UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS 1 USGS Circum-Arctic Resource Assessment.

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Presentation transcript:

UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS 1 USGS Circum-Arctic Resource Assessment

UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS 2 Highly complex interplay of physical, chemical, biological and social processes. Peeling Back the Onion – Understanding the Arctic System

UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS 3 Dramatic Change in Sea Ice Extent Rapid ecosystem change Increased access to energy, hard minerals and fishery resources Increased shipping, tourism, and community access National Snow and Ice Data Center

UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS 4 Circum-Arctic Non-Petroleum Resources Lawson Brigham AMSA 12 August 2008

UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS 5 Diverse Sources of Spill Risk Needs Diverse Response Capacity Crowley Marine Anchorage Daily News, 21 Sept 2011/14 Nov 2012 Tugboat runs aground on Alaska Peninsula, stranding crew and barge. ADN : November 14, 2012

UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS 6 Ice-Ocean Modeling of the Bering Sea  10-km grid  30-year hindcast for model evaluation  50-year climate scenario forecast for Bering Sea fisheries  Captures ice variations and currents Ice Extent Observed Modeled Supported by: BOEMRE E. Curchitser (Rutgers), K. Hedstrom, T. Weingartner, S. Danielson (UAF) 6

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