Migration data for Leeds City Region What’s available and what does it tell us?

Available data ‘ Easily’ accessible Population trends, migration estimates and projections Migrant workers International students at universities Pupil first language National migration trends Negotiable Local authority level data on A8 workers Asylum seekers and some refugees Locally collected data by individual services

Sources of information and support Links to: (Inter)national and local datasets Local Government Association guide Commentary on national migration statistics and the net migration target Local Information Systems in the region all can be found in our Introduction to Migration Statistics at: New JSNA Guide to Migrant Health (flier in packs)

Local Migration Profile project Driven by partner agencies struggling to find and use migration data to prepare for migrants in their client groups Flexible design Regular outputs combining available data for each local authority area and subregions Send me everything How many immigrants are there?

What’s unique? Non-specialist audience Compares different sources Change over time and space Compares locality to the regional ‘average’ Regular updates to include new data

Mainstream service applications General migration background (internal briefings, media) Population profiling requirements JSNA (health), LEA and EIA (LAs) Targeting specific groups burglary prevention (housing services), engaging with minority communities (police and fire services) Research support local studies (arts and leisure), choosing research sample sites (flooding)

Migrant service applications Needs assessments for new services (Red Cross destitution work, Barnardo’s scoping needs of asylum children) Evidence in grant applications (Police) Planning for existing services (languages for translation materials, UKBA LITs) Improving services (asylum dispersal sites, improving LA support for vulnerable groups following inspection)

Migration trends in Leeds City Region (1) Different causes of long-term population change Natural change (births and deaths) significantly adding to Bradford and Kirklees, but reducing change in Craven Internal migration (within UK) significant in Craven, Barnsley and Selby, but reducing change in Bradford International migration adding to population growth everywhere, but significant in Bradford, Leeds and York Stable net international migration levels in LCR but increasing churn in communities? ONS predicted varied changes at a local level, but overall an increase in both immigration and emigration But latest national statistics show less emigration than expected, so net migration may rise

International migration in LCR

Migration trends in Leeds City Region (2) Predictable levels of international students at university; changes in non-EU student imminent Fewer asylum seekers and refugees beginning to stabilise after significant falls Accession migration beginning to stabilise From 1440 registrations (Q409) to 1170 (Q110), 830 (Q210) and now 1620 (Q310) Balance between accession / non-accession migration changing, with increasing non-EU arrivals Top countries of origin mainly Poland except: Pakistan (Bradford and Kirklees), India (Leeds) and China (York)

International students at university

New arrivals across Leeds City Region Accession falling New Commonwealth rising

Gaps in the data Particular migrant groups: Those joining families already here Further education and ESOL learners People with no recourse to public funds People leaving the UK (and by what route) Alternative migration indicators: Local services Registered employers and education providers Local research

What’s coming up in 2011? New inclusion of pupil data in our profiles Less data? Fewer services producing data, localism drive reducing targets and local government reporting requirements Ending of transitional arrangements for A8 countries will end WRS data Net migration target reducing entry through formal routes (work, study, asylum) – other routes of entry? External influences on migration patterns – A8 economies, north Africa displacement

Our role as data users Balancing risk… limited access to sensitive data political sensitivity and gatekeeping how much data should we collect? … and benefit: a more informed ‘debate’ on migration improved data expertise among migrant services bridging policy, practice, data and research - better services for whole communities