Working Group Core Team Meeting II February 14, 2008.

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Presentation transcript:

Working Group Core Team Meeting II February 14, 2008

Meeting Overview Recap Previous Meeting and Status Update Work Group Structure Schedule Study Area Alternatives to be analyzed Additional model runs Discussion and concurrence on above items Review and Approve Technical Working Group Recommendations: Wedge Area Zone splits Zonal Data: Wedge Area and Casino Additional Network Updates Highway Network Posted Speed Assumptions Transit Modeling Assumptions Transit Network Configurations Transit Service: Frequency and Proposed Speeds Discussion of Performance Measures Wrap up: Upcoming activities and Future Meetings 2

University Drive Connection Working Group Advisory/Oversight (Policy) Group Core Working Group Technical Working Group 3

Schedule (Completed) 01/11/2008: Joint MPO Meeting 01/23/2008: Working Group Core Team Meeting I 02/07/2008: Technical Working Group Meeting I 4

Upcoming Schedule 02/14/08: Working Group Core Team Meeting II Approve Modeling Assumptions Conduct Model Runs Prepare Model Run Results 03/06/08: Technical Working Group Meeting II Review Model Run Results Assess Mitigation Needs 03/13/08: Working Group Core Team Meeting III April 20008: Present findings to the MPOs 5

6 Study Area

Alternatives to be analyzed Shown on the Model Alternative Table 5 University Drive alternatives (1a ~ 1e) 3 Coral Ridge Drive alternatives(2a ~ 2c) 4 SR-7 alternatives (3a ~ 3d) 2 Lyons Road alternatives(4a & 4b) 2 Sawgrass Expressway alternatives (5a & 5b)* 1 FP&L ROW alternatives (6a)* Total: 17 Network alternatives * for “investigation” only at this time 7

Additional Model Runs (1/2) For comparison, Alternative 1 a will be run “With” and “Without” additional developments of “Wedge” and “Expanded Casino” The “With” additional development Person Trip Table of Alternative 1 a will be the default “Locked” Trip Table for all other alternative model runs The “Without”: 1 DU/10 Acre for Wedge Area, No Casino expansion trips (but with approved additional hotel/retail) 8

Additional Model Runs (2/2) Alternative 1 d will be run with and without the “Locked” trip table for comparison 9

Discussion and Concurrence

Proposed Zone Splits 11

Wedge Boundary 12

Zonal Data: “With” and “Without” Wedge New Vehicle Trips “With” Intensified Wedge Development LRTP Zonal Data: “Without” Wedge Development 13

Zonal Data: Casino TAZ Zonal Data Broward TAZ #65 (SERPM TAZ 1665) 14

Additional Network Update (1a) County Line Road East Terminus/connection 15

Additional Network Update (1b) County Line Road East Terminus/Connection to Hillsboro Blvd. 16

Additional Network Update (2) New Turnpike Interchange Turnpike is studying: Full Interchange at Clint Moore Road Partial Interchanges: to/from north at Yamato Road and to/from south at Palmetto Park Road Full interchange at Palmetto Park Road What should be coded onto the network? Should the new interchange be coded onto all the alternatives? Or, a new alternative for comparison? 17

Yamato Rd Clint Moore Rd Glades Rd Palmetto Park Rd Sawgrass Exwy Hillsboro Blvd SW 18 th St Lox Rd S.R. 7 I-95 S.R. 7 I-95 SERPM 6.02 Proposed Existing interchange Future interchange in existing SERPM model Proposed partial interchange at Yamato Rd / Palmetto Park Rd Interchanges on Turnpike 18

Proposed Posted Speeds for New Links on each Alternative Typical 8LD: 50 MPH (SR-7) 6LD: 45 MPH ~ 50 MPH (SR-7) 4LD: 40 MPH ~ 45 MPH 2L: 30 MPH See the example on the following slide and separate Attachment for specifics 19

Model Application Using SERPM v6.02 with 2030 analysis year “Locking” the person trip table Using the person trip table input to mode choice from the baseline alternative (1a) for all other alternatives Entire model is run for baseline alternative Only necessary components are run for all other alternatives (except additional runs for Alternative 1D) 21

22 Other Assumptions The price of gasoline is broadly included in the auto operating cost, which is computed on a cost per mile basis The model assumes that the auto operating cost does not increase over and above the inflation rate through 2030 Transit fares have been modified slightly reflect changes to existing fare structures, except for PalmTran-to-BCT transfers that assume a unified fare

Modeling Transit Travel forecasting models are sensitive mainly to Operating and Service characteristics: Provider : Routing, Stops, Speed, Service frequency, and Fare Structure Users : travel time, wait time, out-of-pocket cost, and transfers Other characteristics, such as perceived safety, station/stop amenities and reliability are accounted for in the model, but it is not directly sensitive to them E.g., improving “perceived safety” will not increase ridership 23

Transit Speed Assumptions All transit service will be mixed-flow unless operating in exclusive transit lanes Transit speeds in mixed-flow lanes are a function of the auto speed Transit speeds in exclusive transit lanes are computed using average speeds for local service and equations in motion with an allowance for signal pre-emption for limited-stop services 24

25 Transit Fares Propose to adjust SERPM 2030 fares so that they reflect current values BCT one-way fare from $1.00 to $1.50 BCT pass from $2.50 to $2.36 PalmTran one-way fare from $1.25 to $1.50 PalmTran pass from $3.00 to $3.50 Assume no fare difference between services on exclusive ROW and in mixed-flow

Transit Network Assumptions Based on the 2030 LRTP transit networks Modifications for cross county service integration: Coordinate transit service between northern Broward and southern Palm Beach Counties Provide service in “Wedge” area 26

Transit Network Assumptions Using the modified transit network for all alternatives except: Alt 1e – apply exclusive transit lanes on University Drive between County Line Road and Palmetto Park Road Alts 3c, 3d – apply exclusive transit lanes on SR-7 from Golden Glades to Glades Road and on Glades Road from SR7 to Florida Atlantic University Alt 4b – apply exclusive transit lanes along Lyons Road between Commercial Blvd and Glades Road and along Glades Road from SR-7 to Florida Atlantic University 27

29 Transit Service in Year 2000 Florida’s Turnpike Lyons Rd Lox Rd Glades Rd Sawgrass Expy Palmetto Park Rd Sample Rd S.R. 7 University Dr Coral Ridge Dr

30 “Existing” SERPM 2030 LRTP Transit Service Florida’s Turnpike Lyons Rd Lox Rd Glades Rd Sawgrass Expy Palmetto Park Rd Sample Rd County Line Rd S.R. 7 University Dr Coral Ridge Dr #2 and Univ. Dr “Breeze” terminate at Sample Rd #18 and #441 “Breeze” terminate near the County Line Rd

31 Proposed Baseline Transit Service Florida’s Turnpike Lyons Rd Lox Rd Glades Rd Palmetto Park Rd Sample Rd County Line Rd Proposed park and ride lot S.R. 7 University Dr #88 now serves S.R.7 & Glades Rd parking lot #2 and Univ. Dr.“Breeze” now serves to Boca Town Center #18 and #441 “Breeze” now serve FAU Sawgrass Expy

32 Transit Configuration B (University Dr. & Coral Ridge Dr. not extended) Florida’s Turnpike Lyons Rd Lox Rd Glades Rd Sawgrass Expy Palmetto Park Rd Sample Rd County Line Rd Without University Dr. Connection #2, Univ. Dr. “Breeze” & #88 moved onto Holmberg Rd. S.R. 7 University Dr Coral Ridge Dr

33 Transit Configuration C (Coral Ridge Dr Extension) Florida’s Turnpike Lyons Rd Lox Rd Glades Rd Sawgrass Expy Palmetto Park Rd Sample Rd County Line Rd #2, Univ. Dr. “Breeze” & #88 moved onto Coral Ridge Extension Coral Ridge Dr. Extension S.R. 7 University Dr Coral Ridge Dr

34 Transit Service Frequency Roadway Service Frequency (vehicles/hr) LRTP Proposed Baseline Coral Ridge Dr. 222 University Dr S.R Glades Rd

Proposed Speeds (1) Congested Time on S.R. - 7 (Sample Rd. to Glades Rd.) Proposed speeds partially based on TCRP 26a and 26b reports Direction Distance (miles) Auto Time (min) Bus Time (min) Proposed Time (min) on Exclusive Transit Lanes LocalLimited Stop NB to 2313 to 16 SB to 2313 to 16 All times represent 2030 congested condition 35

Proposed Speeds (2) Congested Speeds on S.R.- 7 (Sample Rd. to Glades Rd.) Proposed speeds partially based on TCRP 26a and 26b Reports Direction Distance (miles) Auto Time (mph) Bus Time (mph) Proposed Speed (mph) on Exclusive Transit Lanes LocalLimited Stop NB to 2125 to 30 SB to 2125 to 30 All speeds represent 2030 congested condition 36

37 Example of Model Output Difference in Daily Traffic Volume (1c vs. 1a) Sawgrass Expy Florida’s Turnpike Lyons Rd Coral Ridge Dr Powerline Rd University Dr S.R. 7 Sample Rd Yamato Rd Palmetto Park Rd I-95 County Line Rd Lox Rd Glades Rd Volume decrease Volume increase

Alternatives Evaluation and Performance Measures Systems Information within the study area System and Lane Miles System VMT and VHT  Transit route miles, runs) LOS Link Volumes Person throughput Transit Riderships Additional Lane Miles Needed for each Alternative Other? 38

Wrap Up Future Activities Next Meetings 39