The 2010 Indonesia Population Census Dr. Wendy Hartanto BPS-Statistics Indonesia

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Presentation transcript:

The 2010 Indonesia Population Census Dr. Wendy Hartanto BPS-Statistics Indonesia

Indonesia Indonesia consists of: 33 Provinces 33 Provinces 497 Districts/Municipalities 497 Districts/Municipalities 6,651Sub-districts 6,651Sub-districts 77,126 Villages 77,126 Villages 300 Ethnic groups 300 Ethnic groups 250 Languages 250 Languages 13,700 Islands 13,700 Islands 2

MAP OF INDONESIA 3

Censuses in Indonesia Two censuses during the Dutch Administration: in 1920 &1930.Two censuses during the Dutch Administration: in 1920 &1930. Five censuses after the independence (1945): in 1961, 1971, 1980, 1990 and 2000.Five censuses after the independence (1945): in 1961, 1971, 1980, 1990 and The 2010 census is the sixth census.The 2010 census is the sixth census. 4

2010 Population Census Legal Basis Law No.16/1997 Law No.16/1997 The Statistical Act Government regulation No.51/1999 Government regulation No.51/1999 On the implementation of statistical On the implementation of statistical operation operation Other Ministerial Decrees Other Ministerial Decrees Issued by other Ministries to support the Issued by other Ministries to support the 2010 Census activities 2010 Census activities 5

The 2010 Population Census was designed to be used as the basis for 1.Updating the population data bases down to the lowest administrative level (village); 2.Monitoring progress in achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDG); 3.Preparing small-area statistics; 4.Preparing population projections; and 5.Developing sampling frames for various surveys conducted between

The 2010 Population Census Questionnaires Three kinds of questionnaires were used to enumerate the population in the 2010 PC: C1 – 42 questions, used for people living in households in areas covered by the census mapping; C1 – 42 questions, used for people living in households in areas covered by the census mapping; C2 – 14 questions, used for people living in areas which were not included in the mapping, such as remote/ isolated areas, Indonesian diplomats living abroad, etc.; and C2 – 14 questions, used for people living in areas which were not included in the mapping, such as remote/ isolated areas, Indonesian diplomats living abroad, etc.; and L2 – 2 questions (number and sex), used for the homeless, people living on boats, crews of Indonesian ships, and isolated tribal population. L2 – 2 questions (number and sex), used for the homeless, people living on boats, crews of Indonesian ships, and isolated tribal population. 7

Items Collected in the Census Using Form C1 Basic demographic characteristics: sex, age, relationship to head of household, marital status; Fertility: number of children ever born and still living; Mortality: including child, adult and maternal mortality; Migration (district level): place of birth, current residence, place of residence 5 years ago; Education: school attendance, educational attainment, literacy; 8

Items Collected in the Census Using Form C1 Socio-cultural: religion, ethnic group, citizenship, ability to speak Indonesian, daily language used at home; Disability (ICF recommendation); Economic activity during previous week: main industry, employment status; Housing: housing ownership, floor area and type, sources of drinking water, fuel for cooking, lighting, toilet facilities; and Usage of ICT. 9

Data Collection Approach Face-to-face interviews Face-to-face interviews Self enumeration Self enumeration Using paper questionnaires Using paper questionnaires E-census E-census 10

Field Organization in Each Sub-district for the 2010 PC Sub-district Coordinator Interviewer-3 Interviewer-2 Interviewer-1 Field Coordinators Team Coordinators 11

1 Number of Field Workes Employed 392,655 Enumerators 130,885 Team Coordinators. 15,773 Field Coordinators. 1,600 Quality Assurance workers (Students of the Statistical Institute) Field workers 2 Number of Training Classes Number of Training Classes Organized Organized 6 classes for Master Trainers 6 classes for Master Trainers 665 classes for Regional Trainers 665 classes for Regional Trainers 21,597 classes for Enumerators/Team Coordinators. 21,597 classes for Enumerators/Team Coordinators. 64 classes for Quality Assurance Workers 64 classes for Quality Assurance Workers Training The 2010 PC was a “massive” Field operations 12

Monitoring and Quick Count Reporting All mobile phone numbers of Field Coordinators, Sub-district Coordinators, and District Coordinators must be recorded.All mobile phone numbers of Field Coordinators, Sub-district Coordinators, and District Coordinators must be recorded. After completing the listing of each CB, Field Coordinators sent messages (sms/text) through mobile phones to the BPS server.After completing the listing of each CB, Field Coordinators sent messages (sms/text) through mobile phones to the BPS server. Message: ID of CB, No. of HHs, Males, Females, TotalMessage: ID of CB, No. of HHs, Males, Females, Total BPS disseminated all information on WebsiteBPS disseminated all information on Website Comparisons made between no. of HH in the mapping and census listingComparisons made between no. of HH in the mapping and census listing District coordinators sent all completed listings through from BPS District Offices everydayDistrict coordinators sent all completed listings through from BPS District Offices everyday 13

Data Processing Decentralized data capture in 33 Provincial Data Processing Centres (DPC), 51 ICR Scanners, 37 Guillotines, 34 ervers, and 51 ICR Scanners, 37 Guillotines, 34 ervers, and 2100 PCs were used 2100 PCs were used Data capture software used: Kofax Data capture software used: Kofax 5 variables cleaned in Provincial DPCs 5 variables cleaned in Provincial DPCs Centralized data editing, validation and imputation in BPS central office for all other variables, using CSPro and in-house prepared programs. 14

15 Planned Activities in 2011 Data cleaning: January–July 2011 Data cleaning: January–July 2011 Dissemination of the final results: Mid-August 2011 Dissemination of the final results: Mid-August 2011 Data analysis and publication: Data analysis and publication: Jan – Dec 2011 Jan – Dec 2011 Population Projections for Population Projections for

The 2010 PC will be able to provide, at the village level, the number of: Disabled persons, School-age children who are not currently attending school; Illiterate population; Unemployed labor force; Deaths in the last 1.5 years; and Households living in low-quality dwelling. Use of Census for Program Targeting 16

A combination of the 2010 PC data and the consumption/expenditure data from the National Socio-Economic Survey (Susenas) can be used to produce a reliable Poverty Map.. Use of Census for Program Targeting 17

Development Program Targets include: Poverty alleviation Food security Educational assistance Healthcare subsidies Conditional cash assistance Nutritional intervention Use of Census for Program Targeting 18

To provide data for development policy, planning and programs down to the lower administrative levels.To provide data for development policy, planning and programs down to the lower administrative levels. To estimate basic demographic parameters.To estimate basic demographic parameters. To update population projections and sampling frame(s) for the coming surveys.To update population projections and sampling frame(s) for the coming surveys. To provide framework for population-based targeting of both sectoral and regional development programs.To provide framework for population-based targeting of both sectoral and regional development programs. To evaluate the achievement of MDGs at both regional (down to district level) and national levels.To evaluate the achievement of MDGs at both regional (down to district level) and national levels. Major Utilizations of the Census Data 19

Population of Indonesia based on the Census, May 2010 (preliminary figures) Male(000)Female(000) Male + Female (000) 119, , , , , ,556 20

Population Trend

Trend of Population Growth (% per year) *) Population Growth included East Timor Population in 1990, Population Growth Without East Timor Population in 1990 = 1,45%

Trend of Sex Ratio 23

Trend of Population Distribution by Island Population concentrated in Java Island 24

Distribution of Population Based on Residence Segment M(000)F(000)M+F(000) Permanent Residents in Regular Census Blocks Regular Census Blocks119,020117,776236,796 Institutional Census Blocks* Institutional Census Blocks* Residents Outside Census Blocks Homeless Homeless13619 Boat People Boat People17017 Tribal population Tribal population5510 Total Indonesia 119,508118,048237,556 * Dormitories, Military Barracks, Diplomats, Religious Student Dormitories, Orphanages, Employee Barracks, Prisons, Mental Hospitals, etc. 25

Population, Sex Ratio and Growth Rate by Province (Preliminary results) CodeProvince M (million) F (million) M+F (million) Sex Ratio GR (%) NAD SUMUT SUMBAR RIAU JAMBI SUMSEL BENGKULU LAMPUNG KEP. BABEL KEPRI

Population, Sex Ratio and Growth Rate by Province (Preliminary results) 27 CodeProvince M (million) F (million) M+F (million) Sex Ratio GR (%) DKI JAKARTA JABAR JATENG YOGYAKARTA JAWA TIMUR BANTEN BALI NTB NTT KALBAR KALTENG KALSEL KALTIM

Population, Sex Ratio and Growth Rate by Province (Preliminary results) 28 CodeProvince M (million) F (million) M+F (million) Sex Ratio GR (%) SULUT SULTENG SULSEL SULTRA GORONTALO SULBAR MALUKU MALUT PAPUA BARAT PAPUA INDONESIA

Grand Design Analysis Objectives: To develop a well thought-out plan for the analysis, dissemination and publication of the census results. To guide and monitor the analysis process To avoid over-designing what is by nature an open and flexible process. To ensure the timely release of data needed by all stakeholders. 29

Grand Design Analysis Actions taken by BPS: Organized a group of population experts to advise on the various components of plans of processing, analysis, dissemination and data utilization of the 2010 PC Held workshops to brief stakeholders on the importance of the census in order to assist in the creation of positive public attitudes across the country. 30

Grand Design Analysis Actions taken by BPS : Convened small groups of specialists to consider the likely problems and issues surrounding the analysis of the questions on ethnicity, language spoken at home, and work in economic sectors. Accepted advice from the group on valid ways of grouping the answers for both language and ethnicity and using summary codes to make analysis more feasible. 31

Grand Design Analysis Identification of Key Professional Organizations : The Statistical Community Forum (Forum Masyarakat Statistik -- FMS)* (they could be invited to participate in public discussions, parliamentary reviews and professional critiques of the data during the course of dissemination in the future); Indonesian Institute of Sciences; * FMS’s memberships includes many high level policy makers, academicians, researchers, entrepreneurs and government officials. 32

Grand Design Analysis Identification of Key Professional Organizations : The Indonesian Association of Demographic Specialists (IPADI): The network of Population Studies Centres (Pusat Studi Kependudukan) based in universities in almost every province (a source of trained researchers); and Government agencies (may require various reports and analyses relevant to their areas of responsibility). 33

Grand Design Analysis Priority actions to be taken: The documentation of all the forms, manuals, procedures and questionnaires used in the census to collect the data; The publication of these documents on BPS- website that can be easily accessed by researchers; The encouragement of core groups of research advisers to take an active interest in the analysis; The assignment of small groups of experts to consider and finalize the methods for calculating key indices at the household and individual levels. 34

Dissemination Plan for 2010 Population Census Product Date of release (approximate) Type Levels of coverage Indonesian Population Preliminary Figures August 2010Booklet National and Provincial Indonesian Population Preliminary Figures October 2010BookNational to District Indonesian Population Preliminary Figures November 2010Book and softcopy National to Sub-district Indonesian Population Final Figure March 2011 Book and softcopy National to Sub-district Leaflet Population of Indonesia June 2011LeafletNational CensusTABJune 2011Excel filesNational to District ProfilePOPJune 2011WebpagesNational to District GeoMAPJune 2011WebsiteNational to District 35

Dissemination Plan for 2010 Population Census 36 Product Date of release (approximate) Type Levels of coverage Indonesian Population Profile June 2010Book and softcopy National to Provincial Aspects of Indonesian Population June 2011Book and softcopy National Population MapsDecember 2011BookNational and Provincial Census e-bookJune 2012Excel filesNational to district Leaflet Population of Indonesia December 2012LeafletNational Population MetadataDecember 2011Book and softcopy Population DictionaryDecember 2011Book and softcopy International SeminarJune 2012Book and CD – edited papers

2010 PC Logo and Motto BE SURE YOU ARE COUNTED 37