Part of the Comprehensive Coastal Resource Management Portal Center for Coastal Resources Management Molly Mitchell Sept 2014 Hampton Roads Adaptation.

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Presentation transcript:

Part of the Comprehensive Coastal Resource Management Portal Center for Coastal Resources Management Molly Mitchell Sept 2014 Hampton Roads Adaptation Forum

Virginia Senate Bill 964 (2011) VIMS shall…Develop comprehensive coastal resource management guidance for local governments to foster the sustainability of shoreline resources by December 30, The guidance shall identify preferred options for shoreline management and taking into consideration the resource condition, priority planning, and forecasting of the condition of the Commonwealth's shoreline with respect to projected sea-level rise.

Comprehensive Coastal Resource Management Portal Beginning in 2012, CCRM started developing portals for each Tidewater locality Right now there are 12 available with 5 more completed by the end of 2014 The portals are gateways to resources that address data gaps, shoreline best management practices, and sea level rise issues at the local level

Creating the topographic surface LIDAR (elevation data) was acquired from VGIN and individual localities The most accurate LIDAR available was used Where no LIDAR available, VBMP was used The topo surface will be updated as higher resolution LIDAR becomes available Data were merged into seamless layers for larger regions and then clipped to the locality boundaries Data were projected to Virginia State Plane HARN (ft)

Modeling Sea Level A digital Mean High Water shoreline (NOAA) was used as the current locality shoreline Used tidal datum for reference rather than elevation datum because it allows for variation in local tides Converted land elevation to MHW reference using NOAA’s Coastal Service Center tool (Vdatum) Sinks were “filled” in the land surface Sea level rise scenarios were selected and raster calculator was used to create mosaic datasets of different time frames

Relative Sea Level Rise

Tour of the viewer Suffolk County map & Comprehensive Viewer Suffolk County mapComprehensive Viewer

Tour of the viewer Suffolk County map & Comprehensive Viewer Suffolk County mapComprehensive Viewer

Find specific addresses Compare changes between 2 years

Look at impacts to roads under different flooding scenarios Consider longevity of conservation areas

Projected marsh impacts ~ 2 ft increase in relative sea level Marshes are at high risk when: 1. They can’t retreat landward due to shoreline structures 2. They can’t retreat landward due to the height of the bank Bilkovic et al Vulnerability of shallow tidal water habitats in Virginia to climate change

Future plans Update SLR models on new LIDAR as available Update SLR models as new NCA reports are issued Continue to explore the impact of SLR on management actions and the impact of management actions on SLR