Is Continuity the Only Remedy?
Preamble Cadbury Perk – impulse purchase One creative execution on TV for the year Financial resources to purchase 2400 GRPs
The Scheduling Dilemma Continuity? Flighting? Pulsing? Blitz?
A Stereotype Across Decades Continuity 1960 Continuity Continuity
This got us..
Effect of Wearout On Scheduling
Our Model Dimensionalizes Copy Wearout 1.Repetition 2.Imitation & Obsolescence 3.Restoration
Excessive Media Frequency..
…. Repetition Wearout of Copy Quality
Obsolescence + Imitation
.. Leads to Copy Quality Decline
..However, Going off-air
…Restores the Copy Quality!
Having this Theory of Wearout… We built a model to assess impact on salience Inputs into model –Weekly tracking data on ad and brand salience –Weekly reach numbers in %
Model Structure
Model Technique A dynamical model Involves solving a system of differential Eqs Kalman Filter Optimization
And, Our Investigation…
Led to Some Interesting Results! Over 50 Simulations Explored S. NoOptionJ Score 1Continuous week on 1 week off2451 3Flighting – 6 weeks on 6 weeks off2500 4Blitz – Expend all GRPs in 6 weeks2050
Flighting % more Effective vs. Continuity Options
Why Was It So? Our Hypotheses on- –Repetition –Obsolescence –Restoration Were proven TRUE Our Model says in English- –A lot of money Spent making the copy –Scheduling determines its preservation & Efficacy
..Leading to Recommendation of Flighting as a strategy Continuity was detrimental to awareness!! A 20% more Effective annual schedule built –And not just on basis of media efficiencies
Statistically Sound Model..
Transparent & Open Model
What Makes this Work Stand – Out?
1. Advertising Copy Treated as an Asset
2. Tangible 20% potential improvement shown on brand salience
3. Qualitative & Quantitative Model
4. Resonates with Decision Maker’s Mental Model