UNCLASSIFIED 1 MPAT TEMPEST EXPRESS (TE) 26 Pandemic Timeline 2-10 April 2015 Nouméa, New Caledonia

UNCLASSIFIED Ebola Pandemic 2015 Global Snapshot The Ebola Pandemic continues to spread unchecked with cases being reported regularly throughout the North and South America, Europe, and the Middle East. Reported cases are in excess of 450 cases with 38 confirmed fatalities. The epicentre remains Western and Central Africa with UN efforts via UNMEER and unilateral national responses from the US and UK (most notably) not effectively containing the spread. Within the Asia Pacific, Ebola ‘s spread has until now remain limited to returning health care workers. Effective and strict travel restrictions and quarantine procedures in most regional countries, particularly the ASEAN nations, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand have limited reported cases to less than 50 cases and nil fatalities 2 Dead – Infected – Over 40000

UNCLASSIFIED D-120: The Ebola Pandemic continues to worsen in Africa with over laboratory confirmed cases and deaths. D-40: A Fijian Contingent (RFMF, Police and Corrective Services) assigned to UNMISS in Southern Sudan returns home to Fiji at the end of its tour. Sudan in recent months experienced a number of reported Ebola related fatalities. The Fijian contingent was cleared by the Force RMO in Juba just prior to redeployment. D-30: The contingent is stood-down to clear post deployment leave. Within days numerous soldiers fall ill `symptomatic with an Influenza like illness. D-25: Numerous carers and family members soon also fall ill with flu like symptoms. Fatalities occur in Suva, Lautoka, Nadi and Sigatoka however Health officials do not initially suspect a virulent form of influenza or other contagion. D-20: More illnesses and deaths are reported and Fiji Health authorities in Suva identify a pattern emerging. They immediately call upon SPC influenza specialists in Fiji. D-16: SPC pandemic specialists assess that the illness may be Ebola. Lab results are sent to Melbourne, Australia for Level 3 testing. WHO generates a report for the UN. 3 Regional Pandemic Timeline / Storyline

UNCLASSIFIED Regional Pandemic Timeline / Storyline D-15: The Fijian Disaster Management Office establishes its National Emergency Operations Centre (NEOC) as the Fiji Health and disaster management system is quickly overwhelmed. Key capabilities such as first responders (including the RFMF) are falling ill, dying or being placed into quarantine. Instances of law and order issues emerge in major urban areas on Viti Levu as regular services including fuel and food distribution becomes less regular. D-14: Melborne Lab confirms Ebola with MoH and SPC. D-13: WHO report to the UN calls for immediate action to stem th tiud eof Ebola across the globe. D-12: With reports of Ebola being leaked by the media, Major Airlines and Cruise Line Companies announce that they are suspending services to Fiji after reports of Airport and Port employees in Nadi and Suva falling sick with Ebola. Expatriates and tourists call for evacuation and remain in quarantine at their homes and resorts on Viti Levu and the outlying islands. D-10: Govt of Fiji calls upon urgent military and NGO assistance as its Disaster Management Plan falls into disarray with the overwhelming number of issues. 4

UNCLASSIFIED Regional Pandemic Timeline / Storyline D-9: The FRANZ agreement is enacted with France, Australia and New Zealand all making immediate offers of support to the Government of Fiji. Other nations also make offers of support to a multilateral regional response. Today: The Interim MNF HQ is established at FANC facilities in Noumea. A core planning team has been drawn together to commence planning for possible options for support to the RFMF and other Fijian government agencies. The highly politicized nature of military support to a pandemic response in the region has led to a number of nations offering general but unspecified support until the MNF Commander develops the plan. 5

UNCLASSIFIED D-25: Initial reporting on Viti Levu Infected Infected 1-10 Infected SPC / NDMO Estimates Infected – 18 approx Dead – 2 Daily Infection rate – 6 approx

UNCLASSIFIED D-20: Coordinated reporting occurs Infected Infected 1-10 Infected SPC / NDMO Estimates Infected – 300 approx Dead – 30 Daily Infection rate – 100 approx

UNCLASSIFIED D-16: SPC Triggers WHO Report Infected Infected 1-10 Infected SPC / NDMO Estimates Infected – 1000 approx Dead – 100 approx Daily Infection rate – 300 approx

UNCLASSIFIED D-10: Fiji Request for Assistance Infected Infected 1-10 Infected SPC / NDMO Estimates Infected – 2200 approx Dead – 220 Daily Infection rate – 400 approx

UNCLASSIFIED D-10: Fiji Request for Assistance Infected Infected 1-10 Infected

UNCLASSIFIED Today: MNF HQ Established Infected Infected 1-10 Infected SPC / NDMO Estimates Infected – 6200 approx Dead – 447 Daily Infection rate – 400 approx

UNCLASSIFIED WHO Projections – 90 to 120 Days Infected Infected1-10 Infected Infected WHO Estimates Infected – approx Dead – Daily Infection rate – 1000 approx