Prof. Dr. Heinrich Mäding Berlin Demographic Challenges for European Cities EU-Initiative Cities of Tomorrow Workshop on Urban Challenges Brussels, June 2010

1. Population size (growth/shrinkage) global – national – local fertility – mortality/life expectancy immigration – emigration. 2. Population structures Ageing Increasing heterogeneity Family types/household structures Demographic Trends in Cities Prof. Dr. Heinrich Mäding

1. complex : diverse and interlinked 2. some slowly changing (sure) – some rapidly changing (insure) 3. challenge or chance? Characteristic Features of Demographic Trends Prof. Dr. Heinrich Mäding

The City as… …economic and social area …built-up and green living space …political communitiy Three Concepts of City Prof. Dr. Heinrich Mäding

…economic and social area …built-up and green living space …political community shrinkagedecline in demand, supply and attractiveness vacant buildings, rising costs, longer distances decline in revenues, political fiasco ageingreduced innovation, public service provision adaptation to the needs of seniors new priorities, decline in political participation increasing heterogeneity disparities, desintegration segregationpolitical exclusion, polarisation Demographic Changes as Challenges The city as… Prof. Dr. Heinrich Mäding

1. Embedded into other challenges 2. Linked to all aspects of sustainability, all branches of administration 3. Ambiguous consequences 4. Role of city size, regional economic performance etc. 5. Differing political relevance Characteristic Features of Demographic Challenges Prof. Dr. Heinrich Mäding

1. Bad messages 2. Low impact 3. Low suitability for party politics 4. Inconsistent periods 5. Political rationality 6. Lack of administrative initiative The Role of Demographic Challenges in Political Decision-Making Prof. Dr. Heinrich Mäding

1. Adequate framing from higher political levels 2. Courage for modest solutions 3. Better knowledge within administration 4. Integrated planning 5. Re-organisation 6. Communication and Co-operation Recommendations Prof. Dr. Heinrich Mäding

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