The future of Public Services. Taxation and Public Expenditure as % of GDP Source: Office for Budget Responsibility, Economic and fiscal outlook Charts.

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Presentation transcript:

The future of Public Services

Taxation and Public Expenditure as % of GDP Source: Office for Budget Responsibility, Economic and fiscal outlook Charts and Tables, March 2014, Chart 1.1

Public Expenditure as % of GDP Sweden France Denmark Austria Hungary Belgium Finland Italy Portugal Germany Netherlands Czech Republic United Kingdom Greece Iceland Poland Norway Luxembourg Canada New Zealand Spain Japan Slovak Republic United States Ireland South Korea Environmental Protection Housing/Community Amenities Recreation; culture and religion Defense Public Order and Safety Economic Affairs Education General Public Services Health Social Protection 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

The State is Changing: more welfare and less of everything else The NHS is increasing within the State, as is welfare and education Defence, Business, Home Office, Justice, Transport and Local Government all now in long-term decline Reducing public expenditure to 37% or even 35% of GDP will further raise the share of welfare within public expenditure

Departmental Cuts (% of DEL) Announced 4 th June 2015

National Context Economic Recovery Deficit reduction & Comprehensive Spending Review Health/ASC issues Public expectation Devolution/new forms of working Digital/Technology

East Sussex

Demographic Cost Drivers Total population (5561 = 1%) Pre school (0-3) (-795 = -3.6%) School age (4-17) (244 = 0.3%) Working age (18-64) (-1281 = -0.4%) Older people 65+ (7392 = 5.5%)

5.5% increase in population aged % increase in people with dementia in this group 8% increase in population limited by long-term illness = 46% of total population Older People

Number of people Projected Population Change By District

Planned Housing and Employment Floor Space Development Wealden Housing: 9,440 dwellings ( ) Per annum: 450 Employment floor space: 128,695 sq.m ( ) Eastbourne Housing: 5,022 dwellings ( ) Per annum: 239 Employment floor space: 43,000 sq.m ( ) Lewes Housing: 5,600 dwellings ( ) Per annum: 280 Employment floor space: 74,000 sq.m ( ) Hastings Housing: 3,400 dwellings ( ) Per annum: 200 Employment floor space: 70,000 sq.m ( ) Rother Housing: 5,700 dwellings ( ) Per annum: 335 Employment floor space: 100,000 sq.m ( )