Simon Maxwell 8 July 2015

1.Is development happening? 2.Getting to zero: the challenge of the SDGs 3.New development frontiers 4.Is Europe the right answer?

1.Is development happening?

‘The global mobilization behind the Millennium Development Goals has produced the most successful anti-poverty movement in history’ – Ban Ki Moon

2. Getting to zero: the challenge of the SDGs

‘I am keenly aware that inequalities persist and that progress has been uneven.’ – Ban Ki Moon

SDG Zero Draft

17 goals 169 targets > 300 indicators

SDG Negotiation texts Addis Ababa zero draft OWG Report SG Report UNFCCC negotiating text WTO Ministerial Sendai outcome document Humanitarian Summit

On the other hand Great that the new agenda is universal And that it links environment and development The key task is to get to a deal: Need the right offer Timing is key: conditional offers ‘Network closure’ (think-tanks and NGOs) And then get it done!

3. New development frontiers

There is a growing concentration of absolute poverty in fragile states – and they need more than money 14 Source: Greenhill et al (2015)

The development agenda is changing Well-being IncomeHealthEducationInclusionParticipation Favourable national policy environment Favourable international policy environment Public expenditure Regulatory environment ABCEFGHIJKLM GPGs or ‘things we need to fix’

Things we need to fix globally Climate change Trade rules Energy security Health pandemics Knowledge Conflict Financial stability Food security Fisheries Migration Inclusive globalisation Natural resource nexus Tax Corruption

Implications for the future of development cooperation 21 Less?More? PovertyGlobal public goods Stable low-income countriesFragile states Official Development AssistanceBeyond aid Separate aid fundsIntegration of relief and development Single ministriesWhole of Government BilateralMultilateral Government-to-GovernmentPPPs and civil society partnerships

4. Is Europe the right answer?

Climate Development Humanitarian Trade External affairsMigration

6 criteria for setting EU security strategy priorities 1.The issue is important; 2.The HR/VP has a licence to operate from the Member States; 3.The Member States are aligned or alignable on the issue; 4.The Commission/EEAS have or can acquire the resources, instruments and capabilities to act; 5.There is reasonable likelihood of success; and 6.There is external demand.