UMAC data callpage 1 of 11NLDAS EMC Operational Models North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) Michael Ek Land-Hydrology Team Leader Environmental.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
SNPP VIIRS green vegetation fraction products and application in numerical weather prediction Zhangyan Jiang 1,2, Weizhong Zheng 3,4, Junchang Ju 1,2,
Advertisements

Michael B. Ek 1, Youlong Xia 1,2, and NLDAS team* 1 Environmental Modeling Center (EMC), NCEP, College Park, MD 2 IMSG at NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park,
Towards a Near Real Time Drought monitoring based on NCEP Regional Reanalysis Muthuvel Chelliah, Kingtse Mo and Wayne Higgins Climate Prediction Center,
1 Developing objective climate drought monitoring and prediction – A CTB project Kingtse Mo Team Leader Drought NIDIS.
Some Approaches and Issues related to ISCCP-based Land Fluxes Eric F Wood Princeton University.
Globally distributed evapotranspiration using remote sensing and CEOP data Eric Wood, Matthew McCabe and Hongbo Su Princeton University.
Basic definitions: Evapotranspiration: all processes by which water in liquid phase at or near the earth’s surface becomes atmospheric water vapor  “Evaporation”
Andy Wood, Ted Bohn, George Thomas, Ali Akanda, Dennis P. Lettenmaier University of Washington west-wide experimental hydrologic forecast system OBJECTIVE.
1 EMC/NCO implementation Kick-off meeting, September 04, 2013 North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) Version a New Implementation.
CPC’s U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook & Future Plans April 20, 2010 Brad Pugh, CPC.
1 Youlong Xia 1, Mike Ek 1, Eric Wood 2, Justin Sheffield 2, Lifeng Luo 2,7, Dennis Lettenmaier 3, Ben Livneh 3, David Mocko 4, Brian Cosgrove 5, Jesse.
Operational Drought Information System Kingtse Mo Climate Prediction Center NCEP/ NWS/NOAA Operation--- real time, on time and all the time 1.
Warm Season Precipitation Predictions over North America with the Eta Regional Climate Model Model Sensitivity to Initial Land States and Choice of Domain.
Improved Land Modeling for Drought Monitoring and Seasonal Hydrological Prediction Including Groundwater Mickael Ek, Rongqian Yang, Youlong Xia, Jesse.
Assimilation of MODIS and AMSR-E Land Products into the NOAH LSM Xiwu Zhan 1, Paul Houser 2, Sujay Kumar 1 Kristi Arsenault 1, Brian Cosgrove 3 1 UMBC-GEST/NASA-GSFC;
Application of Satellite Land Surface Observations in Improving NCEP Numerical Weather Prediction Weizhong Zheng 1,2 and Mike Ek 1 1 NOAA/NCEP/Environmental.
Rongqian Yang, Ken Mitchell, Jesse Meng Impact of Different Land Models & Different Initial Land States on CFS Summer and Winter Reforecasts Acknowledgment.
Hydrology Research with the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) Datasets at the NASA GES DISC using Giovanni David M. Mocko [1,2], Hualan.
The Eta Regional Climate Model: Model Development and Its Sensitivity in NAMAP Experiments to Gulf of California Sea Surface Temperature Treatment Rongqian.
NCA-LDAS Meeting, Sept 23, 2014 NCA-LDAS: An Integrated Terrestrial Water Analysis System for the National Climate Assessment “Water Indicators” Hiroko.
Earth Science Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration 18 January 2007 Paper 5A.4: Slide 1 American Meteorological Society 21 st Conference.
Experimental seasonal hydrologic forecasting for the Western U.S. Dennis P. Lettenmaier Andrew W. Wood, Alan F. Hamlet Climate Impacts Group University.
Enhancing the Value of GRACE for Hydrology
NW NCNE SCSESW Rootzone: TOTAL PERCENTILEANOMALY Noah VEGETATION TYPE 2-meter Column Soil Moisture GR2/OSU LIS/Noah 01 May Climatology.
1 NCEP Production Suite Review: “Land Surface Guidance Systems” EMC Land-Hydrology Team: Michael Ek, Jesse Meng, Rongqian Yang, Helin Wei, Youlong Xia,
1 Soil Moisture Assimilation in NCEP Global Forecast System Weizhong Zheng 1, Jerry Zhan 2, Jiarui Dong 1, Michael Ek 1 1 Environmental Modeling Center,
Thrusts of Noah LSM Development and Land Data Assimilation at NCEP: recent ops upgrades, testbeds, validation, recent lessons, physics changes, calibration,
NCEP Production Suite Review: Land-Hydrology at NCEP
1 Drought Monitoring over the United States Kingtse Mo Climate Prediction Ct NCEP/NWS/NOAA.
Preparations for Assimilating Land Surface Observations from GOES-R, NPP/VIIRS and AMSR2 in NCEP NWP Models from GOES-R, NPP/VIIRS and AMSR2 in NCEP NWP.
NCEP Production Suite Review: “Land Surface Guidance Systems” EMC Land-Hydrology Team: Michael Ek, Jesse Meng, Rongqian Yang, Helin Wei, Youlong Xia,
The Role of Antecedent Soil Moisture on Variability of the North American Monsoon System Chunmei Zhu a, Yun Qian b, Ruby Leung b, David Gochis c, Tereza.
Variation of Surface Soil Moisture and its Implications Under Changing Climate Conditions 1.
Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:
Understanding hydrologic changes: application of the VIC model Vimal Mishra Assistant Professor Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Gandhinagar
1 Objective Drought Monitoring and Prediction Recent efforts at Climate Prediction Ct. Kingtse Mo & Jinho Yoon Climate Prediction Center.
Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to the NWS 1 Evaluation of WRF Using High-Resolution Soil Initial Conditions from the NASA Land.
Pg. 1 Using the NASA Land Information System for Improved Water Management and an Enhanced Famine Early Warning System Christa Peters-Lidard Chief, Hydrological.
An Integrated Terrestrial Water Analysis System for the NCA (NCA-LDAS) Current PI: Christa Peters-Lidard, Hydrological Sciences Laboratory, NASA GSFC Code.
A Multi-Model Hydrologic Ensemble for Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting in the Western U.S. Theodore J. Bohn, Andrew W. Wood, Ali Akanda, and Dennis P. Lettenmaier.
1 Agenda Topic: NCEP North American Land Data Assimilation Systems, NLDAS (“Off Line Land Modeling”) Presented By: Mike Ek and Helin Wei (NWS/NCEP/EMC)
Transitioning Unique NASA Data and Research Technologies to Operations The Utility of the Real-Time NASA Land Information System for Drought Monitoring.
Current and Future Initialization of WRF Land States at NCEP Ken Mitchell NCEP/EMC WRF Land Working Group Workshop 18 June 2003.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center & *Environmental Modeling Center Camp Springs, MD Impact of High-Frequency Variability of Soil Moisture on Seasonal.
Drought Monitoring with the NCEP North American Land Data Assimilation (NLDAS): Implications and Challenges of Extending the Length of the Climatology.
The lower boundary condition of the atmosphere, such as SST, soil moisture and snow cover often have a longer memory than weather itself. Land surface.
Evapotranspiration Estimates over Canada based on Observed, GR2 and NARR forcings Korolevich, V., Fernandes, R., Wang, S., Simic, A., Gong, F. Natural.
1 Progress on Science Activities: Climate Forecast Products Team Probabilistic forecasts of Extreme Events and Weather Hazards in the US (PI: Charles Jones.
Global and North American Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS and NLDAS) NASA Remote Sensing Training Norman, Oklahoma, June 19-20, 2012 ARSET Applied.
A Brief Introduction to CRU, GHCN, NCEP2, CAM3.5 Yi-Chih Huang.
Initialization of the Noah Land Surface Model and its Coupling to CFS Ken Mitchell, Rongqian Yang, Jesse Meng and EMC Land Team Environmental Modeling.
Initial Results from the Diurnal Land/Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) Weizhong Zheng, Michael Ek, Ruiyu Sun, Jongil Han, Jiarui Dong and Helin Wei.
Intercomparison of US Land Surface Hydrologic Cycles from Multi-analyses & Models NOAA 30th Annual Climate Diagnostic & Prediction Workshop, 27 October,
Performance Comparison of an Energy- Budget and the Temperature Index-Based (Snow-17) Snow Models at SNOTEL Stations Fan Lei, Victor Koren 2, Fekadu Moreda.
VERIFICATION OF A DOWNSCALING SEQUENCE APPLIED TO MEDIUM RANGE METEOROLOGICAL PREDICTIONS FOR GLOBAL FLOOD PREDICTION Nathalie Voisin, Andy W. Wood and.
EVALUATION OF A GLOBAL PREDICTION SYSTEM: THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN AS A TEST CASE Nathalie Voisin, Andy W. Wood and Dennis P. Lettenmaier Civil and.
1 Yun Fan, Huug van den Dool, Dag Lohmann, Ken Mitchell CPC/EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA Kunming, May, 2004.
Long-lead streamflow forecasts: 2. An approach based on ensemble climate forecasts Andrew W. Wood, Dennis P. Lettenmaier, Alan.F. Hamlet University of.
Application of NLDAS Ensemble LSM Simulations to Continental-Scale Drought Monitoring Brian Cosgrove and Charles Alonge SAIC / NASA GSFC Collaborators:
A New Climatology of Surface Energy Budget for the Detection and Modeling of Water and Energy Cycle Change across Sub-seasonal to Decadal Timescales Jingfeng.
Dennis P. Lettenmaier Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering University of Washington NHPS briefing NWS/OHD Silver Spring, MD March 5, 2010.
Brian Cosgrove and Charles Alonge SAIC / NASA GSFC
Improving the Land Surface Component of the CFS Reanalysis
Drought Monitoring and Forecasting Update on CPC Activities
Improving the Land Surface Component of the CFS Reanalysis
Dennis P. Lettenmaier, Andrew W. Wood, Ted Bohn, George Thomas
Nathalie Voisin, Andy W. Wood and Dennis P. Lettenmaier
Hydrology and Water Management Applications of GCIP Research
Andy Wood and Dennis Lettenmaier
University of Washington Center for Science in the Earth System
Presentation transcript:

UMAC data callpage 1 of 11NLDAS EMC Operational Models North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) Michael Ek Land-Hydrology Team Leader Environmental Modeling Center NOAA / NWS / NCEP

UMAC data callpage 2 of 11NLDAS NLDAS four-model ensemble monthly soil moisture anomaly July 30-yr climateJuly 1988 (drought)July 1993 (flood)July 2011 (TX drought) Overview of North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) Land models: Noah, SAC, VIC, Mosaic run in “uncoupled” mode. Forcing: NCEP Climate Prediction Center obs precip (gauge-based, radar/satellite disaggregated), and atmospheric forcing from NCEP North American Regional Climate Data Assimilation System. Output: 1/8-deg. land & soil states, surface fluxes, runoff/streamflow. Climatology from land model assimilation runs for 30+ years provide anomalies used for drought monitoring; supports USDM, NIDIS etc. Operational at NCEP 05 Aug Research supported by NOAA Climate Prog. Office for NLDAS partners: NASA/GSFC, NWS OfficeHydro. Develop., Princeton U.., U. Washington.

UMAC data callpage 3 of 11NLDAS NLDAS components: Land Models Research Models Operational Models

UMAC data callpage 4 of 11NLDAS NLDAS components: Land Data Sets Max.-Snow Albedo (1-deg, Robinson) Snow-Free Albedo (seasonal, 1-deg, Matthews) Green Vegetation Fraction (GVF) (monthly, 1/8- deg, NESDIS/AVHRR) JulyJansummerwinter Soil Type (1-deg, Zobler) Vegetation Type (1-deg, UMD) Fixed climatologies, or near real-time observations (e.g. GVF); some quantities to be assimilated (e.g. snow, soil moisture).

UMAC data callpage 5 of 11NLDAS NLDAS components: Atmospheric Forcing Common atmospheric forcing from Regional Climate Data Assimilation System (real time extension of the North American Regional Reanalysis, NARR) – forcing “backbone”. CPC gauge-based observed precipitation, temporally disaggregated using radar data (stage IV), satellite data (CMORPH), bias-corrected with PRISM monthly values. Bias-corrected NARR solar radiation from GOES retrievals.

UMAC data callpage 6 of 11NLDAS NLDAS components: Evaluation and Validation Monthly streamflow anomaly correlation ( USGS measured streamflow) Ensemble Mean Comprehensive evaluation against in situ observations and/or remotely sensed data sets. Energy flux validation from tower: net radiation, sensible, latent & ground heat fluxes. Water budget: evaporation, total runoff/streamflow. State variables: soil moist., soil/skin temp., snow depth/cover. Daily top 1m soil moisture anomaly corr. ( US SCAN Network) Xia et al., JGR-atmosphere (2012)Xia et al., J. Hydrol. (2014) RMSE<0.06 m 3 /m 3

UMAC data callpage 7 of 11NLDAS NCEP/EMC NLDAS Website NLDAS Products: Web Sites NASA/GSFC NLDAS website NLDAS User Statistics for calendar year 2014: Number of distinct users: 5,437 Number of files downloaded: 44,119,161 (over 44 million) Total volume downloaded: 93,459 Gb (over 93Tb) ftp://ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/nldas/prod ftp://ldas.ncep.noaa.gov/nldas2/nco_nldas/

UMAC data callpage 8 of 11NLDAS NLDAS Products: Users NCAR/UCAR Princeton University Michigan State Universi ty Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

UMAC data callpage 9 of 11NLDAS US Drought California Drought NLDAS Products: Total Soil Column Soil Moisture Anomaly: March 2012 – December 2013

UMAC data callpage 10 of 11NLDAS NLDAS Products: Streamflow for Hurricane Irene & Tropical Storm Lee 20 Aug – 17 Sep 2011 Ensemble mean daily streamflow anomaly (m 3 /s)

UMAC data callpage 11 of 11NLDAS NLDAS Future:  Extend the current NLDAS to run under NASA Land Information System (LIS) parallel environment, latest land model versions, assimilation & validation tools.  Improve/include: –Forcing, e.g. precipitation. –Land data sets, e.g. vegetation greenness. –Land data assimilation, i.e. snow, soil moisture. –Land model physics, e.g. vegetation dynamics, carbon, irrigation, etc., via latest Noah or Noah-MP land model. –Higher resolution/downscaling (forcing, model output). –Enhance land model spin-up procedures. –Products, e.g. “Objective Blended NLDAS Drought Index”.  Extend NLDAS domain/resolution: first North America, then “merge” with CFS/Global LDAS.  Provide initial land conditions for NAM, GFS, CFS.  Earth System modeling: Include hydrological prediction.