Lietuvos hidrometeorologijos tarnyba prie Aplinkos ministerijos Applying the knowledge acquired within WMO fellowship at ZAMG (Austria) and DWD (Germany) Izolda Marcinonienė¹, Judita Liukaitytė² Lithuanian Hydrometeorological Service ¹

Outline Introduction Motivation 3 months at ZAMG (Vienna) 6 months at DWD (Freiburg) Outcomes Lithuania - a member of SatRep Programme Start and development of Heat-Health Warning System at LHMS Advantages and recommendations Future works

Motivation Why? Where? When? The recent experience (NOMEK, EUMETSAT and ECMWF workshops, Eumetcal blended courses, EumeTrain minicourses, Nordic Council of Ministers fellowship for 2 weeks at SMHI and NMI) Encouragement (Director, colleagues, family…) If not ME, then WHO?

WHY?

Distribution of severe weather phenomena

Frequency of severe weather phenomena

WHY SATREP? Lack of knowledge Actual and useful everyday information Easy and quick to exercise The only easy way to get fresh scientific interpretation of the actual weather Determination of conceptual models Keep pace with European NMHSs

WHY BIOMETEOROLOGY? Useful and contemporary information to common people Lack of knowledge Improve and reform biometeorological forecasting in Lithuania Keep pace with European NMHSs Work on PhD Thesis

WHY ZAMG? One of the main institutions for severe weather case studies and analysis in Europe Good impression about work done by collegues and teachers from ZAMG (according to workshops, courses, SatRepOnline) Clear and useful scientific material published by Austrian meteorologists

Start (pre-work) Director’s proposal and encouragement Application Waiting for WMO decision Correspondence with representatives of ZAMG and DWD Final decision

Fellowship at ZAMG Plans: Selfstudies and making international SatRep SatRep workshop in Zagreb Severe weather case studies in Lithuania and Austria SatRep weather briefing and short presentation online Introduction to the structure and work of the Institute

Workshop in Zagreb “How to make SatRep?”

5-8 July 2007: extremely rainy period in Lithuania

WV+PV (1) 12/06/07/ 2007

Cyclone track, July, 2007

Final results 4 dangerous meteorologic events in Lithuania and Austria have been studied and 1 published on EumeTrain website Workshop and oral presentation in Zagreb EUMETNET SatRep Board Meeting in Vienna Daily duty on making international SatRepOnline Self-confidence Encouragement to colleagues for a new challenge

The most imposing view in Vienna, November 2008

Activities & tasks carried out: Experience and background in biometeorological forecasting in order to produce thermal stress, pollen, weather classes, UV and heat forecasts; Intercomparison of operational Heat-health Warning Systems; Analysis of UV data; Rewiev of impacts of different weather types on health; Presentation at Freiburg University on Weather Forecasting; Selfstudies. Fellowship at DWD

HHWSs in Europe, countries with HHWSs could be identified; most systems implemented since 2003; different methods (heat wave definitions); sometimes regional specific thresholds; not all countries have heat wave responseplans; lead times: days

HHWSs in Europe, June 2009 Taxonomy of operational HHWS in Europe (status: 2009). Tmax: maximum temperature; Tmean: mean temperature; Tmin: minimum temperature; AT: apparent temperature; T: Temperature; RH: relative humidity; PT: perceived temperature. ?: not known. 30 countries with HHWSs could be identified; different methods (heat wave definitions); sometimes regional specific thresholds; not all countries have heat plans; lead times: days

Solved problems with UV data UV amount is growing OzoneUVI with cloud UVI cloud free measured mean 325,75,4 forecasted mean: 321,53,55 bias+4,2-1,9-0,4 City Kaunas time series: measurements:177 UVI forecast with clouds: Measured > forecasted 93% UV doses are growing UVI forecast was wrong

Solved problems with UV data Kaunas and Munich: the same data but it can not be true!

Participation in scientific events Training School at UTCI in Warsaw, April 2009; Presentation on “Heat-health warning systems in Europe” in Third Biannual Workshop on Climate and Health held in Boulder, USA, July, 2009; Planning meeting on Heat-health warning systems, Shanghai, China, July, Unique event – she saw the Solar Eclipse in Shanghai When day becomes night

Outcomes Lithuania - a member of SATREP programme More qualified analysis of severe weather phenomena Case study poster presentation at ECSS2009 in Landshut Biometeorology group at LHMS Start and development of Heat-health Warning System at LHMS Closer international cooperation between LHMS and foreign NMHSs or Institutes

5th European Conference on Severe Storms, Landshut, October, 2009.

Very strong convection at the Baltic coast of Lithuania on 25 November 2008 Monthly precipitation distribution in Nida, November, 2008; abscissa-days, ordinate-amount of precipitation (mm) IR, PVA on 500 hPa, AT1000 hPa and AT500 hPa, 00 UTC, 25 Nov.

Advantages, notes, recommendations The main value of the fellowship Gain knowledge and make contact with highly-qualified specialists Wider view on conceptual models and biometeorology New ideas to improve forecaster’s work and make it up-to-date New advantageous challenges to LHMS The first and interesting experience provided for ZAMG Notes Useful requirement - to write a report about work done Easy and flexible way to set the date and place with WMO representatives Scope of the fellowship chosen very well Too long response by s from WMO It was not easy to find an institute for fellowship in biometeorology Recommendations Too much paperwork and information to fill in application form Better to buy flight tickets by fellow and then reimburse the money Support for short studies of local languages - big help to familiarize with national culture and people

Future works Regional SatRepOnline SatRep workshop in Vilnius Participation in WMO project at EXPO2010 Origination of biometeorological forecasts at LHMS Integration into European Heat-health Warning System New application for WMO fellowship in Radar Meteorology

Thank You!