2008 – Thoughts To Ponder IPAA Private Capital Conference January 16, 2008 Dan Pickering.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Remedy Statistics April 2009 May 28th 2009 Paris Desktop Support Analysis only done with Remedy tickets (Incident-Task-Request) (GRS requests are not included.
Advertisements

Longevity & Mortality Risk Transfer via the Capital Markets Guy Coughlan, Managing Director PENSION ADVISORY GROUP S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D.
SEPTEMBER S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A LS T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L Panel Session:
Hedge fund flows on pace to nearly double 2012
Taiwan Treasure at Tough Times Nicholas Kwan Regional Head of Research, Asia
Headlines (Internet / News Media)
Irish recovery? Pär Magnusson
Peck, Shaffer & Williams LLP 1 Structure and Sale of Municipal Securities Matthias Edrich Kwali Farbes January 30, 2009.
Energy Capital: Will Wall Street Be There For Energy Financings Next Year? Raymond James Energy Group Energy Capital: Will Wall Street Be There For Energy.
IPAA/TIPRO September Lunch Dan Pickering September 13, 2006 The Pause That Refreshes.
Innovations in Structured Products October 25, 2010 An Innovator’s Dilemma?
1 What A Difference A Few Months Makes! Presentation to IPAA Capital Markets / HEFG *Disclaimers on page 9 of this document. August 7, 2008 Dan Pickering.
Confidential Date: June 2011 PRELIMINARY | SUBJECT TO FURTHER REVIEW AND EVALUATION These materials may not be used or relied upon for any purpose other.
13 September 2007] Vurdering af grunnfondsbeviset og grunnfondsbevisbankerne set fra London.
Morningstar June 2008 Richard Quin - Director, Credit Suisse
S E P T E M B E R S E P T E M B E R A S I A B O N D T R E N D SA S I A B O N D T R E N D S S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I.
FINANCE CLUB Overview of a financial transaction from start to finish Discuss how companies interact with investment banks and investors How do investment.
Financing Process 11/03/05.
1 Investment Companies Chapter 3 Jones, Investments: Analysis and Management.
Saks Gloweli Capital Saks Gloweli Capital is the Banking and Finance division of Saks Gloweli Consulting. It offers clients a range of financial advisory.
Portfolio Management Group 1 Building Portfolios Using Exchange Traded Funds Nancy Hartsock Financial Advisor Financial Planning Specialist Smith Barney.
SESSION 19A: PRIVATE COMPANY VALUATION Aswath Damodaran 1.
ETF Sales & Trading Toronto | Montreal | Exchange Traded Funds Structure and Market Making September 2014.
Shanghai Free Trade Zone (SFTZ)
 Basic Introduction to Financial Sector Part 1: Institutions and Roles of Individuals © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
An Equity Perspective Paul Malan Global Markets 21 January 2004.
Providing Capital Requirement Solutions for Emerging Growth Companies CFO Capital Partners CFO Capital Partners.
This module provides a preview to corporate finance by explaining the major role and tasks of the financial executive. The module describes the criteria.
Mike Zenker Barclays Capital Research (415) November 12, 2007
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION An introduction to the capital markets J.P. Morgan Investment Academy.
Becca Followill December 3, 2009 Natural Gas in the United States Big Potential, Big Uncertainty Natural Gas in the United States Big Potential, Big Uncertainty.
SOURCES OF FUNDS: 1- retained earnings used from the company to the shareholders as dividends or for reinvestment 2- Borrowing, this tool has tax advantages.
1 The European Market for Shar’iah Real Estate Funds “A niche market for specialists or a viable new business opportunity for major players?” Michael Walton.
Maximising Investment Opportunities: releasing value from estates Barclays Private Equity 15 th May 2008.
W Geneva December, 2007 World Meteorological Organization Simple Heating Degree Day Program.
PRODUCTIVITY – THE PICTURE FOR THE UK & THE WEST MIDLANDS SUSTAINING COMPETITIVENESS CONFERENCE – THE BELFRY RHYS HERBERT SENIOR ECONOMIST 6 JULY 2012.
Online banking security best practices Access via ‘transaction devices’
Kuwait Financial Centre ‘Markaz’ Sukuk Presentation - Update June 2009
Written by Michael Karagianis, Senior Investment Strategist, MLC ‘With returns from cash and bonds falling, investors need to look for other ways of generating.
Correlation matters: Understanding how asset classes behave J.P. Morgan Investment Academy Series SM FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY | NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION.
Real Estate Debt Capital Markets
Raymond James Energy Group
Satch Chada, Structured & Alternatives Solutions, Merrill Lynch Michael Forstl, Structured Products Consulting Group, Nuveen Investments April 16, 2008.
Oil and Natural Gas Markets The Intersection of Greed and Fear Important disclaimer on page 30 of this document. Unocal Gulf Coast Alumni Club Riverbend.
ESOPs: It’s More Than a Matter of Trust Presented by: Dan Reser President; Fiduciary Services, Inc
W Geneva December, 2007 World Meteorological Organization Basics of Weather Risk Management.
Hedge Fund Selection Process 2005 Canadian Annual Derivatives Conference Gary Ostoich President, Salida Capital Corp. August 19, 2005.
Arihant Financial Services Tejas Shah
1 Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. The Case ABC Automotive Products has selected you to advise them on the sale of their.
January 25, 2007 The Role of Speculation in Energy Markets Kyle Dickard Managing Director, Global Commodity Analysis.
EQUITY VALUATION. Claims on Cash Flows of Firm Investors forego consumption and invest expecting future returns Risk is associated with the investment.
Finance SCOOP Indiana University September 16, 2003.
ENERGY MARKETS DIVISION Factors Affecting Resource Investment Decisions in ERCOT June 30, 2011.
Place Client Logo Here Oil Market Outlook Paul Horsnell Head of Commodities Research, Barclays Capital Intertanko Singapore Tanker Event 30 March 2006.
BUS 353 Part I: Understanding Capital Markets. A. Capital 1.Capital is defined as wealth, generally money or property 2.Capital Providers – people and.
February 2016 Outlook for Financial Markets Jack Ablin, CFA Chief Investment Officer (312) What to do Now? – Navigating Wall Street Volatility.
Q Financial Results Analyst Presentation Abu Dhabi National Energy Company PJSC (TAQA) Abu Dhabi, May 11th 2016.
This confidential presentation has been prepared by CIBC Capital Markets, exclusively for the benefit and internal use of [the board of directors/special.
Ratio Analysis…. Types of ratios…  Performance Ratios: Return on capital employed. (Income Statement and Balance Sheet) Gross profit margin (Income Statement)
Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Copyright © 2011 Standard.
Prospects For Recovery: An Economic Update Karr Ingham Petroleum Economist Texas Alliance of Energy Producers Webinar, May 24, 2016
NIRI: Communications Practices Telling the company story in three different regions The multi-region view Rupert Della-Porta, COO November 2012 Atlantic.
Wealth and Investment Management Markets and the Global Economy Barclays Research, Economics and Strategy June 2016 Henk Potts.
Table of Contents_Product
Indiana University Finance P.O.O.P. Session
Cambria Armor Dividend Strategy Cambria Armor Growth Strategy
Environmental Upgrade Finance
TITLE PRESENTATIONDATE AUTHOR JOBTITLE.
Corporations: Organization, Stock Transactions, and Dividends
Presentation transcript:

2008 – Thoughts To Ponder IPAA Private Capital Conference January 16, 2008 Dan Pickering

2 What’s It Going To Be? …or Uh-Oh? Yippee!!

3 Who Is Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co.? Energy Specialists Research, Investment Banking, Property A&D ~ 50 Employees Houston/Denver Offices Our clients are: □ Institutional Investors □ Companies Seeking Capital □ Companies Buying/Selling Assets

4 NYMEX Current Month Oil Price

5 What If Oil Falls by $20/bbl?

6 What If It Doesn’t?

7 What If China / India Slow? Cumulative Growth In Oil Consumption Incremental Demand ~ 5.1 mmbbls/day China / India

8 What If China / India Accelerate?

9 Does Inventory Matter?

10 How Scary Is The World? Iran Venezuela Mexico West Africa Iraq Russia Deepwater The Unknown

11 What If The Winter Stays Cold?

12 What If Gas Trades At $9/mcf? Source: Smith Bits, TPH

13 What If U.S. Drilling Holds Steady? U.S. Onshore U.S. Offshore LNG Canada Imports Total Supply % y/y *All figures in bcf/day Gas Supply Snapshot

14 Is There Too Much LNG? 2008E = +5.5 bcf/day 2009E = +4 bcf/day Global Supply

15 What If The Credit Crunch Lingers? E&P 2008 Free Cash $7/mcf

16 What About Alternative Energy?

17 Elections And Energy?

18 What If We Were In Another Business?!

19 Conclusions Everything Is Intertwined You want lower oil prices! Gas Is Global Risk Management Alternatives Are Real…And Small Energy Is Still The Best Game In Town

20 Put in Final Presentation Slide Here Tudor, Pickering & Co. Securities, Inc. is a leading institutional brokerage firm focusing on energy-sector research for institutional investors. The Company, a NASD broker-dealer, develops investment ideas for our clients by actively covering the E&P and oil service industries, while monitoring energy subsectors such as coal, nuclear, tankers and alternative energy. In addition to research activities, Tudor, Pickering has executed share repurchases and helped energy companies raise equity capital via co-manager and syndicate positions in numerous energy offerings including CPX, HERO, WARR, BAS, XCO. Our research is provided to institutional clients via published reports, concise s, and through direct interaction with our highly rated analysts and unique, specialized sales force. Tudor Pickering has 42 employees working from our main Houston office and two satellite offices in Denver, Colorado and New Orleans, Louisiana. The firm was established in February 2004 as Pickering Energy Partners and combined with Tudor Capital in February Contact Us Houston: Denver: New Orleans:

21 Disclaimer TudorPickering does not provide accounting, tax or legal advice. In addition, we mutually agree that, subject to applicable law, you (and your employees, representatives and other agents) may disclose any aspects of any potential transaction or structure described herein that are necessary to support any U.S. federal income tax benefits, and all materials of any kind (including tax opinions and other tax analyses) related to those benefits, with no limitations imposed by TudorPickering. The information contained herein is confidential (except for information relating to United States tax issues) and may not be reproduced in whole or in part. TudorPickering assumes no responsibility for independent verification of third-party information and has relied on such information being complete and accurate in all material respects. To the extent such information includes estimates and forecasts of future financial performance (including estimates of potential cost savings and synergies) prepared by, reviewed or discussed with the managements of your company and/ or other potential transaction participants or obtained from public sources, we have assumed that such estimates and forecasts have been reasonably prepared on bases reflecting the best currently available estimates and judgments of such managements (or, with respect to estimates and forecasts obtained from public sources, represent reasonable estimates). These materials were designed for use by specific persons familiar with the business and the affairs of your company and TudorPickering materials. Under no circumstances is this presentation to be used or considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy, any security. Prior to making any trade, you should discuss with your professional tax, accounting, or regulatory advisers how such particular trade(s) affect you. This brief statement does not disclose all of the risks and other significant aspects of entering into any particular transaction.