© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Global Risk Assessment Presented by: Gerald J. Komisar Vice President Global Risk Assessments.

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Presentation transcript:

© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Global Risk Assessment Presented by: Gerald J. Komisar Vice President Global Risk Assessments May 07, 2004 Miami, Florida Confidential The World at Risk: Threats to International Business The World at Risk: Threats to International Business

1 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.  Global economic downturn and recovery Dramatic changes in the world in the past few years have impacted our lives and businesses in profound ways.  Expansion of worldwide risks  Globalization  Perceptions of the United States

2 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. A discussion of geo-political and security risks  Perspectives on terrorism and global security threats  Regional “hotspots”  Understanding and managing global risks

3 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. A Global Terrorism Assessment Status Report  International cooperation  Terrorists under pressure  Conclusions  Homeland defense

4 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. A Global Terrorism Assessment Current Threats  Al Qaeda  Regional groups  Preferred targets  Terrorist weapons

5 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Middle East Iran Oman Yemen Turkey UAE Jordan Israel Syria Lebanon Iraq Kuwait Saudi Arabia  Situation in Iraq  Israel - Palestine  Regional attitudes Regional Issues Affecting Global Security

6 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Southeast Asia Thailand Malaysia Sing. Indonesia Philippines  Problem areas  Prospects Regional Issues Affecting Global Security

7 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Europe Regional Issues Affecting Global Security United Kingdom Spain Italy Greece Poland Hungary

8 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Africa Regional Issues Affecting Global Security Algeria Tunisia Morocco Somalia Kenya Tanzania Nigeria

9 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. South Asia India Pakistan Afghanistan Kashmir  Afghanistan  Pakistan  India-Pakistan Relations Regional Issues Affecting Global Security

10 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Asia  Korea  Greater China North Korea South Korea Taiwan Hong Kong Russia China Japan Regional Issues Affecting Global Security

11 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Latin America Argentina Brazil Chile Uruguay Paraguay Bolivia Peru Ecuador Colombia Venezuela  Regional stability issues  Security factors Regional Issues Affecting Global Security

© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.  Understanding and assessing business risks  Developing effective risk management solutions Outlook  Enduring threat of terrorism and geopolitical risk

13 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. EBB Home Page

14 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Featured Article

15 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Regional Page

16 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Industry Page

17 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Custom Report

18 © 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Archive

© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Global Risk Assessment Presented by: Gerald J. Komisar Vice President Global Risk Assessments May 07, 2004 Miami, Florida Confidential The World at Risk: Threats to International Business The World at Risk: Threats to International Business