Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, 21-23 November European Climate Data and Information Products for Monitoring and.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring

Advertisements

Katja Woth & Hans von Storch

European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010.

WP3 User oriented information and climate change products.

European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010.

EEA Report – The Alps Water-tower of Europe Vital ecosystem services

European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring MACC Conference, Utrecht, May 2011 GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic ??? Global Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EU-project, April 2010 – March 2014, 9.

FP7-SPACE: Albert Klein Tank, KNMI EURO4M European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring.

WP3: User-oriented information and climate change products.

EEA activities on climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation

European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations.

Rijksinstituut voor Integraal Zoetwaterbeheer en Afvalwaterbehandeling (RIZA) 1 Prospective analysis & IEA for the water environment lessons learned in.

Climate vulnerability & adaptation in the Dutch delta

ESPON CLIMATE - Climate Change and Territorial Effects on Regions and Local Economies Stefan Greiving (TU Dortmund) ESPON Climate.

WRMA-WMO-World Bank-WFP Expert Meeting, Geneva, Dec KNMI servicing the market

Exploratory methods to analyse output from complex environmental models Exploratory methods to analyse output from complex environmental models Adam Butler,

IGES Executive Roundtable on Climate April 25, 2012.

Introduction to global climate change and impacts in Ukraine National Ecological Centre of Ukraine Iryna.

© UKCIP 2006 UKCIP08 What to expect from the next set of climate change scenarios Richard Lamb UK Climate Impacts Programme.

Collocation meeting, REA, Brussels, 15 May 2013 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring.

Climate change scenarios: global and local

Research and Innovation Research and Innovation Update on DG RTD activities Climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation Eleni Manoli DG Research.

Climate change impacts and water in Western Balkan Blaz Kurnik EEA + colleagues from ETC.

1 McGill University Department of Civil Engineering and Applied Mechanics Montreal, Quebec, Canada.

Prioritized New Research Initiative on Climate Change in Japan - under a new phase of the Science and Technology Basic Plan – Hiroki Kondo Special Advisor.

Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) started in 1999 jointly sponsored by CCl, CLIVAR and JCOMM.

EURANDOM & KNMI, May 2009 Analysis of extremes in a changing climate in support of informed decisions for adaptation

Master Narratives & Global Climate Change Charlie Vars Dave Bella Court Smith IPCC January 29, 2013.

The use of CHALLENGE data in climate change detection claims Albert Klein Tank, KNMI Source: CRU/MetOffice, 2004.

WFM 6311: Climate Risk Management © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam WFM 6311: Climate Change Risk Management Akm Saiful Islam Syllabus December,

What data do we require for extremes analysis and what is available? (an intro to the BOG on data) Albert Klein Tank KNMI, The Netherlands Warning: no.

Climate Change Research Initiatives in EU Member States Side event: Research in response to the IPCC TAR 21 June, 2004, Bonn SB20 Dr. Frank McGovern, Ireland.

COP-10 In-Session Workshop, Buenos Aires, December 8, Application of Regional Models: High-Resolution Climate Change Scenarios for India Using PRECIS.

European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring.

How climate proof is the Dutch water management? Survey for ‘adaptation tipping’ points in water management and policy Jaap Kwadijk, Deltares Ad Jeuken,

Atmospheric Research Climate Hazards & Risk Assessment Roger N. Jones AIACC Kickoff Meeting Nairobi February

Physical science findings relevant to climate change adaptation Richard Jones, Met Office Science Fellow/Visiting Professor, School of Geography and Environment.

Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change: An Assessment WMO Expert Team on Climate Change Impacts on Tropical Cyclones February 2010 World Weather Research.

ENSEMBLES General Assembly Santander, Spain, 23 October 2008 RT5: Evaluation Objective:comprehensive and independent evaluation of the performance of the.

European Commission’s Green Paper COM(2007)354 adopted on 29 June 2007 Adapting to climate change in Europe – options for EU action - Rosário Bento Pais.

Assessment of the impacts of and adaptations to climate change in the plantation sector, with particular reference to coconut and tea, in Sri Lanka. AS-12.

Adaptation Baselines Through V&A Assessments Prof. Helmy Eid Climate Change Experts (SWERI) ARC Egypt Material for : Montreal Workshop 2001.

Copernicus Institute Universiteit Utrecht Taking uncertainty on board in decision making The example of adaptation to climate change.

Infrastructure Planning Presentations Summary Determine climate and weather extremes that are crucial in resource management and policy making Intense.

Dr. A.K.M. Saiful Islam Dr. Sujit Kumar Bala Associate Professor, IWFM Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology Staff Training program on Water.

Hurricanes and Climate Change: Implications for New England Amanda Staudt, Ph.D. National Wildlife Federation July 11, 2008 Northeast Hurricane Mitigation.

Page 1 Strategies for describing change in storminess – using proxies and dynamical downscaling. Hans von Storch Institute for Coastal Research, GKSS Research.

Science Advisory Board Public Session 1 1 Peter Schultz, Ph.D. Associate Director for Science Integration Climate Change Science Program Office CCSP Update.

KNMI contribution to and SPECS Jules Beersma. Euporias kick-off, Barcelona, 6-8 November Jules BeersmaWP 2.1 Albert Klein Tank WP 2.2 & 4.2 Gé VerverWP.

December 2002 Section 8 Adaptation. Addressing Climate Change: Mitigation and Adaptation Climate Change including variability Impacts autonomous adaptation.

European Climate Assessment & possible role of the CHR ‘Workshop and Expert Meeting on Climatic Changes and their Effect on Hydrology and Water Management.

Climate Futures for Tasmania: Prospects, Impacts and Information for Adaption Options Nathan Bindoff et al. ACE CRC, DPIW, Hydro Tasmania,SES,BoM, GA,

E C A C 2000 European Climate Assessment Pisa, 16 October 2000 Albert Klein Tank KNMI, the Netherlands X.

Responding to Climate Change: Constraints and Adaptive Capacity Alan Foreman ESP Seminar

Climate Trends Along the St. John River Water, Lands & Communities: Adapting to Climate Change along the St. John River November 30, 2015 Jeff Hoyt NB.

Climate Action The EU Strategy on Adaptation to Climate Change Presented by George Paunescu (Climate Action DG, Adaptation Unit) At the Workshop "Adapting.

3.3 Theory of Climate Change 3.4 Observations

Getting Prepared: Policy Implications for Transportation Planning

An Introduction to the Climate Change Explorer Tool: Locally Downscaled GCM Data for Thailand and Vietnam Greater Mekong Sub-region – Core Environment.

Expert Meeting Methods for assessing current and future coastal vulnerability to climate change 27 – 28 October 2010 Draft conclusions.

Professor A.K.M. Saiful Islam

APPROACHES, METHODS AND TOOLS FOR CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT, VULNERABILITY

What is the optimal number in an ensemble?

Implications of climate change

BLAST Bringing Land and Sea Together

Discussion topics (examples):

European Climate Assessment Copenhagen, 22 November 2001

Main recommendations & conclusions (1)

European Climate Assessment Copenhagen, 22 November 2001

Presentation transcript:

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November European Climate Data and Information Products for Monitoring and Assessment Needs Albert Klein Tank, KNMI, Netherlands

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Port of Rotterdam

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Port of Rotterdam

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Port of Rotterdam

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Port of Rotterdam

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November North Sea Storm surge Sea level rise Port of Rotterdam

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November River Rhine Floods North Sea Storm surge Sea level rise Port of Rotterdam

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November February 1953

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Storm surge barrier Maeslant (1997) Nowadays, the design criteria of Dutch Delta works are based on: historical observations (return periods of extremes and trends) projections of future climate Port of Rotterdam

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Projections of future climate at regional scale Ensemble of model projections available (GCMs + RCMs)

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Top-down approach emission climate sensitivity / global warming regional climate change range of impacts Schneider, 1983; Henderson-Sellers, 1993; Wilby and Dessai, 2010 Projections of future climate at regional scale

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Top-down approach Bottom-up approach emission climate sensitivity / global warming regional climate change range of impacts vulnerability now observed climate var. & change non-climatic pressures adaptation options climate change narratives future vulnerability robust measures socio-econ. scenarios monitoring Schneider, 1983; Henderson-Sellers, 1993; Wilby and Dessai, 2010 Projections of future climate at regional scale

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Regional information is more scattered; many different sources: Historical observations

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Regional information is more scattered; many different sources: 1)in-situ observations 2)satellite climate data records 3)(regional) reanalyses of past weather Historical observations

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Regional information is more scattered; many different sources: 1)in-situ observations long-term records (50-100yr) but sparse 2)satellite climate data records spatially extensive but short (<30yr) 3)(regional) reanalyses of past weather complete but expensive and some bias Historical observations

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November In-situ observations of precipitation extremes Source: ECA&D Increase in precipitation fraction due to heavy events is seen in other regions too (IPCC-AR4)

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Reduction is in qualitative agreement with model projections for the 21 st Century e.g. Kharin et al. J.Climate, 2007 Van den Besselaar et al., Int.J.Climatol., submitted In-situ observations of precipitation extremes 5-day extremes Northern Europe winter (DJF)

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Satellite climate data records

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Decadal variability in solar energy potential Subsequent periods of brightening, dimming, and brightening illustrated here with sunshine duration data from stations (Sanchez-Lorenzo, 2008)

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Decadal variability in solar energy potential Subsequent periods of brightening, dimming, and brightening illustrated here with sunshine duration data from stations (Sanchez-Lorenzo, 2008)

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Reanalyses of past weather

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November The 1894 storm in NW Europe Reanalyses of past weather included in the 20th Century Reanalysis by Compo et al., Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2011

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November L L Compo et al., Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2011

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Climate Indicator Bulletins (CIBs) blend of data from stations, satellites and reanalyses user-oriented focus on trends and variability in impact relevant indicators of climate extremes Towards more integrated products for Europe

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November ERA-Interim ECMWF MSU UAH Courtesy: John Christy (top), Adrian Simmons (bottom) In-situ NOAA Moscow heat wave, July 2010

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November 31 days with T-max > 25°C against 9.5 days in a normal July Source: ECA&D Moscow heat wave, July nights with T-min > 20°C against 0.5 night in a normal July

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Interaction between providers and stakeholders helps specify the needs in more detail Important to discuss and communicate the uncertainties (due to emissions, model limitations, internal variability, observational gaps/changes and errors) Lesson learned: guidance information is crucial Final remarks: user interaction

Regional Climate Services Workshop 2011 University of Victoria, Canada, November Thank you