Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [1][1] MUMM’s Operational Tools and Services for Belgian Coastal Waters Ozer, J. The status of European coastal observing and forecasting Systems. Majorca, 22 nd to 24 th October 2007

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [2][2] Structure  MUMM  The forecasting system (OPTOS).  Examples of uses of model forecast  Examples of management issues the system (can) help to address.  Forecast accuracy?  Future plans

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [3][3] MUMM  Management Unit of North Sea Mathematical Models  Department of the Belgian Royal Institute of Natural Sciences  Modeling: understanding the functioning of the North Sea ecosystem; develop forecasting capabilities  Monitoring: collect marine information (  Management: representing Belgium in a number of intergovernmental conventions – Provide scientific advices on environmental issues.

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [4][4] OPTOS : hydro  COHERENS: “A coupled Hydrodynamical-Ecological Model for Regional and Shelf Sea” (Luyten et al., 1999).  Various implementations  Forcings - Tides - Atmospheric forecast (UK Met. Office)

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [5][5] Optos implementation

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [6][6] Optos : Wave  Core: Hypas 2 nd generation model  3 implementations: North Sea, Southern Bight, BCZ  Forcings: wind + sea surface elevation (BCZ)

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [7][7] Optos Wave

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [8][8] Optos Wave

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [9][9] OPTOS  Run twice a days  Time window: 5 days  UK Met. forecasts  Web access: s.php s.php  ftp boxes: sea surface elevation (NOOS, SEPRISE), transports through North Sea cross sections (NOOS), Waves (SEPRISE)

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [10] sts.php

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [11] SEPRISE

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [12] NOOS: http//

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [13] Optos services  Model results available through ftp boxes.  In case of needs we can forecast the drift of a floating object.  In case of needs, the zooming procedure allows an application of COHERENS in some specific areas.  In case of needs, we can compute the transport of sediments in a specific area.

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [14] OPTOS: Float  Drift due to surface currents and wind  Surface current from Optos_NOS and Optos_BCZ  Surface wind form Met. Office  Downwind and crosswind leeway  Time window: 10 days

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [15] Optos: float

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [16] Sediment transport

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [17] Re-analysis

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [18] Observations:  RT: Meetnet Vlaamse Banken  NRT: SST, SPM, Ocean colour (remote sensing)  NRT: SST, SSS (Beligca)  Delay mode: e.g. ADCP moorings

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [19] Quality control

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [20] Quality control

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [21] Quality control

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [22] Future plans  Improved OBC: coupling with models covering a wider area (ECOOP, MyOcean?)  Ecosystem models in pre-operational mode (ECOOP)  New COHERENS version: ODON –massive parallellisation on multi-processor machines using non-shared memory –Data assimilation: EnKF