Equipment Capability Customer RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME The role of OA in experimentation? Dave Ferbrache Director Analysis, Experimentation & Simulation

Equipment Capability Customer: RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME Mission “Better decisions in an uncertain world” To promote the use of objective evidence based decision making and the development of methods and best practice.

Equipment Capability Customer: RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME War Fighting Experimentation Test & Evaluation Analysis Concept Development Experimentation Process Synthetic Environments Reference Facilities & Ranges Abstract Models Constructive Simulations Infrastructure Virtual Live Explore Validate Analysis & Experimentation

Equipment Capability Customer: RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME Field Experiments Demonstrations Approval/ endorsement Agreement Workshops, Wargames, Modelling and Simulation Solution Development Options Human in the Loop Experiments in Virtual Environments Issue Under investigation Problem Concept Development & Experimentation

Developed and Refined Military Capability Demonstrat e Concept to Capability Refine Hypothesis Maturit y Preliminary Hypothesis Discovery/Experiment Concept US DOD CCRP

Equipment Capability Customer: RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME CADMID Cycle Initial Gate Main Gate ISD CONCEPT ASSESSMENTDEMO MANU FACTURE IN SERVICE DISPOSAL DOCTRINE EQUIPMENT ORGANISATION` PERSONNEL SUSTAINABILITY TRAINING CONEMP CONUSE TT&P URD SRD TLMPO-TLMP TNA

Equipment Capability Customer: RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME Experimental Space Immature Mature Maturity of Knowledge Demonstration Refined Hypothesis Preliminary Hypothesis Discovery Complexity Simple Complex Low High Brainstorming Expert Elicitation Wargaming Models & Sims Live Exercises Real World Lessons Fidelity US DOD CCRP

Equipment Capability Customer: RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME Network Centric Capability?Network Enabled Capability! Sensors Network Effectors Tempo Shared Understanding

Equipment Capability Customer: RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME Network Enabled Capability Goal: To radically enhance our operational capability by improving the way we share information and how we use it Key Objective: To provide a coherent conceptual and technical framework to link sensors, decision- makers and effectors

Equipment Capability Customer: RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME Physical Domain Sensor Netting Synchronised Actions Cognitive Domain Shared Awareness Co-ordinated Goals Information Domain Sense Synchronise Effects Understand Sense Develop Intent Synchronise Effects Information Understand Develop Intent NEC Experimentation

Equipment Capability Customer: RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME Is there a difference? Breadth Depth Fidelity Immersion Rapidity Cost

Equipment Capability Customer: RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME Is there really a difference? Communities OA, SE, WFE, T&E, HF Science, Military, Administrative Personalities Objective, Subjective, Judgemental, Analytic Control Assumptions, Models, Processes, Resources, Outcomes

Equipment Capability Customer: RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME The trick… Selling the benefits of evidence based decision making Bringing the communities together Linking the data, assumptions, models and techniques

Equipment Capability Customer: RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME In short… Experimentation is an OA technique… OA supports experimentation… Recursion… see recursion…