Analysis of the ISM Matrix Draft 3 November 5, 2004

2 Executive Summary Both Levels of Soot Data Used in Analysis –Crosshead Wear, Sludge, Top Ring Weight Loss, Oil Filter Delta Pressure, Injector Screw, Valve Adjusting Screw, Rocker Hat, Cylinder Liner Wear and Scuffing Soot Correction for CWL and IAS Possible Oil Discrimination on Some Parameters Lab A has Significantly Higher Oil Consumption and Lower Sludge Ratings Lab D is Dropped from the Analysis Outlier Criteria a Possibility

3 ISM Matrix Test Number: Average Soot Lab ALab GLab B ISMA 1: 3.7% 2: None 1: 3.4% 2: None 1: None 2: None : 3.5% 2: 4.3% 1: 3.4% 2: 3.9% 1: 3.5% 2: 3.9% : None 2: 4.0% 1: None 2: 3.8% 1: None 2: 4.1%

4 Cross Head Weight Loss Model Fit: CWL=f(Lab, Oil, Average Soot) –No Lab Differences Lab G 0.84 Mild if Fit Procedure Change Instead of Soot –All 3 Oils Statistically Significantly Different –CWL Increases per 1% Avg Soot

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13 What About Outlier Criteria E178 –Assume Known Standard Deviation –With n=6 and Alpha=0.01, T=2.68 Outlier Criteria Creates Outlier

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15 Oil Filter Delta Pressure Model Fit: LN(FDP)=f(Lab, Oil) –No Lab Differences –Oil 830 Statistically Significantly Different from Oil 1004 –Use of Natural Log Transformation

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18 Average Sludge Rating Model Fit: ASR=f(Lab, Oil) –Weak Evidence Lab A Statistically Significantly Different –No Oil Differences

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21 Top Ring Weight Loss Model Fit: TRWL=f(Lab, Oil) –No Lab Differences –No Oil Differences

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24 Injector Adjusting Screw Weight Loss Model Fit: AVGIAS=f(Lab, Oil, Average Soot) –No Lab Differences –Oil 830 Statistically Significantly Different –AVGIAS Increases per 1% Avg Soot

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26 Valve Adjusting Screw Weight Loss Model Fit: VSWL=f(Lab, Oil) –No Lab Differences –Oil 830 Statistically Significantly Different from Oil 1004

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29 Rocker Hat Weight Loss Model Fit: RHWL=f(Lab, Oil) –No Lab Differences –Some Evidence ISMA Statistically Significantly Different from Oil 1004

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31 Cylinder Liner Wear Model Fit: ALW=f(Lab, Oil) –No Lab Differences –No Oil Differences

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33 Oil Consumption Model Fit: OC=f(Lab, Oil) –Lab A Statistically Significantly Different –No Oil Differences

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35 Scuffing Injector Adjusting Screw Scuffing –No Scuffing on Oil ISMA –Scuffing on 1 of 6 Tests on Oil 1004 (Lab A, 4.3% Soot) –Scuffing on Oil 830 in Lab A, Lab B, but Not Lab G Valve Adjusting Screw Scuffing –Scuffing on 1 of 6 Tests on Oil 1004 (Lab A, 4.3% Soot) Rocker Hat Scuffing –Scuffing on 1 of 6 Tests on Oil 1004 (Lab A, 4.3% Soot)