Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 Dr. Chris Main Extension Cotton Specialist, University of Tennessee J.C. Banks, T. Barber, R. Boman, D. Boquet, C. Burmester, G. Collins, D. Dodds, S. Duncan, K. Edmisten, R. Hutmacher, M. Jones, D. Monks, G. Morgan, R. Norton, G. Stevens, J. Whitaker, D. Wright

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/ %

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 Reduced >15% Reduced 1-14% Increased >15% No Change Increased 1-14% Change from

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010

Region by Region Statistics General observations Quotes

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/ ,000 acres 900 lb/ac 1,000,000 acres 907 lb/ac 115,000 acres 842 lb/ac 375,000 acres 986 lb/ac 82,000 acres 665 lb/ac 255,000 acres 710 lb/ac

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 Pigweed still a problem Late planting and poor harvest conditions renders top crop unharvestable in some areas K deficiency and leaf-spot

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 Cotton Varieties Planted USDA-AMS Top 6 varieties planted in Georgia during 2008 and ,000 acres ,000 acres Variety% acresVariety% acres DP555BR85.85DP555BR82.53 DP515BR1.48PHY370WR2.74 PHY480WR1.37DP0935B2RF2.61 DP444BG1.25DP0949B2RF2.14 PHY370WR1.18ST5458B2RF1.07 DP434R1.02PHY485WRF0.68

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 “It rained a lot here, then it didn't, then it rained a lot. Oh yeah, it's still raining.” Dale Monks

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 “We had 85,000 acres and that is expected to go up this coming year with higher prices. However, we are going to have to get out this years (2009) crop first.” David Wright

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/ ,000 acres 949 lb/ac 295,000 acres 758 lb/ac 300,000 acres 891 lb/ac 230,000 acres 704 lb/ac 520,000 acres 826 lb/ac

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 Wet spring, late planted, reduced acres Cooler and wetter than average summer Reduced heat unit accumulation Extraordinary crop potential in September Rain, rain go away…. (9/12-11/04) Earliness penalty, boll rot and hard lock Late planting penalty, immature bolls Tom Barber, Gene Stevens, Darrin Dodds,

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 May 22, 2009

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010

Better than average crop in September Est lb/ac, actual 700 lb/ac $81,000,000 in losses (wet harvest), underestimated 230,000 ac is 23% of high in mid- 1990’s Only 30 gins open in 2009 Don Boquet

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/ ,400acres 936 lb/ac 5,000,000 acres 650 lb/ac 200,000 acres 837 lb/ac 36,000 acres 720 lb/ac

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 “Strong summer, but a weak finish” J.C. Banks Planted late (dry winter) Timely summer rains, lacked rain during August in Southern areas Immature bolls from cooler wetter fall (dry land and irrigated) Reduced fiber quality from weather

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 Similar to Oklahoma “Cool September and early freezes in some areas have mic values declining and bark contamination trending up.” Randy Boman

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 Dryland – Plains Generally Spotty Light Rains Across Most Dryland Areas

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 Center Pivot Irrigation - Plains

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 “Not bad for cotton that should not be here.” - R. Boman

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010

lack of precipitation for establishment and throughout the growing season; volunteer cotton management in the corn/cotton or sorghum/cotton rotations; harvest challenges due to prolonged wet weather at harvest time. Gaylon Morgan

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/ U.S. Drought Monitor

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010

TEXAS UPLAND COTTON DISTRICT ESTIMATES, 2008 AND / Districts Planted AcresHarvested AcresYield Per AcreProduction ,000 acres Pounds1,000 bales N. High Pl ,050.0 S. High Pl.2,648.52,685.01,350.12, ,920.62,850.0 N. Low Pl S. Low Pl Blacklands E. Plateau S. Central Coastal Bend Upper Coast Lower Valley Other districts STATE5, ,250.03, ,450.05, / Preliminary, December, 2009.

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/ ,000 acres 1714 lb/ac 140,000 acres 1450 lb/ac PIMA 130,000 acres 1247 lb/ac

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 Intermittent weather patterns. Excellent planting conditions for majority of crop Cooler than average June. Higher incidence of verticillium wilt particularly in the low desert Heat returned with a vengeance (July and August) much warmer and drier than average Higher than average yields and good quality

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 Nearing end of Pink Bollworm Eradication Program. Upland Cotton >95% Bt Cotton (>70% Bollgard II) Forage and dairy industry experiencing large reduction in forage crop plantings and intentions for 2010 Likely to shift back to cotton for As much as 25% increase in cotton acreage for 2010 Randy Norton

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010 Water issues continue Both Pima (-19%) and upland (-40%) acres declined 2009 Increase in acres expected 2010 Lower processing tomato prices More Pima acreage due to RRFlex offering

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010

Optimism for increased acres Strengthening cotton prices Increasing world demand World production lower in 2009 Lower competing commodity prices Corn, soybean and wheat Forages in Arizona Tomatoes in California

Beltwide Prod. Conf.1/6/2010