Economic Outlook: Here We Grow Again? Matt Croucher PhD Chief Economist Arizona Public Service Co.

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Economic Outlook: Here We Grow Again? Matt Croucher PhD Chief Economist Arizona Public Service Co.

US GDP: Where We Currently Stand

Time For “THAT” Discussion

Which Sparky?

US GDP: The “New Normal”………?

US Long-Term Unemployed: Structural Problems?

US Labor Force Participation Rates by Age: Dispelling a Myth 25 – 49 year olds have rates above 80 percent – have stayed relatively flat

Interest Rates Lowering the Cost of New Investment

Case-Shiller Home Price Index: Metro Phoenix

Cumulative Supply of Excess Housing APS Territory, Metro Phoenix

Nonresidential Building Vacancy: Metro Phoenix

Arizona Total Nonfarm Jobs: The Climb has begun Seasonally Adjusted

Arizona: Looking at the Sectors

Conclusion We are seeing signs of (sustained) traction/rebound in the Arizona Economy Need to remember that the long-term fundamentals are still in place My real GDP forecast? D: One of the above

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