To and Through Code Pilot Preliminary Design Overview Jane Kruse Manager, Commercial EE Programs April 28, 2015.

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Presentation transcript:

To and Through Code Pilot Preliminary Design Overview Jane Kruse Manager, Commercial EE Programs April 28, 2015

2 About PG&E Regulatory Context D directed IOUs to stand up “to-code” pilots to: “Understand the extent to which there is below-code equipment that is not getting replaced quick enough through natural turnover of existing programs” “Assess whether cost-effective ratepayer-funded programs can be developed to target this equipment when PAs receive savings credit and customer incentives are made available based on to-code, in addition to through-code savings ” Up to $1 million incentives to cover “to code” savings Control and treatment groups within similar customer cohorts Target duration: 1 year

3 About PG&E To and Through Code Pilot Hypothesis: “Projects that use existing conditions to estimate energy savings and calculate incentives generate greater uptake and energy savings than those projects where measurement of savings and incentives are limited to above code and/or industry standard practice.”

4 Pilot Design Targeted Duration Q – Q Market Sector Small to medium-sized commercial facilities with a year of usage history (e.g., grocery, office buildings, retail) Geography Multiple zip codes to facilitate “clean” control group Technologies/Measure Mix Limited measure mix (lighting, HVAC and/or refrigeration) Implementation & Outreach Approach Leverage existing program implementer and installer relationships Use same sales approach for both Control and Treatment Groups Coordinate with PG&E’s account reps to control for sales bias

5 Pilot Design, continued Proposed Savings Calculations Leverage site-specific engineering calculations to estimate savings and incentive up front Use billing analysis on back end to verify savings estimates Proposed Engineering Reviews Require robust pre-installation data collection agreed upon by stakeholders Dedicated Implementer and PG&E reviewer for post-installation quality assurance on all projects

6 Experiment Framework EM&V Approach Randomized controlled trial using billing analysis Working with E2E at Haas to support development of evaluation and implementation plan to assess: What is the impact of “to-code” incentives on program uptake? What is impact of varying incentive levels on program uptake? Treatment 1Treatment 2Control IncentiveBased on savings from existing condition to installed Based on savings from code to installed Incentive RateLevel ALevel BLevel A

7 Next Steps Description Estimated Date Baseline Workshop April 2015 Pilot Stakeholder Webinar May 2015 File Pilot Advice Letter May/June 2015 To-Code Pilot Launch June/July 2015