MAGEEP. Sustainable Development – Causality Loop Economic Development with Due Care of the Environment Systems approach: linking human activities and.

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Presentation transcript:

MAGEEP

Sustainable Development – Causality Loop Economic Development with Due Care of the Environment Systems approach: linking human activities and their consequences in closed loop Each component depends on its causal upstream driver – and external environment The causal loop can be used as an organizing principle for sustainability analysis

Causality: Linear System Model

Population - Energy/Goods Consumption– Materials Flow - Emissions E k =  c jk FM j =   b ij c jk GE i =    a i b ij c jk P Industr. Energy Transp. Energy ResCom.Engy Electric Energy CO2 NOx HC PM Goods &Energy,(GE) iFuels&Mater.(FM), j Emission (EM), k Ind. ChemicalsIndustr. Goods Pop., P Metals SOx a i Consump./Person b ij Fuels/Energy c jk Emission/Fuel- Consumption of Goods and Energy:GE =  a i P Fuels and Materials Flow:FM =   a i b ij P Emission of Pollutants:EM =    a i b ij c jk P Industrial Prod. Transportation ResComercial EconMeasure(EM) Coal Oil Gas

Systems Biology a paradigm, usually defined in antithesis to the so-called reductionist paradigm, although fully consistent with the scientific method. The distinction between the two paradigms is referred to in these quotations:paradigmreductionistscientific method Systems biology is a biology-based inter-disciplinary study field that focuses on the systematic study of complex interactions in biological systems, thus using a new perspective (integration instead of reduction) to study them... to discover new emergent properties that may arise from the systemic view in order to understand the entirety of processes that happen in a biological system.biological systemsintegrationreduction

WU Carbon Class project Carbon (Causality) Systems Model Frames of Mind Possible Interactions Communication Cooperation Coordination

1960- Aerosol Science (Coagulation, Bimodal Distribution) Atmospheric Science (Transport, Chemistry, Removal Processes) Atmosphere Biosphere Interactions (NAS Report) Earth Transformed by Human Action (Cambridge) Sustainability Exploration –1998- Industrial Metabolism (UN University) –1998-WUSTL Class - Sustainable Air Quality/Informatics Sustainability Multiple Perspectives, Minds –Disciplinary, Synthesizing, Creating, Respectful, Ethical –Concrete???

Model is a tool, not an answer A map for the activities and connections A map a place for the stakeholders A container of disciplinary models