AMERICA = YOU PARLIAMENTARY = PARTY PAGE 231
Presidential –More people vote –Candidate must work harder and spend more –More competitive –Winner gets less than 55% of vote from both parties Congressional Incumbent Wins with over 60% of vote Not many people vote in off years (no president race) –Candidates must be more appealing to the more motivated and partisan voter –Can deny “mess in Washington” –Take credit for things they didn’t do
HIGH PERCENTAGE OF GETTING REELECTED –Low voter turnout –Services to constituents –Duck responsibility –Depends on how president is doing –Ride coattails of president (a decline in this)
HAVE BECOME MORE INDEPENDENT FROM THE PRESIDENT IF FROM SAME PARTY AS AN UNPOPULAR PRESIDENT DOES NOT MEAN YOU WILL NOT GET ELECTED
1.Get mentioned “has presidential caliber” Mention off the record that you may be running Travel around the country making speeches Famous name Governor of state
2. Set aside a lot of time - Ronald Reagan set aside six years 3. Experience (Governor)
NEED –Money (PAC’S) - –Organization –Strategy and themes
A committee set up by and representing a corporation, labor union, other special interests Give up to $5,000 dollars; usually give less
HOW DISTRICT BOUNDARIES ARE DRAWN MALAPPORTIONMENT – DISTRICTS OF VERY UNEQUAL SIZE GERRYMANDERING – DRAWING A DISTRICT BOUNDARY IN SOME BIZARRE SHAPE TO MAKE IT EASY FOR THE CANDIDATE OF ONE PARTY TO WIN THE ELECTION IN THAT DISTRICT
1.ESTABLISHING SIZE OF HOUSE (Congress decides) 2.ALLOCATING SEATS IN THE HOUSE AMONG THE STATES-- every 10 years. (Congress decides)
3. DETERMINING THE SIZE OF CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICTS WITHIN THE STATES (states Decide) SUPREME COURT 1964 – DISTRICTS DRAWN SO THAT ONE PERSON’S VOTE WOULD HOLD AS MUCH WEIGHT AS ANOTHER PERSONS VOTE! 4. DETERMINING THE SHAPE OF THOSE DISTRICTS (states decide)
INCUMBENTS USUALLY WIN SOPHOMORE SURGE: NEWLY ELECTED CONGRESS MEMBERS BECOME STRONG IN THEIR DISTRICTS EARLY – 8 TO 10 PERCENT MORE VOTES THAN WHEN FIRST ELECTED
CANDIDATE IN MIDDLE OF POLITICAL SPECTRUM is most successful NOT FAR RIGHT OR LEFT liberal CONSERVATIVE moderate
1.POSITION ISSUE – rival candidates have opposing views on a question that also divides voters 2.VALENCE ISSUE – does candidate fully support the public’s view on a matter in which nearly everyone agrees (more important in recent years)
Is more effective for primaries than general election
Spot: television ads Visuals: news coverage Despite popular held views, spots are more helpful than visuals when running for office
INCUMBENTS OR WELL-KNOWN CADIDATES DO NOT BENEFIT FROM POLITICAL DEBATES
CAN RUIN ALL OF YOUR HARD WORK BY ONE LITTLE SLIP OF THE TONGUE. WHY DEBATES AND FREE TV COVERAGE CAN BE RISKY
Presidential candidates: some $ from private donors and some $ from federal government Federal government match dollar for dollar what candidates raise from private donors – up to $250 Congressional elections get no federal money
Congressional incumbents get more money from PACs than do challengers which gives the incumbent a good advantage
1.President Richard M. Nixon resigned 2.New campaign finance laws passed No more than $1,000 per person PACs – 5,000 to candidate & 15,000 to party per year
Third parties can get support from federal government if had received 5% of vote in last election
1.Independent expenditures: money spent by PAC to help a party or candidate independently of them (added to the $5,000 a PAC can give) 2.Soft money: can give as much money as you want as long as it does not back the candidate by name
NO national party or party committee can accept soft money Individual contributions from $1,000 to 2,000 per person Independent expenditures by PACs limited Page 250
ORGANIZATIONS, THAT UNDER 527 OF THE INTERNAL REVENUE CODE, RAISE AND SPEND MONEY TO ADVANCE POLITICAL CAUSES GEORGE SOROS SPENT 23 MILLION DOLLARS
ARE WON BY THREE THINGS 1.PARTY AFFILIATION 2.STATE OF THE ECONOMY 3.THE CANDIDATE’S CHARACTER
Party identification is the principle determinant of how people vote, and the economy If only vote by Party Identification Democrats would win every election
Requires a lot of information about the candidates and the issues Political junkies Minority of all voters
Have things gotten better or worse If we like what has happened vote for same; if don’t like what has happened vote for change Like candidates past actions, or dislike candidates last actions ECONOMY
THREE ways they make a difference 1.Reawaken partisan loyalties 2.Give voters a chance to see how candidate handles pressure 3.Allows voters to judge the character and core values of the candidate
African Americans, Jews, Catholics, union members, and southerners are overwhelmingly Democrat Republicans party wins majority of poor vote (elderly)