1 JHSAT - October 2006 JHSAT Status September 25, 2006 Mark Liptak FAA ANE-110 Jack Drake HAI

2 JHSAT - October 2006 JHSAT Status Data Analysis Engaging with the international community Offering near term safety recommendations

3 JHSAT - October 2006 Data Analysis

4 JHSAT - October 2006 Data Analysis: The JHSAT team is currently processing 190 accidents The accident data has been downloaded from the NTSB (~4000 files) For each accident the JHSAT performs the following: reconstruct the sequence of events identify what went wrong and why it went wrong assign an appropriate problem statement identify appropriate corrective action(s) score findings based on validity, importance, ability and usage The team has currently completed 90 of 190 accidents

5 JHSAT - October 2006 JHSAT currently working process areas highlighted in yellow Charter Development Establish Team Select Data Set Review NTSB Docket Data Develop Event Sequence Identify Problems (what/why) Assign Std Problem Statements Score Problem Validity & Importance Identify Intervention Strategies Score Intervention Ability/Usage Prioritize by Overall Effectiveness Technical Review & Expert Validation Conflicts? Report Results No Yes IHST JHSIT

6 JHSAT - October 2006 Data Analysis: To date the accidents analyzed have covered a wide spectrum of helicopter types and operations. We expect to be able to offer a comprehensive set of safety recommendations based on the analyses to the IHST and JHSIT. The data has not been ranked by the JHSAT yet. This will be accomplished as a final step prior to review with experts in the affected recommendation areas.

7 JHSAT - October 2006 Engaging with the international community

8 JHSAT - October 2006

9 Engaging with the international community The preceding slide shows worldwide accident trends for the last 26 years. The criticality of working with the international community to reduce worldwide rates is readily apparent since the US accounts for only 35 to 40% of accidents on an annual basis. The JHSAT team is developing contacts and coordinating this activity. Matt Rigsby from FAA-ASW will be acting as the contact point for identifying overseas and military partners. Matt Rigsby Any entity that possess large helicopter accident datasets that could be processed by the JHSAT method should be considered. EASA and Canada moving toward partnering with us in this process. On-going efforts to identify other partners from Asia, South America, Oceania, etc.

10 JHSAT - October 2006 Engaging with the international community A structured approach will be used to manage the analytical and implementation work sponsored by the IHST. Key attributes: All recommendations will be data driven Regional ownership - Data is owned and analyzed by those most familiar with it. Safety recommendations will be implemented by teams most familiar with local needs. JHSAT and JHSIT lead teams will be responsible for training/coaching regional teams, measuring the results of the safety recommendations and implementation effectiveness.

11 JHSAT - October 2006 IHST Safety Initiative Analysis, Implementation and Metrics Management Structure IHST Executive Committee JHSAT Lead Group JHSIT Lead Group Canada JHSAT EASA JHSAT Canada JHSIT EASA JHSIT Region X, Y, Z JHSIT US/CAN/EASA Consolidated Recommendations JHSAT sends recommendations to JHSIT US/CAN/EASA/X,Y,Z Implementation Results JHSAT/JHSIT cross-talk Need to maintain a strong communication/feedback loop between IHST – JHSAT - JHSIT Process development using US NTSB data represents 48% of worldwide fleet Measure Accident Reductions Effectiveness Measure Implementation Effectiveness Regions X, Y, Z defined as those pockets of operation not able to staff a full JHSAT team and are willing to work implementation of US/CAN/EASA findings to benefit their fleets Others?

12 JHSAT - October 2006 JHSAT Lead Group Analysis of International Data Matt Rigsby is JHSAT POC Seeking data rich partners Preliminary discussions with: Canada EASA(CAA-UK, France BEA) Brazil (contacted, no reply) NZ (contacted, no reply) AustraliaChile Canadian MilitaryUSN Near-term: bring Canada on-line as a test case Consider EASA next Interim Goal: have Canada/EASA present status at the 2007 IHSS Symposium in Montreal Demonstrate that this is an international effort, and it has momentum JHSIT will also have international partner management responsibilities: custom tailored regional solutions coordinated with JHSAT coordinated with IHST IHST Outreach/Marketing Emerging Fleets Somen is the IHST POC Identify emerging/high growth markets Develop strategy to: Foster participation Benefit from IHST knowledge base Candidates: China India CIS? Engaging with the International Community JHSIT Lead Group Implementing Regional Solutions

13 JHSAT - October 2006 Potential Barriers: JHSAT: Variation in dataset quality, definitions, etc, around the world may make use of a standardized JHSAT approach more difficult. Military data may not be available. Lack of fleet hours will complicate ability to measure results. Regional teams may be difficult to staff with sufficient level of expertise representing manufacturers, operators and regulatory interests. JHSIT: Regional operations and regulations may make some implementation actions difficult.

14 JHSAT - October 2006 US Civil Dataset Selection (1/2 of helicopters Worldwide) JSAT Process Understanding Refining JHSAT Analysis Identify FCAA & Military Partners Train FCAA & Military Partners in JHSAT Process FCAA & Military Partners conduct JHSAT analyses on their accident data Expert Review/ Validation Mitigation Recs - Global Mitigation Recs FCAA & Mil Coordinating JHSAT US and International Efforts First Set US Mitigation Recs Mar/Apr 06 May/June 06 May-Dec 06 Jan 07 1Q 07 1Q 08 TBD 07 TBD 06/07 Sept 06 Tech Review Jan 07 IHST JHSAT is now working to bring EASA and Canada into the process

15 JHSAT - October 2006 Offering near term safety recommendations

16 JHSAT - October 2006 Offering near term safety recommendations The JHSAT has identified important recommendations from a series of existing helicopter safety reports. (listed on the next slide) The team is currently drafting narrative statements that give background and context to the recommendations. These recommendations will be submitted to the IHST in November so that the JHSIT will have several well founded general recommendations to work with. The JHSAT plan to issue its full set of analytical results by the end of 1Q07.

17 JHSAT - October 2006 JHSAT is reviewing the recommendations of the following reports: NASA - U.S. Civil Rotorcraft Accidents, 1963 Through 1997 NASA - Analysis of US Civil Rotorcraft Accidents from 1990 to 1996 and Implications for a Safety Program NASA - ASRS Rotorcraft Incident Study - Draft Data Summary Aviation Safety Reporting System NASA - Helicopter Accident Analysis Team AMPA - A Safety Review and Risk Assessment in Air Medical Transport CRS - Report for Congress - Military Aviation Safety OGP - Safety Performance of Helicopter Operations in the Oil and Gas Industry Data TSB Canada - Lessons Learned from TSB Investigation of Helicopter Accidents ( ) Bell Textron - History of Helicopter Safety Other NTSB and international reports may be considered.

18 JHSAT - October 2006 Please forward questions to Mark Liptak, JHSAT co-chairperson.Mark Liptak This document was prepared in September 2006