Marine Core Service MY OCEAN WP 18 URD Synthesis - Climate and Weather Forecasting

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens URD Main Elements/Agenda n Area of Benefit (Capt. 3) –Definition n Users (Capt. 1,4,5) –User description –Missions and improvements of capabilities –Policy driving needs –Tasks description and users short term needs –Evolution and Future of User needs n Products and Services (Capt. 6) –Overview –Product and Service Requirements –Critical issues n Comments/Conclusions

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Area of Benefit (Chapt. 3) n Two Sub-areas (TBD) –Weather and Seasonal Forecasting Short-term for tomorrow and up to the next few days Medium-range (weekly, monthly, seasonal) –Climate analysis long-term analysis environmental impact assessment (downscaling products)

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens User Description (Chapt.1, 4) Number of Users: 13 EU: 1 IG: 3 SP: 9

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens User Description (Chapt.1,4) [j1] Nach Areas sortieren, 1. Weather and seasonal, 2. climate, 3. both [j1] Climate and Weather Forecasting User Category NoName of OrganizationsMarine AreaArea of benefit European Agencies (EU) 1 European Environment Agency (EEA); 32 MS All Climate, Weather Intergovern- mental Body (IG) 3 Helsinki Commission (HELCOM); 9 Member States (MS) Black Sea Commission (BSC); 6 MS European Centre for Medium- Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF); 31 MS Baltic Sea Black Sea All Climate Climate, Weather Weather Service Provider (SP) 9Examples French Research Institut for Exploitation of the Sea (Ifremer) University of Latvia (UL) Atlantic, Mediterranean Sea Baltic sea Climate, Weather

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Users missions (Chapt. 4.1) General n Environmental assessment, monitoring and forecast in terms of climate issues n Answering to social expectations on climate change effects n Policy driving needs

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Users Improvement of capabilities (Chapt. 4.2) General n Improvement of existent services n Development of new data services for public/ and private use n Improvement of Web Server services and data centres n Include metadata in existing information systems n Assessment and evaluation of MFC products

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Users Improvement of capabilities (Chapt. 4.2) EEA n Increase in-house relevant resources and capabilities to integrate MCS products in information systems (e.g. Shared environmental information system (SEIS)) Intergovernmental Bodies n Strengthening of regional and international networks in cooperation and data exchange n Include validated data sets n Improvement of advisory working groups, e.g. in fields of –Monitoring programmes –Development of Environmental Quality Objectives –Technical implementations for internal and external information and data exchange

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Users Improvement of capabilities (Chapt. 4.2) Service Providers n Improvement of data assimilation systems and services, to provide coastal operational services from regional up to global scale. –Implementation of SST and Sea-ice concentration products to improve the medium range forecast of ocean waves and weather n Obtain scientific knowledge and build up technological Innovations (exploration and observation) for ocean circulation forecasting

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Users policy driving needs (Chapt.5.1) Global/EU n Kyoto Protocol, n United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) n World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Regional n Baltic: HELCOM Convention n Atlantic/North Sea: OSPAR Convention n Mediterranean: Barcelona Convention n Black Sea:Black Sea Environmental Programme (BSEP)

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Users tasks description and users short term needs (Chapt.5.2) Policy Sector or Area of benefit: Climate PolicyActivityTasks Climate changeKyoto ProtocolEstimation of influence on other environmental issues Impact assessment of Climate change to environmental goals set by HELCOM and its member states. Climate analysisAtmospheric and Ocean re-analysis Historical reconstructions of SST and sea- ice with consistent quality are required to improve the quality of atmospheric reanalysis. Seasonal ForecastRegional Convention Ecosystem modelling Coastal activity Ecosystem modelling to forecast eutrophication or harmful algae blooms. Seasonal ForecastGlobalImprovement of Medium-range weather forecasting High temporal and horizontal resolution/good quality SST and ocean currents have the potential to improve the skill of the medium range weather and wave forecasts.

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Evolution and Future of User needs (Chapt. 5.3) General/EEA needs: n Development of downstream services and implementation of new services and products n Implementation of general agreements and policies for service and product distribution n Evolution of modelling systems Intergovernmental Bodies n Implementation and improvement of state-of-the-art techniques for service delivery, like web applications Service Provider n New thematic fields, like ice extension/thickness, ocean currents and mean dynamic topography

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Requirements overview (Chapt. 6.1) General n Availability of MyOcean, MCS products is expected to improve state-of-art and operationality of services at all time scales

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Product and Service requirements (Chapt. 6.2) Use CaseRequested Products CoverageDepth Level Spatial & Temp. Res. Temp. Extent Update Frequency Avail. & Time- liness FormatDelivery Mechanisms Climate Calibration and Validation of hydrodyna mic and ecosystem models O-S-1, 1.a, 1.b, 1c,1f, O-S-2,2b, O-S 3a,3b, O-S 4a,4b, OS 5a,5b, O-S-10, 10a,10b O-S- 15.a, 15.b Mediterran -ean surface to bottom Max. availabl e Daily Max. available - NetCD F FTP connection Weather Forecast Local Forecast Temperature, Salinity, Currents, Sea Level Baltic Sea surface to bottom variable5 daysDaily- GRID, NetCDF, ASCII FTP connection

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Criticality of requirements and services (Chapt. 6.3) Data delivery n Availability without gaps and delay n Best available products is mandatory Service sustainability n Long-term sustainability of provided services, web service in particular, is strongly required Data quality and validation n SST, Sea level, Sea ice variables, and Ocean colour (chl-a trends) are named as critical products n Forecast of sea level, as well as near-real time and historical analysis are named as critical services n Quality assessment before delivery n High data resolution for modelling at regional and coastal scale n Historical records of sea ice should be consistent with the SST re-analysis.

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Questions and Comments n Different input from users  Interests balanced? n Definitions of User categories, new groups needed? –National Agencies –Universities –Combine? n Definition of the key area Climate and weather forecast n Extend FTSS List of products and services? n Use FTSS table as template for user requirements? n Extension of catalogue possible? n User requirements vs. MyOcean Services  What can/will be offered?

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Questions and Comments

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Conclusions n Valuable Base for Iteration n Synthesis of heterogeneous User group and represent all their relevant interests n Agreement on understanding –MyOcean Services –Template for documents –Definitions in common language n A lot of input for V1

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Conclusions

Marine Core Service MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ September Athens Thank you for your attention and contributions!