World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water Systematic Development of Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems Maryam Golnaraghi, Ph.D. Chief of Disaster Risk Reduction Programme WIS-CAP Implementation Workshop 6-7 April 2011 WMO HQ WMO

Early Warning Systems are a Critical Component of National Disaster Risk Reduction Programmes Risk TransferRisk Assessment Historical Hazard databases Hazard statistics Climate forecasting and forward looking hazard trend analysis Exposed assets & vulnerability Risk analysis tools Preparedness (saving lives): early warning systems emergency planning and response Prevention (Reduction of economic losses): Medium to long term sectoral planning (e.g. zoning, infrastructure, agriculture) CATastrophe insurance & bonds Weather-indexed insurance and derivatives Risk Reduction Information and Knowledge Sharing Education and training across agencies Alignment of clear policies, legislation, planning, resources at national to local Levels (Multi-sectoral, Multi-agency)

Marine Health (etc.)… Geological COMMUNITIES AT RISK hazard warning National Government (emergency systems) Hydrological Meteorological National Technical Services disaster response Many countries are still in response and relief mode! hazard warning Local government Disaster response hazard warning

While economic losses are on the way up! Source: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database Loss of life from hydro- meteorological disasters are decreasing!

More countries moving from issuing hazard warnings to Multi- Hazard/Risk-based Early Warning Systems Coordination Across Many Agencies, Sectors and levels National to local emergency plans, legislation and coordination mechanisms

National Government DRM agency and sectoral coordination mechanisms Meteorological Hydrological Geological Marine Health, Agricuture (etc.) Capacity Development and Coordinated National Technical Agencies feedback Community Preparedness warnings feedback A different view …. Local Government responsible for emergency preparedness and response Aligned policies, plans, resources, coordination 1 warnings

WMO in cooperation with nearly 20 UN and international agencies and their network of experts has facilitated the documentation of Good Practices and Guidelines on Institutional Partnerships in Early Warning Systems with Multi-Hazard Approach Guidelines on Institutional Aspects EWS with Multi-Hazard Approach Planning, legislative, financing, Institutional Coordination and Roles of NMHS Synthesis of First set of 7 Good Practices (4 more in the pipeline) Role of National Metrological and Hydrological Services Bangladesh Cyclone Preparednes s Programme Cuba Tropical Cyclone Early Warning System France and FWI Vigilan ce System Shanghai Multi-Hazard Emergency Preparednes s Programme USA Multi-Hazard Early Warning System Germany The Warning Management of the Deutscher Wetterdienst Japan Multi- Hazard Early Warning System

10 basic principles for effective Early Warning Systems 1.Political recognition of the benefits of EWS along with effective planning, legislation and budgeting 2.Effective EWS are built upon four components: (i)) hazard detection, monitoring and forecasting; (ii) analyzing risks and incorporation of risk information in emergency planning and warnings; (iii) disseminating timely and authoritative warnings with clarity on the responsibilities and authorityfor issuance of warnings; (iv) community emergency planning and preparedness and the ability to activate emergency plans to prepare and respond 3.Roles and responsibilities of all EWS stakeholders and their collaboration mechanisms clearly defined and documented in SOPs (who, what, when, how and with whom) 4.Capacities aligned with resources across national to local levels (sustainability) 5.Hazard, exposure and vulnerability information are used to carry-out risk assessments at different levels

6.Clear, consistent and actionable risk-based warnings, issued from a single recognized authoritative source 7.Timely, reliable, redundant and sustainable warning dissemination mechanisms 8.Emergency response plans targeted to the individual needs of the vulnerable communities, authorities, sectors and emergency responders 9.Regular training and education programmes in risk awareness and emergency response actions 10.Effective feedback mechanisms throughout levels of the EWS for system improvement over time 10 basic principles for effective Early Warning System (Continued)

Type I: Multi-Agency DRR Cooperation Projects with World Bank, ISDR, UNDP and WMO South East Europe (2007- present) South East Asia (early 2010 – ongoing) Central America and Caribbean (2010- ongoing) Special project: WMO Shanghai MH- EWS Demo Type II: Multi-Agency Cooperation Projects in end-to-end Multi-Hazard EWS Two Types of National/Regional DRR/EWS Capacity Development Projects initiated (2007 – Present)

These capacity development initiatives provide opportunities for adoption and development of CAP

For more information please contact: Maryam Golnaraghi Tel Fax Thank You