As used and understood by “JoAnne” The Spirit of the trade: The PT, as stated by others is a “momentum reversal”. To me this means, at the very least,

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Presenter: Bill Bouwmeester
Advertisements

Some Aspects of the MACD Indicator
Trading Guide For Tarde4Bulls Main Screen The picture in the document displays the main chart that will guide you to trade according to the trend & pattern.
Seminar Series: Trading Team meet up Created by Tunia Paul University of Hertfordshire Trading & Investment Society 2013/14.
Australian Technical Analysts Association My Favorite Indicator The Moving Average By Neil Wrightson 9/06/20141 Newcastle ATAA - Ver. 1 - Alternate uses.
FX Scalping Trading Pitt 4/7/2010.
Profiting with Technical Analysis Using its two Basic Tools.
Welcome to J.Baker Analytics Loser Bucket Workshop.
MAgicTrx Math plus Markets equals Magic. Preface/Intro This method can be summed up in: Buy Low, Sell High. The trend is your friend until the end. You.
Technical Analysis EXTRA. Support & Resistance support is the price level through which a stock or market seldom falls Resistance, on the other hand,
What are “CANDLESTICKS” And How To Use Them.
JAPANESE CANDLESTICK PATTERNS
FINAFREE ALL TIME MONEY (ATM) SYSTEM 1FINAFREE INVESTMENTS.
Economics 103 Lecture # 11 The Competitive Firm. The last step in completing our model is to specify a type of market behavior on the part of firms. We.
Candlesticks DeMystified Copyright IMA “Candlesticking” is not an exact science, and some stocks ignore patterns 2. There is an incredible number.
O.R.B.S Method Hubert Senters.
Advanced Trading Course Intra-Day Chart Patterns
The Ten Lows of Technical Trading The Ten Lows of Technical Trading J.J. Murphy StockCharts.com - ChartSchool.
Technical Price Analysis H The analysis of historical prices patterns using charts, diagrams, mathematical equations, etc. H This approach emphasizes how.
OSCILLATORS. Oscillators can be defined as a price derivative Oscillators experience oscillations that permits to identify the volatility in the market.
An EOD strategy to gain from futures trading using only 3EMA & 5EMA
Welcome to Day Trading Compass
Japanese Candle Stick by Troy Conley
Presented by Andrew Keene Past performance is not indicative of future results.
THE RSK TREND STRATEGY An Automated Strategy for Trading the Emini S&P 500 Main Features STRATEGY SETTINGS PIVOT SETTING Designed to precisely trade major.
Jake Bernstein CSTA/MTA Annual Conference Toronto 6-7 December 2010 High Odds Patterns in Stocks and Futures 100% Rule-Based Trading.
Trading Rules o Watch the market for the initial 1 and a half hours, i.e. till a.m. No trade should be made in that time frame unless a low or a.
Technical Analysis: Alternatives to Chart Analysis.
MOVING AVERAGES. MOVING AVERAGE METHOD IS THE MOST WIDELY USED METHOD OF IDENTIFYING TREND REVERSAL SINCE THEY DO A GOOD JOB AT ROUNDING UP THE FLUCTUATIONS.
PRT P ivot R e T ags. 4 Levels of PRTs Trading Ideas Watch for key levels where the market might turn but do not enter at these levels Look for a ABC/123.
Saeed Ebrahimijam Spring Faculty of Business and Economics Department of Banking and Finance Doğu Akdeniz Üniversitesi FINA417.
Harness The Power of Multiple Time Frame Analysis to Identify Support and Resistance Commonalities By Christopher J. Terry
Pivot Point Trading System Introduction Presented by Doug Allen Presented by Doug Allen.
Brain Teasers  You have 8 red and 16 blue socks. There’s no light in your room, so you have to choose your socks in the dark. What’s the minimum # of.
Planning Trades for Entry and Exit. Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. For more information, please read the Characteristics.
GBPJPY How do we know where we are going?. Note: In an attempt to simplify where a pair might move I have included some techniques I use. I find it disconcerting.
HOW TO EXIT A POSITION ? SELL !. Exiting Positions: 2. Percent swing approximation - calculated 3. Channel assumption 4. How much can you afford to lose.
Average Directional Index (ADX)
EurGbp Note: The EurGbp is always fun to trade, at least for this trader. I have been mostly concentrating on the Eur the last couple of weeks.
GAPS. DEFINITION Gap UP ………….High t < Low t+1 OR Gap DOWN…..…Low t > High t+1.
This is a presentation of the ABC Plus Waves and the COMBO Plus Waves. These Plus waves are the latest version, released on April 28, Even though.
EurGbp Weekly Chart Pattern and Trade. Note: This is just another way to look at similar information that has been presented previously. Pattern.
Learning on-Line Learn on-Line About How To Read A… Stock Chart Advanced… Session #2… Using Our… Tools.
Trade Grade:  Trade Criteria Met?  Pre-Planned? Entry:  Followed Entry Tactic?  Precision Entry? Risk:  Position Size Correctly?  Stop Placed?
Trade Grade:  Trade Criteria Met?  Pre-Planned? Entry:  Followed Entry Tactic?  Precision Entry? Risk:  Position Size Correctly?  Stop Placed?
Planning Stock Trades: Entry and Exit. Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. For more information, please read the Characteristics.
TAG Villanova Technical Analysis Group. VOLUME Understanding Volume  Volume is the number of shares or contracts over a given period of time, that is.
A presentation for Bloomberg by Richard Morrish A-Venture Capital A presentation for Bloomberg by Richard Morrish A-Venture Capital © A-Venture Capital.
Trend following Concepts -Prashanth -Mythri Stocks & Shares Pvt. Ltd.,
Example of Taking a Three Way Scale in on a Wider Zone 11/25/2013u/j
Trading rules The market does not owe me a thing. I’m lucky to be able to trade it and will take what I can get. Anticipate entries – reacting to market.
Kumo Breakout Trade.
Table of Contents Access Prior Knowledge New Information Set Goals
With Gamma Technologies
GAPS.
Genesis Revealed April 22, 2004 Welcome to Presented by
The ShadowTrader Tape Reader
Villanova Technical Analysis Group
Bear Rally Short Classic Swing Trade.
Mechanical trading of channelling swing system
Introduction to Pricing and Trading Strategies
Chapter 8 Long term charts
Trend Day SP 500 Emini Example of trend day down in sp. LH and LL, small corrections. A few ab=cd sell patterns. Notice any ab=cd buy patterns on this.
Table of Contents Access Prior Knowledge New Information Set Goals
Swing Trading Training Day 1 - Presentation By
What is the ADX line? An ADX line measures the strength (not the direction) of a trend. An ADX above 40 shows a strong trend. But the higher it gets.
On which candlestick is this trade confirmed?
Planning Your Trade Understanding Reward/Risk Ratios
OC Traders Rick Edwards 5/21/11
Presentation transcript:

as used and understood by “JoAnne” The Spirit of the trade: The PT, as stated by others is a “momentum reversal”. To me this means, at the very least, a PT requires 2 things: 1.Something to define an initial momentum direction 2.Something to define the stalling and/or turn Anything more is not necessary, and anything less is not sufficient.

These are all valid PT patterns to go short. All of these could be inverted to get PT patterns to go long. Note the evolution from a flat top to a pointy top. Nothing special about either. The spirit of the PT is still there: The momentum was one way, and then it reversed. This bottom one is just the special case of the rest where the 2 nd CCI bar is flat. Morphing of PT patterns

Minimum Requirements for the PT 2 CCI bars up defines the momentum (up). 1 CCI bar down confirms the PT to go short 2 CCI bars down defines the momentum (down). 1 CCI bar up confirms the PT to go long. Bottom Line: 1.If you do not have 2 consecutive CCI bars in one direction, you have not established momentum 2.If the 3 rd CCI bar does not turn against the momentum, you do not have a confirmed PT. Also, if the 3 rd bar is “flat”, then just wait for another bar.

Two Types of PT’s 1.With the Trend (wt-PT) Going LONG with a GREEN CCI Going SHORT with a RED CCI 2.Counter Trend (ct-PT) Going SHORT with a GREEN CCI Going LONG with a RED CCI Entering the PT: 1.The wt-PT : I go in at bar close 2.The ct-PT : I use Gruesome’s Nuance*** (GN). ***Gruesome’s Nuance (GN) simply means I use a stop-limit order to enter, using a price that is 1 tick beyond the extreme of the confirmation price bar, in the direction of the trade. Exiting the PT: There is no profit target, nor strict exit criteria for the PT. Exit using whatever method works for you. Set initial stops as per whatever system works for you.

The Beauty of My View of the PT My definition simplifies the prior definitions/examples. There are several problems w/this picture: It suggests that the “u” shaped ones can only occur below the Zero Line (ZL). This is not true, in my experience. Likewise, the “n” shaped ones do not only occur above the ZL. “Flat”, “Arrow-Head” and “Steeper Angles” are all subjective. My definition removes this, for the most part. The momentum has not only stalled, but already reversed in the right-most 8 of these examples, hence you are a bar late, and have lost much of the advantage of the CCI and are joining with the masses (i.e, too late).

NOT-VALID PT’s No confirmation bar. CCI just flat, and has not moved “against” the momentum Insufficient momentum defined. You need 2 consecutive CCI bars up or down to define the initial momentum. Trading this as a “PT” will churn (large) losses while the market goes sideways. No confirmation bar. Momentum has not moved against the up-trend.

The Achilles Heel of the PT 1.Combining the PT with the LSMA color/direction 2.Combining the PT with the 34ema 3.Combining the PT with the LSMA crossing of the 34ema 4.Combining the PT with Candle analysis of price bars 5.Trading only specific times of the day 6.Taking only PT’s that close inside/outside the +/- 100 lines 7.Combining PT with HFE – or ignoring if HFE was “too extreme” 8.Combining multiple time frames 9.Taking only ct-PTs or only wt-PTs, not both. Trading the PT, you will get a lot of signals. It’s a reality of trading, that, if you get too many signals, your churn losses can eliminate a lot of your hard- earned profits, and you get signal overlap. To address this, many have come up with ways of filtering the many PT signals you get. These ideas include, but are not limited to: BOTTOM LINE: Do your homework. Find out what (if any) of the above work for you.