Seizing an Opportunity: Transition to Adulthood Working Group III – Indicator and Data Overview September 27, 2013

The situation in Fresno Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 Poverty Source(s): County Health Rankings and Roadmaps; kidsdata.org; Portrait of California, Median Income Unemployment 1 in 3 children 1 in 7 adults California, $65,476 Fed. Poverty Line $23,550 30% or more below state

The situation in Fresno Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 FRESNO COUNTY FAMILY POVERTY % Below Poverty Level, Source(s): American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates.

Success in a changing economy Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 What do youth need to succeed in today’s changing economy?  At least a high school education  Hard skills and “soft skills” What is a key indicator of future success?

In 1973, people with a high school education or less made up 70% of the workforce, and earned a middle class wage Over the next 30 years, all job growth in America was generated exclusively by positions that required at least some post-secondary education By 2007, jobs that require at least some college have exploded while opportunities for those with just a high school education shrunk dramatically Success in a changing economy Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 Today’s economy increasingly demands some form of post-secondary education Source(s): Pathways to Prosperity, Harvard Graduate School of Education

Success in a changing economy Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 Source(s): How Children Succeed, Paul Tough “Soft skills” include: Curiosity Conscientiousness Optimism Following through on a plan Self-control Social fluidity Hard skills and Soft Skills; Social emotional learning (SEL) Social-emotional learning (SEL) is the capacity to: Recognize and manage emotions Solve problems effectively Establish positive relationships with others

Are Fresno youth college and/or career ready? Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 What does youth preparedness currently look like in Fresno?  Guidance counseling/supportive school environment  Educational attainment  High school graduation  Post-secondary education  School connectedness

State of youth preparedness in Fresno Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 Source(s): A Portrait of California, 2011; Fresno Area Strive 2012 Baseline Report Guidance counseling California’s ratio of 1.1 guidance counselors per every 1,000 students is the lowest in the nation. Between 2008 and 2010, only 36% of 11 th graders strongly agreed that there was a caring adult at school.

Source(s): American Community Survey, 2011 Fresno County – Education Attainment of Population Aged 25 and Over, 2011 Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 Educational Attainment In Fresno county, nearly 30% of the adult population over the age of 25 has not completed high school. Combined, the population that has obtained either an Associate’s, Bachelor’s, graduate or professional degree is less than 25%. State of youth preparedness in Fresno

Source(s): American Community Survey, 2009 – 2011; kidsdata.org, 2012; PolicyLink. Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 Disconnected Youth In 2011, roughly 9% of Fresno County youth aged 16 to 19 were not enrolled in school and were unemployed. Nationwide, nearly 6 million young people ages 16 to 24 are neither working nor in school - 51% are youth of color. Individuals who lack successful work experiences by age 25 are at greater risk of lifelong poverty and involvement with the criminal justice system. Engagement in school or the workforce is critical to the transition from adolescence to adulthood and development toward productive, self-sufficient adult lives. State of youth preparedness in Fresno

Barriers to success Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 What gets in the way of youth being in college and/or career ready?  Financial economic security  Teen pregnancy/births  Youth felony arrests/criminal activity  Gang membership

Barriers to success Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 Family economic security A U.S. Department of Education study on tenth graders in California found that 38% left high school because they found a job. Other barriers include: Rising costs of college Inadequate financial aid Jobs disconnected to course of study Source(s): A Portrait of California, 2011; Pathways to Prosperity, 2011.

Barriers to success Teen childbearing results in negative consequences, including: lower levels of educational attainment less stable employment more single parenthood more pregnancy-related problems less healthy infants delay of cognitive development and behavioral problems among preschool children Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 Teen births In 2011, Fresno County’s teen birth rate was 45.2 live births for every 1,000 teens (ages 15 – 19). Teen birth rates in California by race/ethnicity, Source(s): Fresno Bee, 2011

Barriers to success Source(s): kidsdata.org, 2012 Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 Juvenile Felony Arrests Age 0-17, by Race/Ethnicity, 2012 Juvenile Felony Arrests Age 10 – 17, Youth felony arrests Youth involvement in the juvenile justice system contributes to higher rates of: dropping out of school adult criminal behavior substance use Injury Youth who are arrested or detained face greater difficulty obtaining the education necessary for employment and success as adults.

Barriers to success *Validated gang members that have had contact and often multiple contacts with law enforcement) Source(s): County of Fresno Gang & Juvenile Prevention Initiative, 2009 Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 Gang involvement One out of every 10 Fresno County gang members* are between the ages of 5 and 19. Three out of every four are Hispanic. The likelihood of gang involvement increases significantly between the ages of 14 and 19. % of Overall Gang Population by Age, 2009

Barriers to success Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 What will happen if we don’t improve youth’s college and/or career readiness?  Decreased wage earnings  Increased unemployment  Decreased economic benefits for the region and state

The economic outlook for Fresno Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 Source(s): U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Wage earnings by education level A 2011 study by the Bureau of Labor Statistics illustrates that a bachelor’s degree increases average earnings by $1,053 per week.

The economic outlook for Fresno Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3  A large unskilled and unemployed population Fresno youth will join the millions of high school dropouts nationwide facing a severe shortage of jobs for people without a high-school education.  A stagnant or declining economy In a single year, Fresno County’s regional economy loses the benefit of:  $40 million in increased earnings  An additional $28 million in spending and $10 million in investing  $6 million in increased tax revenue  350 new job sand economic growth of $51 million  Increased home sales of $117million and auto sales of $3million  Increased human capital Source(s): PolicyLink; 2011; Alliance for Excellence in Education, 2010.

Children’s Summit 2013Working Group 3 Investing in young people's future is an investment in our community and our economy.