THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 1 Source: KFF/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits: 2005. *Estimate is statistically different from the previous year.

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Presentation transcript:

THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 1 Source: KFF/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits: *Estimate is statistically different from the previous year shown at p<0.05. ^ Estimate is statistically different from the previous year shown at p<0.1. Note: Data on premium increases reflect the cost of health insurance premiums for a family of four. Historical estimates of workers earnings have been updated to reflect new industry classifications (NAICS). Figure 1. Increases in Health Insurance Premiums Compared to Other Indicators, 1988–2005 Percent

THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 2 Figure 2. Deductibles Rise Sharply, Especially in Small Firms, Over 2000–2005* *Out-of-network deductibles are for 2000 and Source: J. Gabel and J. Pickreign, Risky Business: When Mom and Pop Buy Health Insurance for Their Employees (Commonwealth Fund, April 2004); KFF/HRET Employer Health Benefits 2005 Annual Survey. In-networkOut-network In- network Small Firms, Employees Large Firms, 200+ Employees PPO in-network and out-of-network deductibles

THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 3 Figure 3. Percent of Firms Offering Health Benefits Declined Over 2000–2005 Source: KFF/HRET Employer Health Benefits 2005 Annual Survey. Percent of firms offering health benefits

THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 4 Figure Million Uninsured in 2004; Increasing Steadily Since 2000 Number of uninsured, in millions Projected 2013 *1999–2003 estimates reflect the results of follow-up verification questions and implementation of Census 2000-based population controls. Note: Projected estimates for 2004–2013 are for nonelderly uninsured based on T. Gilmer and R. Kronick, Its the Premiums, Stupid: Projections of the Uninsured Through 2013, Health Affairs Web Exclusive, April 5, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, March CPS Surveys 1988 to 2005.

5 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND a *Allan Hubbard, Director of the National Economic Council, February 14, Note: Adjusted for Differences in the Cost of Living, Source: Bianca K. Frogner and Gerard F. Anderson, Multinational Comparisons of Health Systems Data, 2005, The Commonwealth Fund, Forthcoming. a 2002 Out-of-Pocket Health Care Spending per Capita, US$ National Health Expenditures per Capita, US$ United States Australia OECD Median Canada Japan a New Zealand Germany France Netherlands Figure 5. Greater Out-of-Pocket Costs are Not Associated with Lower Health Spending in Cross-National Comparisons

6 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 6. Americans Are Spending More Out-of-Pocket for Health Care Source: C. Smith et al., National Health Spending in 2004: Recent Slowdown Led by Prescription Drug Spending, Health Affairs 25, no. 1 (January/February 2006); Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, National Health Expenditures Data; Dollars spent per capita (in 2004 dollars) $577 $583 $774 $667 $788

7 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Percent of families with high out-of-pocket medical costs relative to income, not including premiums Figure 7. Nearly One of Six Families Spent 10% or More of Income (or 5% or More if Low-Income) on Out-of-Pocket Medical Costs, 2001–02 *Low-income includes families with incomes <200% of the federal poverty level. Source: M. Merlis, D. Gould and B. Mahato, Rising Out-of-Pocket Spending for Medical Care: A Growing Strain on Family Budgets (New York: The Commonwealth Fund) February Spent >10% of income Spent >10% of income, or >5% of income if low-income*

8 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 8. Cost-Sharing Reduces Use of Both Essential and Less Essential Drugs and Increases Risk of Adverse Events Source: R. Tamblyn et al., Adverse Events Associated With Prescription Drug Cost-Sharing Among Poor and Elderly Person, JAMA 285, no. 4 (2001): 421–429. Percent reduction in drugs per day Percent increase in incidence per 10,000

9 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 9. Few Insured People Are Currently Covered by High Deductible Health Plans (HDHP) or Consumer Directed Health Plans (CDHP) with a Savings Account Note: Comprehensive = plan w/ no deductible or <$1000 (ind), <$2000 (fam); HDHP = plan w/ deductible $1000+ (ind), $2000+ (fam), no account; CDHP = plan w/ deductible $1000+ (ind), $2000+ (fam), w/ account. Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December 2005.

10 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 10. FEHBP HDHP/HSAs Plans Enroll 7,500 out of 9 Million Covered Lives Note: As of March Source: Government Accountability Office, Federal Employees Health Benefits Program First-Year Experience with High-Deductible Health Plans and Health Savings Accounts, Washington, DC: GAO, January 2006; OPM, Percent

11 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 11. Enrollees Who Chose HDHPs From the Federal Employees Health Benefits Program Are More Likely to Earn Higher Incomes Source: Government Accountability Office, Federal Employees Health Benefits Program First-Year Experience with High-Deductible Health Plans and Health Savings Accounts, Washington, DC: GAO, January Percent of FEHBP enrollees with incomes $75,000

12 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 12. Age Distribution of HDHP and Other FEHBP Enrollees Source: Government Accountability Office, Federal Employees Health Benefits Program First-Year Experience with High-Deductible Health Plans and Health Savings Accounts, Washington, DC: GAO, January Percent FEHBP enrollees

13 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 13. Less than Half of Those Enrolled in Employer-Based High Deductible Health Plans Had a Choice Percent of adults with employer-based coverage who were offered a choice of health plans CDHP and HDHP owners are less likely to have a choice of plans from their employer When they have a choice, the savings account is the leading reason for choosing CDHP, while premium cost is the most frequent reason for choosing HDHP. Traditional plans are chosen for low out-of- pocket costs. (n=134) (n=334) Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December 2005.

14 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 14. Enrollees of HDHP/CDHPs Are Less Satisfied with Their Coverage Percent * * * * * *Difference between HDHP/CDHP and Comprehensive is statistically significant at p 0.05 or better. Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December 2005.

15 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 15. Enrollees of HDHP/CDHPs Are Less Satisfied with Out-of-Pocket Costs *Difference between HDHP/CDHP and Comprehensive is statistically significant at p 0.05 or better. Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December Percent * * * * *

16 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 16. Enrollees of HDHP/CDHPs Are Less Likely To Stay With Their Current Health Plan If They Had the Opportunity to Change *Difference between HDHP/CDHP and Comprehensive is statistically significant at p 0.05 or better. Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December Percent of adults 21–64

17 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 17. Enrollees of HDHP/CDHPs Are Less Likely to Recommend their Plan To a Friend or Co-Worker *Difference between HDHP/CDHP and Comprehensive is statistically significant at p 0.05 or better. Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December Percent of adults 21–64

18 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 18. Workers are Less Satisfied When Their Costs Go Up – Employer Costs Go Down but at the Risk of Alienating Workers ^ All plans refers to all conventional HMOs, PPOs, and POS plans in the survey, not just HDHP/HRA or HSA- qualified HDHPs. Source: Calculated based on: G. Claxton et al., What High Deductible Health Plans Look Like: Findings from a National Survey of Employers, 2005, Health Affairs Web Exclusive, September, 14, 2005; J. Gabel et al., Health Benefits in 2005: Premium Increases Slow Down, Coverage Continues to Erode, Health Affairs, September/October All plans ^ All plans ^ $1,779 $933 $2,823 Dollars $3,413 Worker contributionEmployer contribution HSA- qualified HDHP

19 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 19. Enrollees of HDHP/CDHPs Spend Higher Percent of Income on Out-of-Pocket Medical Expenses and Premiums Percent of adults 21–64 spending > 5% of income TotalHealth Problem <$50,000 Annual Income * 9* 18* 12* 10 33* (n = 61) (n = 90) *Difference between HDHP/CDHP and Comprehensive is statistically significant at p 0.05 or better. Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December * * * * * * * * * * *

20 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 20. Enrollees of HDHP/CDHPs Are More Likely to Delay or Avoid Getting Health Care When Sick Due to Cost Percent of adults 21–64 (n = 61) (n = 90) *Difference between HDHP/CDHP and Comprehensive is statistically significant at p 0.05 or better. Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December * * * * * *

21 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 21. Enrollees of HDHP/CDHPs Are More Likely To Skip Doses to Make Medications Last **Health problem defined as fair or poor health or one of eight chronic health conditions. Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December Percent of adults 21–64 with prescriptions in last twelve months (n = 50) (n = 85) * *

22 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 22. Enrollees of HDHP/CDHPs Are More Likely to Not Fill a Prescription Due to Cost Percent of adults 21–64 (n = 61) (n = 90) * * *Difference between HDHP/CDHP and Comprehensive is statistically significant at p 0.05 or better. Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December 2005.

23 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 23. People with Higher Deductibles More Likely to Have Medical Debt or Problems Paying Medical Bills in Past Year, by Size of Deductible Percent of adults ages 19–64 with any medical bill problem or outstanding debt* Size of deductible ^ ^ ^ Note: Adjusted percentages based on logistic regression models; controlling for health status and income. *Problems paying/not able to pay medical bills, contacted by a collection agency for medical bills, had to change way of life to pay bills, or has medical debt being paid off over time. ^Significant difference at p <.05 or better; referent category = no deductible. Source: The Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey (2003).

24 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 24. Increased Health Care Costs Have Reduced Savings Has increased spending on health care expenses in the past year caused you to do any of the following? Among those with health insurance coverage who had increases in health care costs in the last year (n=731) (percentage saying yes) Decrease your contributions to a retirement plan, such as a 401(k), 403(b) or 457 plan, or an IRA Have difficulty paying for other bills Decrease your contributions to other savings Use up all or most of your savings Borrow money Have difficulty paying for basic necessities, like food, heat, and housing Source: EBRI Health Confidence Survey, 2005.

25 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 25. Most Insured Do Not Have Quality and Cost Information to Make Informed Choices ComprehensiveHDHP/CDHP Health plan provides information on quality of care provided by: Doctors 14%16% Hospitals 1415 Health plan provides information on cost of care provided by: Doctors 1612 Hospitals 1512 Of those whose plans provide info on quality, how many tried to use it for: Doctors 4254 Hospitals 2545 Of those whose plans provide info on cost, how many tried to use it for: Doctors 1536 ( n = 76) Hospitals 1432 ( n = 76) Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December 2005.

26 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 26. Cost Conscious Decision-Making, by Insurance Source *Difference between HDHP/CDHP and Comprehensive is statistically significant at p 0.05 or better. Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December Percent of adults 21–64 who received health care in last twelve months

27 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 27. HSAs Wont Solve the Cost Problem: Most Costs Are Concentrated in the Very Sick 1% 5% 10% 55% 69% 27% Source: A.C. Monheit, Persistence in Health Expenditures in the Short Run: Prevalence and Consequences, Medical Care 41, supplement 7 (2003): III53–III64. Distribution of Health Expenditures for the U.S. Population, By Magnitude of Expenditure, % 97% $27,914 $7,995 $4,115 $351 Expenditure Threshold (1997 Dollars)

28 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 28. Most Trusted Sources for Information on Health Care Providers, by Insurance Source *Difference between HDHP/CDHP and Comprehensive is statistically significant at p 0.05 or better. Source: P. Fronstin, S.R. Collins, Early Experience with High-Deductible and Consumer-Driven Health Plans: Findings From the EBRI/Commonwealth Fund Consumerism in Health Care Survey, EBRI Issue Brief, December Percent of adults 21–64

29 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 29. Uninsured Rates High Among Adults with Low and Moderate Incomes, 2001–2005 Percent of adults ages 19–64 Note: Income refers to annual income. In 2001 and 2003, low income is <$20,000, moderate income is $20,000– $34,999, middle income is $35,000–$59,999, and high income is $60,000 or more. In 2005, low income is <$20,000, moderate income is $20,000–$39,999, middle income is $40,000–$59,999, and high income is $60,000 or more. Source: S.R. Collins et al., Gaps in Health Insurance Coverage: An All-American Problem, Findings from The Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey, The Commonwealth Fund, April TotalLow incomeModerate income Middle income High income

30 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 30. Distribution of Uninsured Young Adults 19–29 by Poverty Status, 2004 Source: S.R. Collins, C. Schoen, J.L. Kriss, M.M. Doty, B. Mahato, Rite of Passage? Why Young Adults Become Uninsured and How New Policies Can Help, The Commonwealth Fund, updated May Less than 100% FPL 40% 100%– 199% FPL 29% 200% FPL or more 31%

31 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 31. HSAs Wont Solve the Uninsured Problem: Income Tax Distribution of Uninsured 55% (0% tax bracket) 16% (10% tax bracket) 23% (15% tax bracket) 5% (27% tax bracket) 1% (30%-39% tax bracket) Source: S.A. Glied, The Effect of Health Savings Accounts on Health Insurance Coverage, The Commonwealth Fund, April 2005.

32 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 32. Medicare Physician Group Practice Demonstration The Everett Clinic (WA) Deaconess Billings Clinic Park Nicollet Health Services (MN) Marshfield Clinic (WI) St. Johns Health System (MO) Source: Medicare Physician Group Practice Demonstration, January 31, Univ. of Michigan Faculty Group Practice Geisinger Health System (PA) Forsyth Medical (NC) Middlesex Health (CN) Dartmouth-Hitchcock Clinic 10 physician group practices 3-year project, began April 2005 Bonus pool based on savings relative to local area Practices expected to save 2%, keep up to 80% of additional savings Actual bonuses depend on savings and quality targets

33 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Figure 33. Building Quality Into RIte Care Higher Quality and Improved Cost Trends Quality targets and $ incentives Improved access, medical home –One third reduction in hospital and ER –Tripled primary care doctors –Doubled clinic visits Significant improvements in prenatal care, birth spacing, lead paint, infant mortality, preventive care Source: Silow-Carroll, Building Quality into RIte Care, Commonwealth Fund, Tricia Leddy, Outcome Update, Presentation at Princeton Conference, May 20, Cumulative Health Insurance Rate Trend Comparison RI Commercial Trend RIte Care Trend Percent

THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 34 Figure 34. Lacking Health Insurance for Any Period Undermines Quality and Efficiency Percent of adults ages 19–64 with at least one chronic condition* * Hypertension, high blood pressure, or stroke; heart attack or heart disease; diabetes; asthma, emphysema, or lung disease. Source: S.R. Collins et al., Gaps in Health Insurance Coverage: An All-American Problem, Findings from The Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey, The Commonwealth Fund, April 2006.

THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 35 Figure 35. Adults Without Insurance Have More Problems With Lab Tests and Records Source: S.R. Collins et al., Gaps in Health Insurance Coverage: An All-American Problem, Findings from The Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey, The Commonwealth Fund, April Percent of adults ages 19–64 reporting the following problems in past two years: