $50,321 The median income in Harrison County dipped by $8,000 between 2000 and 2013 in real dollars (that is, adjusted for inflation). Both the total population in poverty and the number of minors in poverty nearly doubled between 2000 and Economy Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) section 03
26 Income and poverty Median income in Harrison County has decreased in recent years, while poverty has continued to increase. Economy Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) section 03
27 Takeaways Growth in the number of establishments in Harrison County occurred in businesses with fewer than 10 employees (the self- employed and Stage 1 enterprises). These are two components of the local economy that are often overlooked, but may deserve closer attention by local leaders. Harrison County might focus on policies and programs that strengthen high-growth Stage 2 firms since they employ several people and capture sizable sales. Government and healthcare industries are employment growth areas for Harrison County. But the large declines in manufacturing industry jobs paying good wages (average of $46,000 a year) and production-related jobs (average wages of $16/hour) between 2002 and 2013 may have contributed to falling median income levels over that time period. Because real median income has decreased and poverty has nearly doubled in Harrison County since 2000, services targeted to poverty-stricken individuals and households should be considered. This is especially an issue for the expanding number of children in poverty. Promoting job growth for occupations requiring educated workers could help retain adults with higher educational attainment and help increase median income. Economy section 03
Labor force and unemployment Commuteshed Laborshed Takeaways 04 labor market
29 Labor force and unemployment Labor Force 18,74719,731 Unemployment Rate 4.7%7.0% The labor force in Harrison County increased by 5.2 percent between 2002 and It is likely that some of the new entrants to the labor force were not able to find jobs, leading to the concurrent increase in the unemployment rate. Labor market Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics – Local Area Unemployment Statistics section 04
30 Unemployment rate Unemployment increased dramatically after 2007, peaking at 9.2% in Since that time, the rate has been on a slow but steady decline, dipping to 7.0% by Labor market Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics – Local Area Unemployment Statistics section 04
31 Commuteshed A county’s commuteshed is the geographic area to which its resident work force travels to work. Seventy-six percent of employed residents in Harrison County commute to jobs located outside of the county. Jefferson County, Kentucky, is the biggest destination for residents who work outside of Harrison County. Thirty-nine percent of out-commuters work in counties adjacent to Harrison County; however, the fourth largest work destination outside Harrison County is the Indianapolis metropolitan area (Marion County), while the fifth largest is the Evansville metropolitan area (Vanderburgh County). Labor market Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) section 04 14,102 Out-Commuters 4,393 Same Work/ Home CommutersProportion Jefferson, KY 4, % Floyd, IN 2, % Clark, IN 1, % Marion, IN % Vanderburgh, IN %
32 Commuteshed in 2011 Labor market section 04 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OTM, LEHD, PCRD Seventy percent of Harrison County’s working residents are employed either in Harrison, Floyd, or Clark Counties in Indiana or Jefferson County, Kentucky. Another five percent commute to Marion or Vanderburgh Counties. An additional five percent travel to jobs in Allen, Crawford, Monroe, Tippecanoe, or Washington Counties. Collectively, these eleven counties represent 80 percent of the commuteshed for Harrison County.
33 Laborshed CommutersProportion Floyd, IN % Jefferson, KY % Clark, IN % Crawford, IN % Washington, IN % Labor market Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) section 04 5,587 In-Commuters 4,393 Same Work/ Home A county’s laborshed is the geographic area from which it draws employees. Fifty-six percent of individuals working in Harrison County commute from another county. Forty-eight percent of in-commuters reside in counties adjacent to Harrison County. Floyd County, Indiana, and Jefferson County, Kentucky, are the biggest sources of laborers outside of Harrison County.
34 Laborshed in 2011 Labor market section 04 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OTM, LEHD, PCRD The bulk (70 percent) of Harrison County’s workforce is drawn from Harrison, Floyd, and Clark Counties in Indiana or Jefferson County, Kentucky. Another five percent is drawn from Crawford County in Indiana. An additional five percent comes from Washington and Marion Counties in Indiana and Meade County in Kentucky. Combined, the eight counties represent 80 percent of Harrison County’s laborshed.
35 Takeaways Harrison County’s unemployment rate has increased since 2002, swelling to over 9% in The majority of this increase occurred during the period of the Great Recession (approximately 2008—10). The rate has since been decreasing. Concurrent with population increases, the county’s labor force has increased since However, the increased unemployment rate indicates that new entrants to the labor force may be experiencing difficulties finding a job. Employees that work but do not live in Harrison County tend to commute from surrounding counties. People who commute out of the county for work often travel to other metropolitan areas. Harrison County should assess if a major workforce development training effort should be targeted to the growing number of working age adults struggling to find jobs. Furthermore, determining the human capital attributes of workers who commute to jobs outside the county might be insightful. It may provide the information needed to determine how best to reduce the leakage of educated and skilled workers to surrounding counties. The laborshed and commuteshed data offer solid evidence of the value of pursuing economic and workforce development on a regional (multi-county) basis. Labor market section 04
36 Report Contributors This report was prepared by the Purdue Center for Regional Development in partnership with Purdue University Extension. Data Analysis Indraneel Kumar, PhD Ayoung Kim Report Authors Elizabeth Dobis Bo Beaulieu, PhD Report Design Tyler Wright Jennifer Helfrich
FOR MORE INFORMATION Purdue Center for Regional Development (PCRD)... seeks to pioneer new ideas and strategies that contribute to regional collaboration, innovation and prosperity. Purdue Extension Community Development (CD)... works to strengthen the capacity of local leaders, residents and organizations to work together to develop and sustain strong, vibrant communities. Please contact Annette Lawler County Extension Community Development Educator PCRD Mann Hall, Suite 266 Purdue University OR